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NFL 2004 Head to Head Challenge

The Field is Set! This season we kick off our own version of the legendary Stardust contest, in which you have sixteen notable handicappers go head to head until the final winner is left standing. Half the field is made up of notable experts, the other half came from Subscriber Qualifying Round Winners.

Best of all, we'll post the actual contest picks and reasoning behind them for each of the contestants rounds by round so you can follow along.

This Week: Quarter-Finals!

WEEK
Week 7 Winner
Week 8 Winner
13
S.Penhos (Mexico) J.Palazzolo (NV)

Rules:

  • Each player picks five teams to win against the spread this week

  • The picks are ranked in order of preference from 1 to 5

  • In the event of a tie, the picks are compared 1 vs 1, 2 vs 2, etc
  • If still tied, the margin of victory against the spread is compared 1 vs 1, etc
  • Contest lines are the lines posted on the Spread Quick Picks page each week.



    S.Penhos


    You can read about my approach in the Week 7 Head-To-Head Analysis

    My bets are:

    Denver @ San Diego
    Pick: San Diego -2.5

    Minnesota @ Chicago
    Pick: Chicago +7

    Carolina @ New Orleans
    Pick: Carolina +1.5

    Buffalo @ Miami
    Pick: Miami +3.5
    It is time for Miami

    San Francisco @ St. Louis
    Pick: San Francisco +10.5
    You just have to see the last game against the Packers to see that for them it is very difficult to score…

    Luck does not exist… it is a matter of reasoning
    Saleh Penhos


    J.Palazzolo

    Due to my hectic schedule, I'll keep it short and sweet for this round of TMW head to head challenge.

    My picks will be based on the following:

    - Underdogs (I always lean towards underdogs, especially home dogs)
    - Picking against the public (especially this time of year)
    - My own personal betting systems
    - Influence from sharp handicappers (twominutewarning.com is one of the best out there)

    1) Arizona +6
    2) Carolina +1.5
    3) Green Bay +6
    4) Denver +2.5
    5) Miami +3.5


    Quarter-Final Matchups

    WEEK
    Player 1
    Player 2
    WINNER
    11
    R.Shine (CA)
    Subscriber Qualifier
    Mike Orkin: statistics professor, creator of Optimizer NFL software. M.Orkin
    see Picks
    12
    Brandon Funston: Yahoo! Sports Fantasy Expert, NFL Analyst. Aaron Schatz: The founder of stats site FootballOutsiders.com A.Schatz
    see Picks
    13

    S.Penhos (Mexico)
    Subscriber Qualifier

    J.Palazzolo (NV)
    Subscriber Qualifier
    ?
    14

    K.Aird (Canada)
    Subscriber Qualifier
    'Kevin Lewis': MIT grad, blackjack player, star of Bringing Down the House ?



    First Round Matchups

    WEEK
    Expert
    TMW Subscriber
    WINNER
    3
    Sports Insights: every wager placed offshore registers at SportsInsights.com R.Shine (CA) R.Shine
    see Picks
    4
    Mike Orkin: statistics professor, author, and creator of the Optimizer NFL software. J.Kelly (CA) Mike Orkin
    see Picks
    5
    Brandon Funston: Yahoo! Sports Fantasy Expert, Brandon knows the scoop on the NFL. T.Corpis (CA) Brandon Funston
    see Picks
    6
    Aaron Schatz: The founder of acclaimed NFL stats site FootballOutsiders.com "Wunderdog" Aaron Schatz
    see Picks
    7
    Benjamin Eckstein: co-founder of America's Line and authority on all things gambling. S.Penhos (Mexico) S.Penhos*
    see Picks
    8
    Roland: The founder of TwoMinuteWarning and winner of last season's H2H Challenge. J.Palazzolo (NV) J.Palazzolo
    see Picks
    9
    Stanford Wong: legendary Blackjack expert, author, founder of SharpSportsBetting.com K.Aird (Canada) K.Aird
    see Picks
    10
    'Kevin Lewis': MIT grad, million dollar winning blackjack player, star of Bringing Down the House M.Gargone (AL) Kevin Lewis*
    see Picks

    * same overall record, won tiebreakers


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