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NFL Line Moves

During the season we will not only be posting the Bodog NFL odds for the upcoming games, but we'll also track how these Line Moves have panned out -- are they successful or moneyburners!

Are the moves coming from wise guys, syndicates, the sharps, or is it "square driven" based on a hot news story? Get the steam lowdown here!


Major line move outcomes in the NFL

Week One Line Moves (provided by SportsInsights.com)

Away Home Open Close Away
Bet%
Home
Bet%
Away
Score
Home
Score
 Houston  Buffalo -4 -6 36% 64% 7 22
 New Orleans  Carolina -5 -7 42% 58% 23 20
 St. Louis  San Francisco +4.5 +6.5 88% 12% 25 28
 Denver  Miami +4 +5.5 77% 23% 10 34
 Arizona  N.Y. Giants -1.5 -3 50% 50% 19 42
 Chicago  Washington -6.5 -5.5 36% 64% 7 9
 Tennessee  Pittsburgh -7.5 -7 56% 44% 7 34
 Philadelphia  Atlanta +1.5 +1 66% 34% 10 14

Line Moves W-L Records (vs closing line):

All: 4-4
2pt move = 1-2
1.5 move = 1-1
1pt move = 1-1
0.5 move = 1-0

Contrarian/Real Money Moves: 3-0
(Line moves with 50% or less of the bets on that side)

NY Giants to -3 (50% NYG bets)...WINS 42-19
Chicago to +5.5 (36% CHI bets)...WINS 7-9
Atlanta to +1 (34% ATL bets)...WINS 14-10


Week One Totals Line Moves (provided by SportsInsights.com)
Away Home Open Close Over
Bet%
Under
Bet%
Away
Score
Home
Score
 Indianapolis  Baltimore 47.5 44.5 55% 45% 24 7
 Philadelphia  Atlanta 41.5 43.5 74% 26% 10 14
 N.Y. Jets  Kansas City 49.5 47.5 71% 29% 7 27
 Houston  Buffalo 39 37.5 38% 62% 7 22
 New Orleans  Carolina 45.5 44.5 58% 42% 23 20
 Denver  Miami 38.5 37.5 44% 56% 10 34
 Oakland  New England 49.5 48.5 49% 51% 20 30
 Seattle  Jacksonville 40 39 51% 49% 14 26
 Green Bay  Detroit 46 45 83% 17% 3 17
 Arizona  N.Y. Giants 38 37.5 66% 34% 19 42
 Tennessee  Pittsburgh 40 39.5 63% 37% 7 34
 Cincinnati  Cleveland 44.5 45 76% 24% 27 13

Totals Line Moves W-L Records (vs closing line):

All: 5-7
3pt move = 1-0
2pt move = 1-1
1.5 move = 1-0
1pt move = 2-3
0.5 move = 0-3

Totals Contrarian/Real Money Moves: 4-3
(Line moves with 50% or less of the bets on that side)

Ind/Bal down to 44.5 (45% Under bets)...WINS 24-7
Nyj/Kc down to 47.5 (29% Under bets)...WINS 7-27
No/Car down to 44.5 (42% Under bets)...WINS 23-20
Sea/Jac down to 39 (49% Under bets)...Loses 14-26
Gb/Det down to 45 (17% Under bets)...WINS 3-17
Ari/Nyg down to 37.5 (34% Under bets)...Loses 19-42
Ten/Pit down to 39.5 (37% Under bets)...Loses 7-34

Also see:
Super Bowl Odds Tracking
NFL Futures Odds
NFL First Half Odds
NFL Prop Bet Odds
NFL Halftime Lines


Odds of course are only part of the equation...we also have you covered when it comes to making smart NFL picks



Find out more:
What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
Comparing NFL Handicapping Services
'Ready to Win' in 2005: our suite of tools to attack the lines this season

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