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    Week
    Seven

    Drive Chart Overlay Summary

    Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the actual line you can find games where there is a significant difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been underdogs with a 4+ overlay.

    Match-up
    Predicted Score
    TMW
    Line
    Line
    (home)
    Pick
    Overlay
    Dallas at St. Louis
    DAL 35-12
    +23
    +7
    Dallas
    16
    San Francisco at N.Y. Giants
    NYG 35-14
    -21
    -10.5
    N.Y. Giants
    10.5
    N.Y. Jets at Oakland
    NYJ 30-19
    +11
    +3
    N.Y. Jets
    8
    Tennessee at Kansas City
    TEN 24-9
    +15
    +8
    Tennessee
    7
    Minnesota at Chicago
    CHI 20-11
    -9
    -3
    Chicago
    6
    Seattle at Tampa Bay
    TB 26-11
    -15
    -10.5
    Tampa Bay
    4.5
    Cleveland at Washington
    WAS 26-15
    -11
    -7
    Washington
    4
    Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
    PIT 24-11
    +13
    +9.5
    Pittsburgh
    3.5
    Indianapolis at Green Bay
    IND 24-19
    +5
    +1.5
    Indianapolis
    3.5
    San Diego at Buffalo
    SD 24-21
    +3
    +0
    San Diego
    3
    Denver at New England
    NE 25-25
    +0
    -3
    Denver
    3
    New Orleans at Carolina
    CAR 20-19
    -1
    -3
    New Orleans
    2
    Baltimore at Miami
    MIA 19-18
    -1
    -3
    Baltimore
    2
    Detroit at Houston
    HOU 29-20
    -9
    -9
    0


    2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)

    Overlay
    0 - 1.5
    2 - 3.5
    4 - 5.5
    6 - 7.5
    8+ Pts
    ALL
    HomeFavs
    1 - 0
    1 - 1
    1 - 2
    1 - 2
    2 - 3
    6 - 8
    HomeDogs
    1 - 0
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    1 - 0
    0 - 1
    2 - 1
    AwayFavs
    0 - 0
    1 - 1
    1 - 0
    0 - 0
    3 - 3
    5 - 4
    AwayDogs
    1 - 0
    2 - 0
    0 - 1
    0 - 1
    3 - 4
    6 - 6
    Favorites
    1 - 0
    2 - 2
    2 - 2
    1 - 2
    5 - 6
    11 - 12
    Underdogs
    2 - 0
    2 - 0
    0 - 1
    1 - 1
    3 - 5
    8 - 7
    Home Teams
    2 - 0
    1 - 1
    1 - 2
    2 - 2
    2 - 4
    8 - 9
    Away Teams
    1 - 0
    3 - 1
    1 - 1
    0 - 1
    6 - 7
    11 - 10
    ALL PICKS
    3 - 0
    4 - 2
    2 - 3
    2 - 3
    8 - 11
    19 - 19
    WIN %
    100 %
    67 %
    40 %
    40 %
    42 %
    50 %

    Spread Range
    10+ points
    5 to 9.5
    0 to 4.5
    Favorites
    0 - 3
    8 - 5
    3 - 4
    Underdogs
    1 - 0
    2 - 2
    5 - 5

    Play-By-Play Overlay Summary

    Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the actual line you can find games where there is a significant difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.

    Match-up
    Predicted Score
    TMW
    Line
    Line
    (home)
    Pick
    Overlay
    Dallas at St. Louis
    DAL 36-9
    +27
    +7
    Dallas
    20
    Tennessee at Kansas City
    TEN 29-3
    +26
    +8
    Tennessee
    18
    San Francisco at N.Y. Giants
    NYG 35-12
    -23
    -10.5
    N.Y. Giants
    12.5
    Cleveland at Washington
    WAS 28-11
    -17
    -7
    Washington
    10
    Denver at New England
    DEN 29-22
    +7
    -3
    Denver
    10
    Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
    PIT 23-6
    +17
    +9.5
    Pittsburgh
    7.5
    Detroit at Houston
    HOU 30-15
    -15
    -9
    Houston
    6
    Indianapolis at Green Bay
    GB 20-17
    -3
    +1.5
    Green Bay
    4.5
    Seattle at Tampa Bay
    TB 25-10
    -15
    -10.5
    Tampa Bay
    4.5
    San Diego at Buffalo
    BUF 26-22
    -4
    +0
    Buffalo
    4
    N.Y. Jets at Oakland
    NYJ 22-15
    +7
    +3
    N.Y. Jets
    4
    New Orleans at Carolina
    CAR 23-18
    -5
    -3
    Carolina
    2
    Minnesota at Chicago
    CHI 19-16
    -3
    -3
    0
    Baltimore at Miami
    MIA 19-16
    -3
    -3
    0


    2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)

    Overlay
    0 - 1.5
    2 - 3.5
    4 - 5.5
    6 - 7.5
    8+ Pts
    ALL
    HomeFavs
    0 - 0
    0 - 2
    0 - 1
    0 - 0
    4 - 5
    4 - 8
    HomeDogs
    0 - 0
    1 - 0
    0 - 1
    1 - 0
    1 - 1
    3 - 2
    AwayFavs
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    3 - 3
    3 - 3
    AwayDogs
    1 - 1
    1 - 1
    0 - 1
    1 - 1
    3 - 4
    6 - 8
    Favorites
    0 - 0
    0 - 2
    0 - 1
    0 - 0
    7 - 8
    7 - 11
    Underdogs
    1 - 1
    2 - 1
    0 - 2
    2 - 1
    4 - 5
    9 - 10
    Home Teams
    0 - 0
    1 - 2
    0 - 2
    1 - 0
    5 - 6
    7 - 10
    Away Teams
    1 - 1
    1 - 1
    0 - 1
    1 - 1
    6 - 7
    9 - 11
    ALL PICKS
    1 - 1
    2 - 3
    0 - 3
    2 - 1
    11 - 13
    16 - 21
    WIN %
    50 %
    40 %
    0 %
    67 %
    46 %
    43 %

    Spread Range
    10+ points
    5 to 9.5
    0 to 4.5
    Favorites
    0 - 3
    4 - 4
    3 - 4
    Underdogs
    1 - 0
    3 - 5
    5 - 5