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NFL selections from Kevin Lewis
If you are one of the millions of people who has already read the "Bringing Down the House" bestseller, then Kevin Lewis will need no introduction. He is the central character and 'big player' in the team of MIT students who won millions of dollars at Blackjack over a span of several years from casinos throughout the country. His expertise however extends well beyond the game of '21' and indeed over the past two seasons he has published weekly picks for every single game, with a winning record of better than 55%!
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NFL Week Two
Well 9-5-1 in week 1, which isn’t bad considering Week 1 often feels like throwing darts at a dartboard in the dark. Some interesting observations from Week 1:
- Carolina’s offensive line is bad and they will not be able to run over teams like they did last season
- Baltimore has a weak offensive line and will have a lot of trouble scoring this season
- TB is old at all the skill positions and will have trouble scoring this season
Now on to this week’s games…
Jax +3 vs. Denver
Classic road favorite coming off a big win on national TV. Jax front seven is much better than KC’s and will give Denver a lot more trouble than the Chiefs did.
Pit +3.5 @ Baltimore
Steelers play the Ravens tough and simply have more weapons on offense than the Ravens do
Hou +3 @ Detroit
As much as I’m not ready to anoint Detroit the most improved team of the year, I’m also not ready to pronounce Houston dead but the bottom line is that Houston’s offense has better skill players than Detroit and I will take the points.
Indy +1 @ Ten
Tough to bet against the Titans at home in a game that they have had circled on their schedule but I believe that Indy is an elite team and realize the importance of this game not wanting to start the season in an 0-2 hole.
GB -8.5 vs. Chicago
Bears are simply too green for this match up with the Green. Coming off a tough loss to Detroit the Bears look primed to be run out of the stadium. GB looks to be an elite team this season.
NY Giants +3 vs. Washington
The Giants as a home dog are again a tempting pick. They seem to have a solid running scheme and with a very conservative game plan will be in more games than they are not.
SF +7.5 @ NO
Niners have all sorts of injury/personnel issues but they play hard and the Saints did not show very much at home last week. With all the commotion that is Hurricane Ivan I see 7.5 points as too many to give to this scrappy 49ers bunch.
Atlanta -2.5 vs. St. Louis
Rams are simply not a good road team. I don’t care if this game is on turf. Atlanta will be a resurgent team this season and although they looked a bit meager offensively against SF I think they win here.
KC -6 vs. Carolina
Tough to win in Arrowhead. Even tougher to win in Arrowhead when you can’t stop the run and KC is primed to cram it down your throat.
TB +3 vs. Seattle
TB is a tough home team and they still have some talent on defense. Taking home dogs is a good habit to get into and although I like this Seattle team I think this is a game that might give them a bit of trouble.
Cleveland +4.5 @ Dallas
I will bet against this Dallas team until I lose because they are very overrated defensively and have no running game to speak of. Cleveland was impressive last week.
Arizona +8 vs. NE
Love the Pats but this is a tough spot for them Bellichek realized that as he sent the troops out to Arizona two days early to get used to the heat. The bottom line is Arizona plays tough at home and may play on emotion as this game will begin with a tribute to Pat Tillman.
Oakland -3.5 vs. Buffalo
Bills stink. Until further notice bet against them. They hired a head coach who ran the Steelers’ offense. Not exactly the juggernaut you would look to for help at the offensive end.
New York Jets -3 @ SD
This will be a high scoring game but I think that the Jets will have a top five offense and at the end of the day SD will make too many mistakes to win this game.
Miami +5 @ Cincy
Miami defense will keep this game close. They did a great job last week against a much better offense in Ten. Cincy will have a great offense by the end of the season but at this point they will have trouble with teams that can really rush the passer.
Minnesota +3.5 @ Philly
Battle of top offenses and the game may come down to whoever has the ball last. In a game like that I take the points.
also see: Kevin Lewis' Week One Picks
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