Drive Chart Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Denver at Atlanta |
ATL 32-15 |
-17 |
-6 |
Atlanta |
11 |
| Detroit at Carolina |
CAR 31-6 |
-25 |
-14 |
Carolina |
11 |
| Philadelphia at Cincinnati |
PHI 28-9 |
+19 |
+9 |
Philadelphia |
10 |
| Chicago at Green Bay |
CHI 21-16 |
+5 |
-5 |
Chicago |
10 |
| Dallas at Washington |
WAS 24-17 |
-7 |
+1.5 |
Washington |
8.5 |
| Arizona at Seattle |
ARI 27-18 |
+9 |
+3 |
Arizona |
6 |
| Houston at Indianapolis |
IND 30-17 |
-13 |
-8.5 |
Indianapolis |
4.5 |
| Oakland at Miami |
MIA 27-12 |
-15 |
-10.5 |
Miami |
4.5 |
| Cleveland at Buffalo |
BUF 24-15 |
-9 |
-4.5 |
Buffalo |
4.5 |
| N.Y. Jets at New England |
NYJ 22-21 |
+1 |
-3 |
N.Y. Jets |
4 |
| St. Louis at San Francisco |
SF 26-17 |
-9 |
-6 |
San Francisco |
3 |
| San Diego at Pittsburgh |
PIT 25-18 |
-7 |
-4 |
Pittsburgh |
3 |
| Baltimore at N.Y. Giants |
NYG 23-16 |
-7 |
-6.5 |
N.Y. Giants |
.5 |
| Minnesota at Tampa Bay |
TB 18-15 |
-3 |
-3.5 |
Minnesota |
.5 |
| Tennessee at Jacksonville |
TEN 20-17 |
+3 |
+3 |
|
0 |
| New Orleans at Kansas City |
NO 24-19 |
+5 |
+5 |
|
0 |
2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
1 - 1 |
3 - 4 |
1 - 6 |
4 - 3 |
4 - 6 |
13 - 20 |
| HomeDogs |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
1 - 1 |
4 - 1 |
| AwayFavs |
0 - 0 |
3 - 5 |
2 - 0 |
4 - 1 |
4 - 5 |
13 - 11 |
| AwayDogs |
5 - 1 |
4 - 3 |
3 - 2 |
2 - 2 |
3 - 4 |
17 - 12 |
|
| Favorites |
1 - 1 |
6 - 9 |
3 - 6 |
8 - 4 |
8 - 11 |
26 - 31 |
| Underdogs |
6 - 1 |
4 - 3 |
4 - 2 |
3 - 2 |
4 - 5 |
21 - 13 |
| Home Teams |
2 - 1 |
3 - 4 |
2 - 6 |
5 - 3 |
5 - 7 |
17 - 21 |
| Away Teams |
5 - 1 |
7 - 8 |
5 - 2 |
6 - 3 |
7 - 9 |
30 - 23 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
7 - 2 |
10 - 12 |
7 - 8 |
11 - 6 |
12 - 16 |
47 - 44 |
| WIN % |
78 % |
45 % |
47 % |
65 % |
43 % |
52 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
1 - 7 |
18 - 12 |
7 - 12 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 1 |
5 - 2 |
15 - 10 |
Play-By-Play Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Philadelphia at Cincinnati |
PHI 31-8 |
+23 |
+9 |
Philadelphia |
14 |
| St. Louis at San Francisco |
SF 30-11 |
-19 |
-6 |
San Francisco |
13 |
| Detroit at Carolina |
CAR 33-8 |
-25 |
-14 |
Carolina |
11 |
| Dallas at Washington |
WAS 25-16 |
-9 |
+1.5 |
Washington |
10.5 |
| New Orleans at Kansas City |
NO 31-16 |
+15 |
+5 |
New Orleans |
10 |
| Arizona at Seattle |
ARI 28-15 |
+13 |
+3 |
Arizona |
10 |
| Oakland at Miami |
MIA 29-10 |
-19 |
-10.5 |
Miami |
8.5 |
| Minnesota at Tampa Bay |
TB 21-12 |
-9 |
-3.5 |
Tampa Bay |
5.5 |
| San Diego at Pittsburgh |
PIT 25-16 |
-9 |
-4 |
Pittsburgh |
5 |
| Baltimore at N.Y. Giants |
NYG 23-12 |
-11 |
-6.5 |
N.Y. Giants |
4.5 |
| Cleveland at Buffalo |
BUF 26-17 |
-9 |
-4.5 |
Buffalo |
4.5 |
| N.Y. Jets at New England |
NYJ 21-20 |
+1 |
-3 |
N.Y. Jets |
4 |
| Houston at Indianapolis |
IND 26-21 |
-5 |
-8.5 |
Houston |
3.5 |
| Chicago at Green Bay |
GB 20-17 |
-3 |
-5 |
Chicago |
2 |
| Tennessee at Jacksonville |
TEN 23-18 |
+5 |
+3 |
Tennessee |
2 |
| Denver at Atlanta |
ATL 29-22 |
-7 |
-6 |
Atlanta |
1 |
2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
0 - 1 |
1 - 6 |
1 - 2 |
2 - 3 |
8 - 10 |
12 - 22 |
| HomeDogs |
1 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
3 - 1 |
1 - 0 |
2 - 1 |
8 - 2 |
| AwayFavs |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
1 - 2 |
2 - 0 |
7 - 5 |
10 - 7 |
| AwayDogs |
2 - 3 |
4 - 2 |
3 - 1 |
2 - 1 |
4 - 5 |
15 - 12 |
|
| Favorites |
0 - 1 |
1 - 6 |
2 - 4 |
4 - 3 |
15 - 15 |
22 - 29 |
| Underdogs |
3 - 3 |
5 - 2 |
6 - 2 |
3 - 1 |
6 - 6 |
23 - 14 |
| Home Teams |
1 - 1 |
2 - 6 |
4 - 3 |
3 - 3 |
10 - 11 |
20 - 24 |
| Away Teams |
2 - 3 |
4 - 2 |
4 - 3 |
4 - 1 |
11 - 10 |
25 - 19 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
3 - 4 |
6 - 8 |
8 - 6 |
7 - 4 |
21 - 21 |
45 - 43 |
| WIN % |
43 % |
43 % |
57 % |
64 % |
50 % |
51 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
2 - 7 |
14 - 13 |
6 - 9 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 0 |
5 - 5 |
17 - 9 |
| 
