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NFL Line Moves
During the season we will not only be posting the Bodog NFL odds for the upcoming games, but we'll also track how these Line Moves have panned out -- are they successful or moneyburners!
Are the moves coming from wise guys, syndicates, the sharps, or is it "square driven" based on a hot news story? Get the steam lowdown here!
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Major line move outcomes in the NFL
Week Five Line Moves (provided by SportsInsights.com)
| Away |
Home |
Open |
Close |
Away
Bet% |
Home
Bet% |
Away
Score |
Home
Score |
| New England |
Atlanta |
-2.5 |
+2 |
76% |
24% |
31 |
28 |
| Indianapolis |
San Francisco |
+14 |
+16 |
79% |
21% |
28 |
3 |
| Tampa Bay |
N.Y. Jets |
+3.5 |
+2 |
69% |
31% |
12 |
14 |
| Carolina |
Arizona |
+3 |
+2 |
75% |
25% |
24 |
20 |
| Chicago |
Cleveland |
-2 |
-2.5 |
41% |
59% |
10 |
20 |
| Miami |
Buffalo |
-2.5 |
-3 |
50% |
50% |
14 |
20 |
| Tennessee |
Houston |
-2.5 |
-3 |
52% |
48% |
34 |
20 |
| Washington |
Denver |
-6.5 |
-7 |
40% |
60% |
19 |
21 |
| Cincinnati |
Jacksonville |
-2.5 |
-3 |
58% |
42% |
20 |
23 |
Season to Date Line Moves W-L Records (vs closing line):
All: 22-17
3pt+ move = 1-1
2pt move = 3-3
1.5 move = 4-1
1pt move = 5-8
0.5 move = 9-4
Contrarian/Real Money Moves: 11-8
(Line moves with 50% or less of the bets on that side)
Public Money Moves: 11-9
(Line moves with 51% or more of the bets on that side)
Week Five Totals Line Moves (provided by SportsInsights.com)
| Away |
Home |
Open |
Close |
Over
Bet% |
Under
Bet% |
Away
Score |
Home
Score |
| Pittsburgh |
San Diego |
44 |
47 |
65% |
35% |
24 |
22 |
| Indianapolis |
San Francisco |
47 |
44.5 |
67% |
33% |
28 |
3 |
| New Orleans |
Green Bay |
41 |
43.5 |
87% |
13% |
3 |
52 |
| Miami |
Buffalo |
33.5 |
35.5 |
64% |
36% |
14 |
20 |
| New England |
Atlanta |
43 |
41.5 |
61% |
39% |
31 |
28 |
| Carolina |
Arizona |
42 |
43.5 |
74% |
26% |
24 |
20 |
| Seattle |
St. Louis |
48.5 |
47 |
63% |
37% |
37 |
31 |
| Tampa Bay |
N.Y. Jets |
31.5 |
32.5 |
64% |
36% |
12 |
14 |
| Chicago |
Cleveland |
34 |
35 |
38% |
62% |
10 |
20 |
| Washington |
Denver |
35 |
34 |
61% |
39% |
19 |
21 |
| Baltimore |
Detroit |
33 |
32 |
37% |
63% |
17 |
35 |
| Philadelphia |
Dallas |
44 |
43 |
74% |
26% |
10 |
33 |
Totals Line Moves W-L Records (vs closing line):
All: 24-37
3pt move = 1-1
2.5 move = 2-1
2pt move = 3-4
1.5 move = 5-5
1pt move = 8-14
0.5 move = 5-12
Totals Contrarian/Real Money Moves: 12-14
(Line moves with 50% or less of the bets on that side)
Totals Public Money Moves: 12-23
(Line moves with 51% or more of the bets on that side)
Archive:
NFL Week 4 Line Moves
NFL Week 3 Line Moves
NFL Week 2 Line Moves
NFL Week 1 Line Moves
Also see:
Super Bowl Odds Tracking
NFL Futures Odds
NFL First Half Odds
NFL Prop Bet Odds
NFL Halftime Lines
Odds of course are only part of the equation...we also have you covered when it comes to
making smart NFL picks
Find out more:
What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
Comparing NFL Handicapping Services
'Ready to Win' in 2005: our suite of tools to attack the lines this season
