Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 8 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| Oakland at Baltimore |
-6.5 |
3 |
|
Oakland |
1 - 0 |
| Arizona at Carolina |
-4.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Tampa Bay at Dallas |
-3.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Washington at Detroit |
+7.5 |
|
4 5 |
Detroit |
2 - 0 |
| Buffalo at Miami |
+1.5 |
|
|
|
|
| St. Louis at New England |
-7 |
|
4 |
New England |
1 - 0 |
| San Diego at New Orleans |
+3 |
3 4 |
|
San Diego |
2 - 0 |
| Kansas City at N.Y. Jets |
-13 |
4 |
|
Kansas City |
1 - 0 |
| Atlanta at Philadelphia |
-9 |
2 |
|
Atlanta |
1 - 0 |
| Cleveland at Jacksonville |
-6.5 |
|
|
|
|
| N.Y. Giants at Pittsburgh |
-2.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Seattle at San Francisco |
-4.5 |
4 |
|
Seattle |
1 - 0 |
| Cincinnati at Houston |
-10 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
| Indianapolis at Tennessee |
-4 |
4 |
|
Indianapolis |
1 - 0 |
Season Records:
Any edge: 13-16
1 Angle edge: 8-7
2 Angle edge: 4-7
3+ Angle edge: 1-2
Angle #1: 3-4
Angle #2: 2-7
Angle #3: 3-4
Angle #4: 11-10
Angle #5: 5-5
Angle #6: 2-4
Individual Angles: 26-34
| 
