Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 9 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| N.Y. Jets at Buffalo |
-5.5 |
2 |
|
N.Y. Jets |
1 - 0 |
| Detroit at Chicago |
-13 |
4 5 |
|
Detroit |
2 - 0 |
| Jacksonville at Cincinnati |
+7.5 |
|
4 |
Cincinnati |
1 - 0 |
| Baltimore at Cleveland |
-1.5 |
|
4 |
Cleveland |
1 - 0 |
| Tampa Bay at Kansas City |
+8 |
|
4 6 |
Kansas City |
2 - 0 |
| Houston at Minnesota |
-4.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Arizona at St. Louis |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
| Green Bay at Tennessee |
-5.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Miami at Denver |
-3 |
|
1 4 |
Denver |
2 - 0 |
| Dallas at N.Y. Giants |
-8 |
2 |
|
Dallas |
1 - 0 |
| Atlanta at Oakland |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
| Philadelphia at Seattle |
+7 |
|
4 |
Seattle |
1 - 0 |
| New England at Indianapolis |
-5.5 |
|
4 |
Indianapolis |
1 - 0 |
| Pittsburgh at Washington |
-1.5 |
|
|
|
|
Season Records:
Any edge: 15-21
1 Angle edge: 10-10
2 Angle edge: 4-9
3+ Angle edge: 1-2
Angle #1: 3-4
Angle #2: 2-8
Angle #3: 3-6
Angle #4: 13-13
Angle #5: 5-6
Angle #6: 2-4
Individual Angles: 28-41
| 
