Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 16 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| Indianapolis at Jacksonville |
+6.5 |
4 |
|
Indianapolis |
1 - 0 |
| Baltimore at Dallas |
-4.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Cincinnati at Cleveland |
-3 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
| New Orleans at Detroit |
+6.5 |
|
4 5 |
Detroit |
2 - 0 |
| Miami at Kansas City |
+4 |
|
4 |
Kansas City |
1 - 0 |
| Atlanta at Minnesota |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Arizona at New England |
-8 |
|
1 4 |
New England |
2 - 0 |
| Carolina at N.Y. Giants |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| San Francisco at St. Louis |
+5 |
|
|
|
|
| Pittsburgh at Tennessee |
+1.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Philadelphia at Washington |
+4.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo at Denver |
-7 |
|
1 4 |
Denver |
2 - 0 |
| Houston at Oakland |
+7 |
|
|
|
|
| N.Y. Jets at Seattle |
+5 |
|
4 |
Seattle |
1 - 0 |
| San Diego at Tampa Bay |
-4 |
4 |
|
San Diego |
1 - 0 |
| Green Bay at Chicago |
-4 |
|
|
|
|
Season Records:
Any edge: 40-48
1 Angle edge: 24-28
2 Angle edge: 13-17
3+ Angle edge: 3-4
Angle #1: 7-8
Angle #2: 6-10
Angle #3: 3-8
Angle #4: 34-35
Angle #5: 12-11
Angle #6: 4-7
Individual Angles: 68-79
| 
