Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 17 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| St. Louis at Atlanta |
-15 |
|
|
|
|
| Jacksonville at Baltimore |
-12 |
|
|
|
|
| New England at Buffalo |
+6.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Kansas City at Cincinnati |
-3 |
4 5 |
4 |
Kansas City |
2 - 1 |
| Detroit at Green Bay |
-10 |
4 5 |
|
Detroit |
2 - 0 |
| Chicago at Houston |
+0 |
|
|
|
|
| Tennessee at Indianapolis |
+3 |
|
4 |
Indianapolis |
1 - 0 |
| N.Y. Giants at Minnesota |
-6.5 |
2 |
|
N.Y. Giants |
1 - 0 |
| Carolina at New Orleans |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
| Miami at N.Y. Jets |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Dallas at Philadelphia |
-1.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Cleveland at Pittsburgh |
-10.5 |
4 |
|
Cleveland |
1 - 0 |
| Oakland at Tampa Bay |
-13 |
|
|
|
|
| Seattle at Arizona |
-6 |
4 |
|
Seattle |
1 - 0 |
| Denver at San Diego |
-8.5 |
1 2 4 |
4 |
Denver |
3 - 1 |
| Washington at San Francisco |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
Season Records:
Any edge: 44-51
1 Angle edge: 27-29
2 Angle edge: 14-19
3+ Angle edge: 3-4
Angle #1: 8-9
Angle #2: 6-10
Angle #3: 3-8
Angle #4: 38-38
Angle #5: 12-12
Angle #6: 4-7
Individual Angles: 71-86
| 
