Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 10 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| Denver at Cleveland |
-3 |
1 4 |
|
Denver |
2 - 0 |
| New Orleans at Atlanta |
+0 |
|
|
|
|
| Tennessee at Chicago |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
| Jacksonville at Detroit |
+6.5 |
|
4 5 |
Detroit |
2 - 0 |
| Seattle at Miami |
-9 |
4 |
|
Seattle |
1 - 0 |
| Green Bay at Minnesota |
-2.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo at New England |
-4 |
|
4 |
New England |
1 - 0 |
| Baltimore at Houston |
-1.5 |
|
|
|
|
| St. Louis at N.Y. Jets |
-8 |
4 |
|
St. Louis |
1 - 0 |
| Carolina at Oakland |
+9 |
|
6 |
Oakland |
1 - 0 |
| Indianapolis at Pittsburgh |
-3 |
4 |
|
Indianapolis |
1 - 0 |
| Kansas City at San Diego |
-15 |
4 |
3 4 |
San Diego |
2 - 0 |
| N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| San Francisco at Arizona |
-9.5 |
|
|
|
|
Season Records:
Any edge: 19-26
1 Angle edge: 12-14
2 Angle edge: 6-10
3+ Angle edge: 1-2
Angle #1: 3-5
Angle #2: 3-9
Angle #3: 3-6
Angle #4: 16-17
Angle #5: 6-6
Angle #6: 3-4
Individual Angles: 34-47
| 
