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NFL Line Moves
During the season we will not only be posting the Bodog NFL odds for the upcoming games, but we'll also track how these Line Moves have panned out -- are they successful or moneyburners!
Are the moves coming from wise guys, syndicates, the sharps, or is it "square driven" based on a hot news story? Get the steam lowdown here!
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Major line move outcomes in the NFL
Week One Line Moves (provided by SportsInsights.com)
| Away |
Home |
Open |
Close |
Away Bet% |
Home Bet% |
Away Score |
Home Score |
| Houston |
Buffalo |
-4 |
-6 |
36% |
64% |
7 |
22 |
| New Orleans |
Carolina |
-5 |
-7 |
42% |
58% |
23 |
20 |
| St. Louis |
San Francisco |
+4.5 |
+6.5 |
88% |
12% |
25 |
28 |
| Denver |
Miami |
+4 |
+5.5 |
77% |
23% |
10 |
34 |
| Arizona |
N.Y. Giants |
-1.5 |
-3 |
50% |
50% |
19 |
42 |
| Chicago |
Washington |
-6.5 |
-5.5 |
36% |
64% |
7 |
9 |
| Tennessee |
Pittsburgh |
-7.5 |
-7 |
56% |
44% |
7 |
34 |
| Philadelphia |
Atlanta |
+1.5 |
+1 |
66% |
34% |
10 |
14 |
Line Moves W-L Records (vs closing line):
All: 4-4
2pt move = 1-2
1.5 move = 1-1
1pt move = 1-1
0.5 move = 1-0
Contrarian/Real Money Moves: 3-0
(Line moves with 50% or less of the bets on that side)
NY Giants to -3 (50% NYG bets)...WINS 42-19
Chicago to +5.5 (36% CHI bets)...WINS 7-9
Atlanta to +1 (34% ATL bets)...WINS 14-10
Week One Totals Line Moves (provided by SportsInsights.com)
| Away |
Home |
Open |
Close |
Over Bet% |
Under Bet% |
Away Score |
Home Score |
| Indianapolis |
Baltimore |
47.5 |
44.5 |
55% |
45% |
24 |
7 |
| Philadelphia |
Atlanta |
41.5 |
43.5 |
74% |
26% |
10 |
14 |
| N.Y. Jets |
Kansas City |
49.5 |
47.5 |
71% |
29% |
7 |
27 |
| Houston |
Buffalo |
39 |
37.5 |
38% |
62% |
7 |
22 |
| New Orleans |
Carolina |
45.5 |
44.5 |
58% |
42% |
23 |
20 |
| Denver |
Miami |
38.5 |
37.5 |
44% |
56% |
10 |
34 |
| Oakland |
New England |
49.5 |
48.5 |
49% |
51% |
20 |
30 |
| Seattle |
Jacksonville |
40 |
39 |
51% |
49% |
14 |
26 |
| Green Bay |
Detroit |
46 |
45 |
83% |
17% |
3 |
17 |
| Arizona |
N.Y. Giants |
38 |
37.5 |
66% |
34% |
19 |
42 |
| Tennessee |
Pittsburgh |
40 |
39.5 |
63% |
37% |
7 |
34 |
| Cincinnati |
Cleveland |
44.5 |
45 |
76% |
24% |
27 |
13 |
Totals Line Moves W-L Records (vs closing line):
All: 5-7
3pt move = 1-0
2pt move = 1-1
1.5 move = 1-0
1pt move = 2-3
0.5 move = 0-3
Totals Contrarian/Real Money Moves: 4-3
(Line moves with 50% or less of the bets on that side)
Ind/Bal down to 44.5 (45% Under bets)...WINS 24-7
Nyj/Kc down to 47.5 (29% Under bets)...WINS 7-27
No/Car down to 44.5 (42% Under bets)...WINS 23-20
Sea/Jac down to 39 (49% Under bets)...Loses 14-26
Gb/Det down to 45 (17% Under bets)...WINS 3-17
Ari/Nyg down to 37.5 (34% Under bets)...Loses 19-42
Ten/Pit down to 39.5 (37% Under bets)...Loses 7-34
Also see:
Super Bowl Odds Tracking
NFL Futures Odds
NFL First Half Odds
NFL Prop Bet Odds
NFL Halftime Lines
Odds of course are only part of the equation...we also have you covered when it comes to
making smart NFL picks
Find out more:
What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
Comparing NFL Handicapping Services
'Ready to Win' in 2005: our suite of tools to attack the lines this season