Drive Chart Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Arizona at Carolina |
CAR 27-20 |
-7 |
-9.5 |
Arizona |
2.5 |
| Baltimore at Tennessee |
TEN 16-15 |
-1 |
-3 |
Baltimore |
2 |
| Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants |
NYG 21-18 |
-3 |
-4 |
Philadelphia |
1 |
| San Diego at Pittsburgh |
PIT 23-16 |
-7 |
-6 |
Pittsburgh |
1 |
2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
5 - 7 |
9 - 9 |
4 - 10 |
7 - 6 |
6 - 11 |
31 - 43 |
| HomeDogs |
5 - 1 |
1 - 3 |
5 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
1 - 2 |
13 - 6 |
| AwayFavs |
1 - 2 |
5 - 10 |
5 - 1 |
6 - 3 |
7 - 6 |
24 - 22 |
| AwayDogs |
8 - 4 |
9 - 7 |
4 - 6 |
7 - 3 |
4 - 7 |
32 - 27 |
|
| Favorites |
6 - 9 |
14 - 19 |
9 - 11 |
13 - 9 |
13 - 17 |
55 - 65 |
| Underdogs |
13 - 5 |
10 - 10 |
9 - 6 |
8 - 3 |
5 - 9 |
45 - 33 |
| Home Teams |
10 - 8 |
10 - 12 |
9 - 10 |
8 - 6 |
7 - 13 |
44 - 49 |
| Away Teams |
9 - 6 |
14 - 17 |
9 - 7 |
13 - 6 |
11 - 13 |
56 - 49 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
19 - 14 |
24 - 29 |
18 - 17 |
21 - 12 |
18 - 26 |
100 - 98 |
| WIN % |
58 % |
45 % |
51 % |
64 % |
41 % |
51 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
8 - 13 |
30 - 24 |
17 - 28 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 5 |
13 - 6 |
31 - 22 |
Play-By-Play Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| San Diego at Pittsburgh |
PIT 25-16 |
-9 |
-6 |
Pittsburgh |
3 |
| Arizona at Carolina |
CAR 26-19 |
-7 |
-9.5 |
Arizona |
2.5 |
| Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants |
NYG 22-17 |
-5 |
-4 |
N.Y. Giants |
1 |
| Baltimore at Tennessee |
TEN 18-15 |
-3 |
-3 |
|
0 |
2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
1 - 6 |
5 - 13 |
5 - 8 |
5 - 5 |
13 - 14 |
29 - 46 |
| HomeDogs |
5 - 1 |
2 - 0 |
5 - 2 |
3 - 1 |
2 - 2 |
17 - 6 |
| AwayFavs |
0 - 0 |
4 - 0 |
1 - 4 |
4 - 2 |
14 - 11 |
23 - 17 |
| AwayDogs |
4 - 6 |
10 - 9 |
7 - 3 |
4 - 1 |
5 - 6 |
30 - 25 |
|
| Favorites |
1 - 6 |
9 - 13 |
6 - 12 |
9 - 7 |
27 - 25 |
52 - 63 |
| Underdogs |
9 - 7 |
12 - 9 |
12 - 5 |
7 - 2 |
7 - 8 |
47 - 31 |
| Home Teams |
6 - 7 |
7 - 13 |
10 - 10 |
8 - 6 |
15 - 16 |
46 - 52 |
| Away Teams |
4 - 6 |
14 - 9 |
8 - 7 |
8 - 3 |
19 - 17 |
53 - 42 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
10 - 13 |
21 - 22 |
18 - 17 |
16 - 9 |
34 - 33 |
99 - 94 |
| WIN % |
43 % |
49 % |
51 % |
64 % |
51 % |
51 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
11 - 13 |
24 - 27 |
17 - 23 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 2 |
11 - 12 |
35 - 17 |
| 
