Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 11 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| N.Y. Jets at New England |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Denver at Atlanta |
-6 |
1 2 4 |
|
Denver |
3 - 0 |
| Detroit at Carolina |
-14 |
4 5 |
|
Detroit |
2 - 0 |
| Philadelphia at Cincinnati |
+9 |
|
4 6 |
Cincinnati |
2 - 0 |
| Chicago at Green Bay |
-5 |
|
|
|
|
| Houston at Indianapolis |
-8.5 |
|
4 |
Indianapolis |
1 - 0 |
| Tennessee at Jacksonville |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
| New Orleans at Kansas City |
+5 |
|
4 5 |
Kansas City |
2 - 0 |
| Oakland at Miami |
-10.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Baltimore at N.Y. Giants |
-6.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Minnesota at Tampa Bay |
-3.5 |
|
|
|
|
| St. Louis at San Francisco |
-6 |
4 |
|
St. Louis |
1 - 0 |
| Arizona at Seattle |
+3 |
|
4 |
Seattle |
1 - 0 |
| San Diego at Pittsburgh |
-4 |
4 |
|
San Diego |
1 - 0 |
| Dallas at Washington |
+1.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Cleveland at Buffalo |
-4.5 |
|
|
|
|
Season Records:
Any edge: 23-30
1 Angle edge: 15-16
2 Angle edge: 7-12
3+ Angle edge: 1-2
Angle #1: 4-5
Angle #2: 3-9
Angle #3: 3-7
Angle #4: 20-19
Angle #5: 6-7
Angle #6: 3-5
Individual Angles: 39-52
| 
