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Selections:
For a game to be a selection, it must fit three criteria:

1. Team must have some sort of emotional edge
2. Team must have value in the price
3. Team has to have shown coping against a team in the same or higher class or opponent has to have shown some lack of coping.

Jaguars plus 6 or more over Vikings:
With Bryon Leftwich back this week at Jaguar quarterback, team should do better offensively than the last two weeks. Emotional Edges: Vikings have been emotionally up for the last three weeks. They may well let down in this game against a non-conference team. Vikings play divisional rival Chicago next.

Value: My power rating on the game favors the Vikings by 3 1/2 points. This gives the Jaguars plenty of value taking 6. Jaguars have been in close games all season which gives them value as a medium sized underdog. Underdog has gone 7-3 to the number in Jaguar games in 2004.

Coping: Jaguars win at Indianapolis (also a domed stadium) shows that they can cope in this game. Vikings home loss to the Giants shows that they could struggle in this game.

Saints plus 7 1/2 or more over Falcons: Normal Play
Emotion: I keep number power ratings on teams. When a team gets five points or more above their starting number, they are due down. When a team goes five points or more under their starting number, they are due up. In this game, the Falcons are due down, while the Saints are due up. The Saints have the strong combination of due, number (power rating on game is 6 1/2 for the Falcons), and coverage (haven't lost by over seven points in Atlanta in a very long time) working for them. Being four games ahead in their division means that the Falcons can relax at this time. Meanwhile at 4-6, the Saints are actually in the NFC Wild Card playoff race. After their bad performance last week and their owner coming down on them, the Saints will be going all-out this week.

Value: With my power rating being 6 1/2 and the actual betting line being 9 1/2, the Saints have value. They also have an excellent history of covering in Atlanta.

Coping: The Saints early season win in St.Louis shows that they can defeat a team in the Falcons class on the road. The Falcons close (three points) home win over the Cards and loss to the Lions shows that the Falcons might not cover the over touchdown line this week.

Dan Gordon has been handicapping pro football and basketball for over twenty years, and his picks and analysis can be found online at LVAsports.com

Guest Handicapper Archive:
Week 1: Dr. Bob
Week 2: Wunderdog
Week 3: Rick Needham
Week 4: Andy Iskoe
Week 5: Overlay
Week 6: Reed Lonteen
Week 7: Gene/Mti Sports Forecasting
Week 8: Armchair Analysis
Week 9: Scott Kellen
Week 10: Trace Fields
Week 11: Kevin Lewis