Drive Chart Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| San Diego at New Orleans |
NO 30-11 |
-19 |
+3 |
New Orleans |
22 |
| St. Louis at New England |
NE 33-12 |
-21 |
-7 |
New England |
14 |
| Oakland at Baltimore |
BAL 25-10 |
-15 |
-6.5 |
Baltimore |
8.5 |
| Washington at Detroit |
WAS 28-13 |
+15 |
+7.5 |
Washington |
7.5 |
| Tampa Bay at Dallas |
TB 22-19 |
+3 |
-3.5 |
Tampa Bay |
6.5 |
| Kansas City at N.Y. Jets |
NYJ 31-12 |
-19 |
-13 |
N.Y. Jets |
6 |
| N.Y. Giants at Pittsburgh |
NYG 22-19 |
+3 |
-2.5 |
N.Y. Giants |
5.5 |
| Buffalo at Miami |
BUF 24-19 |
+5 |
+1.5 |
Buffalo |
3.5 |
| Cleveland at Jacksonville |
JAX 22-19 |
-3 |
-6.5 |
Cleveland |
3.5 |
| Cincinnati at Houston |
HOU 27-20 |
-7 |
-10 |
Cincinnati |
3 |
| Indianapolis at Tennessee |
TEN 20-13 |
-7 |
-4 |
Tennessee |
3 |
| Atlanta at Philadelphia |
PHI 27-16 |
-11 |
-9 |
Philadelphia |
2 |
| Seattle at San Francisco |
SF 23-20 |
-3 |
-4.5 |
Seattle |
1.5 |
| Arizona at Carolina |
CAR 24-19 |
-5 |
-4.5 |
Carolina |
.5 |
2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
1 - 1 |
3 - 1 |
1 - 4 |
2 - 3 |
4 - 3 |
11 - 12 |
| HomeDogs |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
1 - 1 |
3 - 1 |
| AwayFavs |
0 - 0 |
2 - 4 |
1 - 0 |
2 - 0 |
3 - 5 |
8 - 9 |
| AwayDogs |
2 - 0 |
4 - 3 |
1 - 1 |
0 - 2 |
3 - 4 |
10 - 10 |
|
| Favorites |
1 - 1 |
5 - 5 |
2 - 4 |
4 - 3 |
7 - 8 |
19 - 21 |
| Underdogs |
3 - 0 |
4 - 3 |
1 - 1 |
1 - 2 |
4 - 5 |
13 - 11 |
| Home Teams |
2 - 1 |
3 - 1 |
1 - 4 |
3 - 3 |
5 - 4 |
14 - 13 |
| Away Teams |
2 - 0 |
6 - 7 |
2 - 1 |
2 - 2 |
6 - 9 |
18 - 19 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
4 - 1 |
9 - 8 |
3 - 5 |
5 - 5 |
11 - 13 |
32 - 32 |
| WIN % |
80 % |
53 % |
38 % |
50 % |
46 % |
50 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
1 - 5 |
13 - 7 |
5 - 9 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 1 |
3 - 2 |
9 - 8 |
Play-By-Play Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| San Diego at New Orleans |
NO 30-11 |
-19 |
+3 |
New Orleans |
22 |
| Washington at Detroit |
WAS 35-10 |
+25 |
+7.5 |
Washington |
17.5 |
| Kansas City at N.Y. Jets |
NYJ 33-6 |
-27 |
-13 |
N.Y. Jets |
14 |
| St. Louis at New England |
NE 30-11 |
-19 |
-7 |
New England |
12 |
| Indianapolis at Tennessee |
TEN 26-11 |
-15 |
-4 |
Tennessee |
11 |
| Oakland at Baltimore |
BAL 25-8 |
-17 |
-6.5 |
Baltimore |
10.5 |
| Seattle at San Francisco |
SF 26-15 |
-11 |
-4.5 |
San Francisco |
6.5 |
| Atlanta at Philadelphia |
PHI 28-13 |
-15 |
-9 |
Philadelphia |
6 |
| Cincinnati at Houston |
HOU 29-14 |
-15 |
-10 |
Houston |
5 |
| Buffalo at Miami |
MIA 24-21 |
-3 |
+1.5 |
Miami |
4.5 |
| N.Y. Giants at Pittsburgh |
NYG 20-19 |
+1 |
-2.5 |
N.Y. Giants |
3.5 |
| Arizona at Carolina |
CAR 25-18 |
-7 |
-4.5 |
Carolina |
2.5 |
| Tampa Bay at Dallas |
DAL 19-18 |
-1 |
-3.5 |
Tampa Bay |
2.5 |
| Cleveland at Jacksonville |
JAX 25-16 |
-9 |
-6.5 |
Jacksonville |
2.5 |
2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
0 - 0 |
1 - 4 |
1 - 2 |
1 - 2 |
7 - 7 |
10 - 15 |
| HomeDogs |
0 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
3 - 1 |
1 - 0 |
2 - 1 |
7 - 2 |
| AwayFavs |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
1 - 0 |
5 - 4 |
6 - 5 |
| AwayDogs |
1 - 1 |
2 - 2 |
0 - 1 |
1 - 1 |
3 - 5 |
7 - 10 |
|
| Favorites |
0 - 0 |
1 - 4 |
1 - 3 |
2 - 2 |
12 - 11 |
16 - 20 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 1 |
3 - 2 |
3 - 2 |
2 - 1 |
5 - 6 |
14 - 12 |
| Home Teams |
0 - 0 |
2 - 4 |
4 - 3 |
2 - 2 |
9 - 8 |
17 - 17 |
| Away Teams |
1 - 1 |
2 - 2 |
0 - 2 |
2 - 1 |
8 - 9 |
13 - 15 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
1 - 1 |
4 - 6 |
4 - 5 |
4 - 3 |
17 - 17 |
30 - 32 |
| WIN % |
50 % |
40 % |
44 % |
57 % |
50 % |
48 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
2 - 5 |
9 - 8 |
5 - 7 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 0 |
3 - 5 |
10 - 7 |
| 
