Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 13 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| Tennessee at Detroit |
+11 |
|
4 5 6 |
Detroit |
3 - 0 |
| Seattle at Dallas |
-13 |
4 |
|
Seattle |
1 - 0 |
| Arizona at Philadelphia |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| San Francisco at Buffalo |
-7 |
|
|
|
|
| Baltimore at Cincinnati |
+7 |
|
6 |
Cincinnati |
1 - 0 |
| Indianapolis at Cleveland |
+4.5 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
| Carolina at Green Bay |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Denver at N.Y. Jets |
-7.5 |
1 2 4 |
|
Denver |
3 - 0 |
| Miami at St. Louis |
+8 |
|
|
|
|
| New Orleans at Tampa Bay |
-4 |
|
|
|
|
| N.Y. Giants at Washington |
+3.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Atlanta at San Diego |
-5.5 |
|
4 |
San Diego |
1 - 0 |
| Pittsburgh at New England |
-1 |
|
4 |
New England |
1 - 0 |
| Kansas City at Oakland |
-3 |
4 5 |
|
Kansas City |
2 - 0 |
| Chicago at Minnesota |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Jacksonville at Houston |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
Season Records:
Any edge: 31-40
1 Angle edge: 20-22
2 Angle edge: 9-17
3+ Angle edge: 2-2
Angle #1: 5-6
Angle #2: 5-9
Angle #3: 3-8
Angle #4: 27-28
Angle #5: 7-10
Angle #6: 4-5
Individual Angles: 47-57
| 
