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Barrington Henry Subscriber Page
We run many features covering NFL football office pools that require simple 'pick the winner without regard for the point spread' rules. We figured though it was worthwhile to bring on board a true expert in the field, and Barrington surely qualifies as one of the best.
With picks, research, and optimized pick sets geared to specific rules, he may just be your single stop answer to winning the pool this week and this year!
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NFL 2008 Season: Office Pool Mastery!
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Barrington Henry: The Office Pool Authority
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Barrington is a bonafide winner in straight up football office pool type events. He has won multiple prizes, both weekly and season long, in the large Las Vegas "pick every game" contests.
“Focusing your life solely on making a buck shows a certain poverty of ambition. It asks too little of yourself. Because it's only when you hitch your wagon to something larger than yourself that you realize your true potential."
-- Barack Obama
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The Henry Rules
#1: Know the odds of a team winning
#2: Upsets happen
#3: Take the odds of winning and adjust them
#4: Don't get crazy
#5: The last game matters
#6: Season has stages
#7: Look at the won-loss record
#8: Division, Conference, Non Conference
#9: Travel Counts
#10: The NFL means pain
#11: Loser teams have excuses ready
#12: It's all about the Quarterback
#13: Emotion Commotion
Most important is #3.
The Henry Rules #3: Take the odds of winning and adjust them
--- Odds of Winning is odds of winning game STRAIGHT-UP (Spread NOT considered!)
UNADJUSTED ODDS (not his picks)
| Away Team |
Home Team |
Spread |
Likely Winner |
Odds of Winning* |
| Kansas City |
New England |
-16.5 |
New England |
95% |
| Chicago |
Indianapolis |
-9.5 |
Indianapolis |
79% |
| Carolina |
San Diego |
-9 |
San Diego |
78% |
| St. Louis |
Philadelphia |
-7.5 |
Philadelphia |
75% |
| Houston |
Pittsburgh |
-6.5 |
Pittsburgh |
72% |
| Dallas |
Cleveland |
5.5 |
Dallas |
72% |
| Washington |
N.Y. Giants |
-4 |
N.Y. Giants |
65% |
| Tampa Bay |
New Orleans |
-3.5 |
New Orleans |
64% |
| Minnesota |
Green Bay |
-3 |
Green Bay |
62% |
| Detroit |
Atlanta |
3 |
Detroit |
59% |
| N.Y. Jets |
Miami |
3 |
N.Y. Jets |
59% |
| Jacksonville |
Tennessee |
3 |
Jacksonville |
59% |
| Denver |
Oakland |
3 |
Denver |
59% |
| Seattle |
Buffalo |
0 |
Buffalo |
52% |
| Cincinnati |
Baltimore |
1.5 |
Baltimore |
51% |
| Arizona |
San Francisco |
2.5 |
San Francisco |
50% |
*=smoother chart
The above numbers are the raw odds of winning. Now you got to give it the shift. Long time readers know what I'm talking about.
The type of pool makes a difference. Season long you want to be conservative. Small shifts only. Don't get crazy.
The next numbers are my base season long pool picks:
BARRINGTON's ADJUSTED ODDS
| Away Team |
Home Team |
Spread |
Pick |
Adjusted Odds |
| Kansas City |
New England |
-16.5 |
New England |
95% |
| Chicago |
Indianapolis |
-9.5 |
Indianapolis |
84% |
| Carolina |
San Diego |
-9 |
San Diego |
73% |
| St. Louis |
Philadelphia |
-7.5 |
Philadelphia |
70% |
| Houston |
Pittsburgh |
-6.5 |
Pittsburgh |
67% |
| Dallas |
Cleveland |
5.5 |
Dallas |
67% |
| Tampa Bay |
New Orleans |
-3.5 |
New Orleans |
66% |
| Washington |
N.Y. Giants |
-4 |
N.Y. Giants |
65% |
| Denver |
Oakland |
3 |
Denver |
61% |
| Jacksonville |
Tennessee |
3 |
Jacksonville |
59% |
| Minnesota |
Green Bay |
-3 |
Green Bay |
57% |
| Detroit |
Atlanta |
3 |
Detroit |
56% |
| N.Y. Jets |
Miami |
3 |
N.Y. Jets |
56% |
| Seattle |
Buffalo |
0 |
Seattle |
55% |
| Cincinnati |
Baltimore |
1.5 |
Baltimore |
55% |
| Arizona |
San Francisco |
2.5 |
Arizona |
50% |
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