Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 12 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| Cincinnati at Pittsburgh |
-10.5 |
4 |
|
Cincinnati |
1 - 0 |
| Carolina at Atlanta |
-1 |
|
|
|
|
| Philadelphia at Baltimore |
-1.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Houston at Cleveland |
-3 |
4 |
|
Houston |
1 - 0 |
| San Francisco at Dallas |
-11 |
|
|
|
|
| Tampa Bay at Detroit |
+8.5 |
|
4 5 |
Detroit |
2 - 0 |
| Minnesota at Jacksonville |
-2.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo at Kansas City |
+4 |
|
4 5 |
Kansas City |
2 - 0 |
| New England at Miami |
-2 |
4 |
|
New England |
1 - 0 |
| Chicago at St. Louis |
+7.5 |
|
4 |
St. Louis |
1 - 0 |
| N.Y. Jets at Tennessee |
-6 |
2 |
|
N.Y. Jets |
1 - 0 |
| Oakland at Denver |
-9.5 |
|
1 4 |
Denver |
2 - 0 |
| N.Y. Giants at Arizona |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
| Washington at Seattle |
+3.5 |
|
4 |
Seattle |
1 - 0 |
| Indianapolis at San Diego |
-2.5 |
4 |
3 4 |
San Diego |
2 - 0 |
| Green Bay at New Orleans |
-2.5 |
|
|
|
|
Season Records:
Any edge: 27-34
1 Angle edge: 16-19
2 Angle edge: 9-14
3+ Angle edge: 2-2
Angle #1: 5-5
Angle #2: 4-9
Angle #3: 3-7
Angle #4: 24-23
Angle #5: 7-8
Angle #6: 4-5
Individual Angles: 47-57
| 
