Barrington is a bonafide winner in straight up football office pool type events. He has won multiple prizes, both weekly and season long, in the large Las Vegas "pick every game" contests. He will write a column every week focused strictly on straight up handicapping.
|
"There will always be men struggling to change, and there will always be those who are controlled by the past." -- Ernest Gaines
|
The Henry Rules
#1: Know the odds of a team winning
#2: Upsets happen
#3: Take the odds of winning and adjust them
#4: Don't get crazy
#5: The last game matters
#6: Season has stages
#7: Look at the won-loss record
The Henry Rules
#8: Division, Conference, Non Conference
|
Non Conference |
Conference Game |
Division Game |
| Spread |
Won |
Win% |
Won |
Win% |
Won |
Win% |
| -10up |
69/83 |
83% |
76/90 |
84% |
149/184 |
81% |
| -7 to -9.5 |
94/123 |
76% |
109/151 |
72% |
175/227 |
77% |
| -3.5 to -6.5 |
125/191 |
65% |
159/234 |
68% |
233/352 |
66% |
| -3 |
38/66 |
58% |
49/71 |
69% |
67/123 |
54% |
| -1 to -2.5 |
47/79 |
59% |
51/102 |
50% |
88/157 |
56% |
| 0 |
8/16 |
50% |
7/18 |
39% |
10/21 |
48% |
| 1 to 2.5 |
29/69 |
42% |
40/81 |
49% |
55/117 |
47% |
| 3 |
31/55 |
56% |
38/67 |
57% |
57/97 |
59% |
| 3.5 to 6.5 |
49/76 |
64% |
58/84 |
69% |
125/175 |
71% |
| 7 to 9.5 |
31/43 |
72% |
29/42 |
69% |
54/81 |
67% |
| 10up |
17/21 |
81% |
13/18 |
72% |
32/42 |
76% |
* Positive Spread is AWAY FAVORITE.
** Pick'em games record is for AWAY TEAM
The Henry Rules
#9: Travel counts
EAST team as Favorite
|
vs East team |
vs Central team |
vs West team |
| Spread |
Won |
Win% |
Won |
Win% |
Won |
Win% |
| -10 |
49/67 |
73% |
17/19 |
89% |
14/17 |
82% |
| -7 to -9.5 |
70/84 |
83% |
32/42 |
76% |
22/29 |
76% |
| -3.5 to -6.5 |
92/143 |
64% |
45/55 |
82% |
31/45 |
69% |
| -3 |
28/51 |
55% |
11/18 |
61% |
15/22 |
68% |
| -1 to -2.5 |
30/54 |
56% |
8/23 |
35% |
12/24 |
50% |
| 0 |
8/11 |
73% |
1/2 |
50% |
1/3 |
33% |
| 1 to 2.5 |
24/48 |
50% |
14/27 |
52% |
8/20 |
40% |
| 3 |
22/36 |
61% |
9/15 |
60% |
11/18 |
61% |
| 3.5 to 6.5 |
41/59 |
69% |
12/17 |
71% |
9/14 |
64% |
| 7 to 9.5 |
23/34 |
68% |
12/16 |
75% |
6/10 |
60% |
| 10 |
12/18 |
67% |
6/6 |
100% |
6/6 |
100% |
| Upset Zone |
84/149 |
56% |
32/67 |
48% |
32/65 |
49% |
WEST team as Favorite
|
vs East team |
vs Central team |
vs West team |
| Spread |
Won |
Win% |
Won |
Win% |
Won |
Win% |
| -10 |
17/20 |
85% |
36/41 |
88% |
56/68 |
82% |
| -7 to -9.5 |
28/40 |
70% |
31/41 |
76% |
60/76 |
79% |
| -3.5 to -6.5 |
32/49 |
65% |
32/53 |
60% |
85/128 |
66% |
| -3 |
8/14 |
57% |
7/14 |
50% |
25/44 |
57% |
| -1 to -2.5 |
14/32 |
44% |
14/20 |
70% |
31/51 |
61% |
| 0 |
2/4 |
50% |
3/7 |
43% |
2/7 |
29% |
| 1 to 2.5 |
8/18 |
44% |
9/18 |
50% |
19/38 |
50% |
| 3 |
6/11 |
55% |
7/15 |
47% |
24/42 |
57% |
| 3.5 to 6.5 |
20/29 |
69% |
15/24 |
63% |
47/66 |
71% |
| 7 to 9.5 |
11/13 |
85% |
3/7 |
43% |
21/28 |
75% |
| 10 |
3/7 |
43% |
4/7 |
57% |
15/17 |
88% |
| Upset Zone |
30/65 |
46% |
33/60 |
55% |
76/138 |
55% |
Back to rule number three:
The Henry Rules
#3: Take the odds of winning and adjust them
| Away Team |
Home Team |
Spread |
Likely Winner |
Odds of Winning* |
| Indianapolis |
Houston |
15.5 |
Indianapolis |
95% |
| San Francisco |
Washington |
-12.5 |
Washington |
88% |
| N.Y. Jets |
Atlanta |
-7 |
Atlanta |
72% |
| San Diego |
Philadelphia |
-3.5 |
Philadelphia |
64% |
| New Orleans |
St. Louis |
-3 |
St. Louis |
62% |
| Dallas |
Seattle |
-3 |
Seattle |
62% |
| Buffalo |
Oakland |
-3 |
Oakland |
62% |
| Tennessee |
Arizona |
-3 |
Arizona |
62% |
| Detroit |
Cleveland |
-2.5 |
Cleveland |
58% |
| Kansas City |
Miami |
-2 |
Miami |
56% |
| Denver |
N.Y. Giants |
-2 |
N.Y. Giants |
56% |
| Pittsburgh |
Cincinnati |
-1 |
Cincinnati |
53% |
| Baltimore |
Chicago |
-1 |
Chicago |
53% |
| Green Bay |
Minnesota |
2 |
Minnesota |
53% |
*=smoother chart
Shift it up.
It don't hurt to play a hunch about a dog beating a low odds of winning team.
Look over some of the rules for some tips on where you find the upset.
If you know nothing about football leave it be.
Also See:
Henry's Column week six
Henry's Column week five
Henry's Column week four
Straight-up quick picks
Full Story" Office Pool Picks (Thurs.)
Office Pool W-L records & standings
Find out more:
What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
Comparing NFL Handicapping Services
'Ready to Win' in 2005: our suite of tools to attack the lines this season
***
Subscribe Today for just $149! ***
Get access to ALL of our picks and handicapping tools for every game of the campaign (including playoffs).
