Drive Chart Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Baltimore at Miami |
BAL 21-16 |
+5 |
+3 |
Baltimore |
2 |
| Philadelphia at Minnesota |
PHI 18-17 |
+1 |
+3 |
Minnesota |
2 |
| Atlanta at Arizona |
ATL 25-24 |
+1 |
+2.5 |
Arizona |
1.5 |
| Indianapolis at San Diego |
IND 23-22 |
+1 |
+1.5 |
San Diego |
.5 |
2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
5 - 7 |
9 - 9 |
4 - 10 |
7 - 6 |
6 - 11 |
31 - 43 |
| HomeDogs |
3 - 1 |
1 - 2 |
5 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
1 - 2 |
11 - 5 |
| AwayFavs |
1 - 2 |
4 - 10 |
5 - 1 |
6 - 3 |
7 - 6 |
23 - 22 |
| AwayDogs |
8 - 4 |
9 - 7 |
4 - 6 |
7 - 3 |
4 - 7 |
32 - 27 |
|
| Favorites |
6 - 9 |
13 - 19 |
9 - 11 |
13 - 9 |
13 - 17 |
54 - 65 |
| Underdogs |
11 - 5 |
10 - 9 |
9 - 6 |
8 - 3 |
5 - 9 |
43 - 32 |
| Home Teams |
8 - 8 |
10 - 11 |
9 - 10 |
8 - 6 |
7 - 13 |
42 - 48 |
| Away Teams |
9 - 6 |
13 - 17 |
9 - 7 |
13 - 6 |
11 - 13 |
55 - 49 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
17 - 14 |
23 - 28 |
18 - 17 |
21 - 12 |
18 - 26 |
97 - 97 |
| WIN % |
55 % |
45 % |
51 % |
64 % |
41 % |
50 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
8 - 13 |
30 - 24 |
16 - 28 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 5 |
13 - 6 |
29 - 21 |
Play-By-Play Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Baltimore at Miami |
MIA 21-18 |
-3 |
+3 |
Miami |
6 |
| Atlanta at Arizona |
ARI 25-22 |
-3 |
+2.5 |
Arizona |
5.5 |
| Indianapolis at San Diego |
SD 27-24 |
-3 |
+1.5 |
San Diego |
4.5 |
| Philadelphia at Minnesota |
PHI 19-16 |
+3 |
+3 |
|
0 |
2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
1 - 6 |
5 - 13 |
5 - 8 |
5 - 5 |
13 - 14 |
29 - 46 |
| HomeDogs |
5 - 1 |
2 - 0 |
3 - 2 |
3 - 0 |
2 - 2 |
15 - 5 |
| AwayFavs |
0 - 0 |
4 - 0 |
1 - 4 |
4 - 2 |
14 - 11 |
23 - 17 |
| AwayDogs |
4 - 6 |
10 - 9 |
7 - 3 |
4 - 1 |
5 - 6 |
30 - 25 |
|
| Favorites |
1 - 6 |
9 - 13 |
6 - 12 |
9 - 7 |
27 - 25 |
52 - 63 |
| Underdogs |
9 - 7 |
12 - 9 |
10 - 5 |
7 - 1 |
7 - 8 |
45 - 30 |
| Home Teams |
6 - 7 |
7 - 13 |
8 - 10 |
8 - 5 |
15 - 16 |
44 - 51 |
| Away Teams |
4 - 6 |
14 - 9 |
8 - 7 |
8 - 3 |
19 - 17 |
53 - 42 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
10 - 13 |
21 - 22 |
16 - 17 |
16 - 8 |
34 - 33 |
97 - 93 |
| WIN % |
43 % |
49 % |
48 % |
67 % |
51 % |
51 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
11 - 13 |
24 - 27 |
17 - 23 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 2 |
11 - 12 |
33 - 16 |
| 
