Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 14 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| Oakland at San Diego |
-10 |
|
4 |
San Diego |
1 - 0 |
| Washington at Baltimore |
-5.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Jacksonville at Chicago |
-6.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Minnesota at Detroit |
+10 |
|
4 5 |
Detroit |
2 - 0 |
| Houston at Green Bay |
-6 |
|
|
|
|
| Cincinnati at Indianapolis |
-13.5 |
|
4 |
Indianapolis |
1 - 0 |
| Atlanta at New Orleans |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants |
-7.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Cleveland at Tennessee |
-14 |
4 |
|
Cleveland |
1 - 0 |
| Miami at Buffalo |
-1.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Kansas City at Denver |
-9 |
4 5 |
1 4 |
|
|
| N.Y. Jets at San Francisco |
+4 |
|
|
|
|
| St. Louis at Arizona |
-13.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Dallas at Pittsburgh |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| New England at Seattle |
+4.5 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
| Tampa Bay at Carolina |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
Season Records:
Any edge: 33-45
1 Angle edge: 20-26
2 Angle edge: 10-17
3+ Angle edge: 3-3
Angle #1: 6-6
Angle #2: 6-9
Angle #3: 3-8
Angle #4: 29-32
Angle #5: 8-11
Angle #6: 4-7
Individual Angles: 56-73
| 
