Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 7 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| San Diego at Buffalo |
+0 |
3 4 |
|
San Diego |
2 - 0 |
| New Orleans at Carolina |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Minnesota at Chicago |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Pittsburgh at Cincinnati |
+9.5 |
|
4 6 |
Cincinnati |
2 - 0 |
| Tennessee at Kansas City |
+8 |
|
4 6 |
Kansas City |
2 - 0 |
| Baltimore at Miami |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| San Francisco at N.Y. Giants |
-10.5 |
|
1 |
N.Y. Giants |
1 - 0 |
| Dallas at St. Louis |
+7 |
|
4 5 |
St. Louis |
2 - 0 |
| Detroit at Houston |
-9 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
| Indianapolis at Green Bay |
+1.5 |
|
|
|
|
| N.Y. Jets at Oakland |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
| Cleveland at Washington |
-7 |
|
|
|
|
| Seattle at Tampa Bay |
-10.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Denver at New England |
-3 |
1 4 |
4 |
Denver |
2 - 1 |
Season Records:
Any edge: 11-12
1 Angle edge: 7-6
2 Angle edge: 3-4
3+ Angle edge: 1-2
Angle #1: 2-3
Angle #2: 2-7
Angle #3: 3-3
Angle #4: 10-6
Angle #5: 3-5
Angle #6: 2-2
Individual Angles: 22-26
| 
