Subscriber
Zone

  • Sub. Home
  • TMW Home
  • Contact Us

    • Week 9 Data
  • Game Pages
  • TMW PP's
  • Full Story
  • DC/TO
  • Overlays
  • U.P.M.
  • L5 U.P.M.
  • Drive Stats
  • PBP Stats
  • Down Stats
  • Red Zone

    • Columns

  • DC+DC/TO
  • 3rd Down Contrarian
  • Outside Rushing
  • PBP Angles
  • Falcon PP's
  • Inside the 20
  • Turnovers
  • CSM
  • Trends
  • Injury Report
  • Bet Tracker
  • Maxwell Report
  • Best Bets

  • Week 8 Data
  • Week 7 Data
  • Week 6 Data
  • Week 5 Data
  • Week 4 Data
  • Week 3 Data
  • Week 2 Data
  • Week 1 Data

    		•
    TwoMinuteWarning.com
    TwoMinuteWarning.com TwoMinuteWarning.com TwoMinuteWarning.com TwoMinuteWarning.com



    Week
    Nine

    Drive Chart Overlay Summary

    Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the actual line you can find games where there is a significant difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been underdogs with a 4+ overlay.

    Match-up
    Predicted Score
    TMW
    Line
    Line
    (home)
    Pick
    Overlay
    Arizona at St. Louis
    ARI 31-16
    +15
    +3
    Arizona
    12
    Green Bay at Tennessee
    TEN 27-10
    -17
    -5.5
    Tennessee
    11.5
    Detroit at Chicago
    CHI 31-10
    -21
    -13
    Chicago
    8
    Tampa Bay at Kansas City
    TB 24-9
    +15
    +8
    Tampa Bay
    7
    Dallas at N.Y. Giants
    NYG 30-15
    -15
    -8
    N.Y. Giants
    7
    Miami at Denver
    MIA 26-23
    +3
    -3
    Miami
    6
    Atlanta at Oakland
    ATL 25-16
    +9
    +3
    Atlanta
    6
    Baltimore at Cleveland
    BAL 18-15
    +3
    -1.5
    Baltimore
    4.5
    N.Y. Jets at Buffalo
    BUF 26-17
    -9
    -5.5
    Buffalo
    3.5
    Jacksonville at Cincinnati
    JAX 26-15
    +11
    +7.5
    Jacksonville
    3.5
    Philadelphia at Seattle
    PHI 24-15
    +9
    +7
    Philadelphia
    2
    Houston at Minnesota
    MIN 25-22
    -3
    -4.5
    Houston
    1.5
    New England at Indianapolis
    IND 23-18
    -5
    -5.5
    New England
    .5
    Pittsburgh at Washington
    WAS 19-18
    -1
    -1.5
    Pittsburgh
    .5


    2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)

    Overlay
    0 - 1.5
    2 - 3.5
    4 - 5.5
    6 - 7.5
    8+ Pts
    ALL
    HomeFavs
    1 - 1
    3 - 1
    1 - 4
    2 - 3
    4 - 3
    11 - 12
    HomeDogs
    1 - 0
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    1 - 0
    1 - 1
    3 - 1
    AwayFavs
    0 - 0
    2 - 4
    1 - 0
    2 - 0
    3 - 5
    8 - 9
    AwayDogs
    2 - 0
    4 - 3
    1 - 1
    0 - 2
    3 - 4
    10 - 10
    Favorites
    1 - 1
    5 - 5
    2 - 4
    4 - 3
    7 - 8
    19 - 21
    Underdogs
    3 - 0
    4 - 3
    1 - 1
    1 - 2
    4 - 5
    13 - 11
    Home Teams
    2 - 1
    3 - 1
    1 - 4
    3 - 3
    5 - 4
    14 - 13
    Away Teams
    2 - 0
    6 - 7
    2 - 1
    2 - 2
    6 - 9
    18 - 19
    ALL PICKS
    4 - 1
    9 - 8
    3 - 5
    5 - 5
    11 - 13
    32 - 32
    WIN %
    80 %
    53 %
    38 %
    50 %
    46 %
    50 %

    Spread Range
    10+ points
    5 to 9.5
    0 to 4.5
    Favorites
    1 - 5
    13 - 7
    5 - 9
    Underdogs
    1 - 1
    3 - 2
    9 - 8

    Play-By-Play Overlay Summary

    Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the actual line you can find games where there is a significant difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.

    Match-up
    Predicted Score
    TMW
    Line
    Line
    (home)
    Pick
    Overlay
    Tampa Bay at Kansas City
    TB 29-6
    +23
    +8
    Tampa Bay
    15
    Arizona at St. Louis
    ARI 31-14
    +17
    +3
    Arizona
    14
    Detroit at Chicago
    CHI 34-9
    -25
    -13
    Chicago
    12
    Philadelphia at Seattle
    PHI 30-11
    +19
    +7
    Philadelphia
    12
    Baltimore at Cleveland
    BAL 20-11
    +9
    -1.5
    Baltimore
    10.5
    Dallas at N.Y. Giants
    NYG 29-14
    -15
    -8
    N.Y. Giants
    7
    Miami at Denver
    MIA 29-26
    +3
    -3
    Miami
    6
    Jacksonville at Cincinnati
    JAX 28-16
    +12
    +7.5
    Jacksonville
    4.5
    New England at Indianapolis
    IND 22-21
    -1
    -5.5
    New England
    4.5
    Green Bay at Tennessee
    TEN 22-13
    -9
    -5.5
    Tennessee
    3.5
    Pittsburgh at Washington
    WAS 21-16
    -5
    -1.5
    Washington
    3.5
    N.Y. Jets at Buffalo
    BUF 22-19
    -3
    -5.5
    N.Y. Jets
    2.5
    Houston at Minnesota
    MIN 23-20
    -3
    -4.5
    Houston
    1.5
    Atlanta at Oakland
    ATL 21-18
    +3
    +3
    0


    2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)

    Overlay
    0 - 1.5
    2 - 3.5
    4 - 5.5
    6 - 7.5
    8+ Pts
    ALL
    HomeFavs
    0 - 0
    1 - 4
    1 - 2
    1 - 2
    7 - 7
    10 - 15
    HomeDogs
    0 - 0
    1 - 0
    3 - 1
    1 - 0
    2 - 1
    7 - 2
    AwayFavs
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    0 - 1
    1 - 0
    5 - 4
    6 - 5
    AwayDogs
    1 - 1
    2 - 2
    0 - 1
    1 - 1
    3 - 5
    7 - 10
    Favorites
    0 - 0
    1 - 4
    1 - 3
    2 - 2
    12 - 11
    16 - 20
    Underdogs
    1 - 1
    3 - 2
    3 - 2
    2 - 1
    5 - 6
    14 - 12
    Home Teams
    0 - 0
    2 - 4
    4 - 3
    2 - 2
    9 - 8
    17 - 17
    Away Teams
    1 - 1
    2 - 2
    0 - 2
    2 - 1
    8 - 9
    13 - 15
    ALL PICKS
    1 - 1
    4 - 6
    4 - 5
    4 - 3
    17 - 17
    30 - 32
    WIN %
    50 %
    40 %
    44 %
    57 %
    50 %
    48 %

    Spread Range
    10+ points
    5 to 9.5
    0 to 4.5
    Favorites
    2 - 5
    9 - 8
    5 - 7
    Underdogs
    1 - 0
    3 - 5
    10 - 7