Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 15 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| New Orleans at Chicago |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Tampa Bay at Atlanta |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Pittsburgh at Baltimore |
-2 |
|
|
|
|
| Denver at Carolina |
-7.5 |
1 2 4 |
|
Denver |
3 - 0 |
| Washington at Cincinnati |
+6.5 |
|
4 |
Cincinnati |
1 - 0 |
| Tennessee at Houston |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
| Detroit at Indianapolis |
-17 |
4 5 |
4 |
Detroit |
2 - 1 |
| Green Bay at Jacksonville |
+2 |
|
|
|
|
| San Diego at Kansas City |
+5 |
4 |
4 5 |
Kansas City |
2 - 0 |
| San Francisco at Miami |
-6.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo at N.Y. Jets |
-7 |
|
|
|
|
| Seattle at St. Louis |
+3 |
4 |
|
Seattle |
1 - 0 |
| Minnesota at Arizona |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| New England at Oakland |
+7 |
1 4 |
|
New England |
2 - 0 |
| N.Y. Giants at Dallas |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Cleveland at Philadelphia |
-14 |
4 |
|
Cleveland |
1 - 0 |
Season Records:
Any edge: 36-46
1 Angle edge: 22-27
2 Angle edge: 11-17
3+ Angle edge: 3-3
Angle #1: 6-7
Angle #2: 6-9
Angle #3: 3-8
Angle #4: 32-33
Angle #5: 10-11
Angle #6: 4-7
Individual Angles: 61-75
| 
