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NFL Line Moves

During the season we will not only be posting the Bodog NFL odds for the upcoming games, but we'll also track how these Line Moves have panned out -- are they successful or moneyburners!

Are the moves coming from wise guys, syndicates, the sharps, or is it "square driven" based on a hot news story? Get the steam lowdown here!


Major line move outcomes in the NFL

Week Four Line Moves (provided by SportsInsights.com)

Away Home Open Close Away
Bet%
Home
Bet%
Away
Score
Home
Score
 Buffalo  New Orleans 0 -1.5 32% 68% 7 19
 San Diego  New England -5 -4 44% 56% 41 17
 Minnesota  Atlanta -5.5 -6.5 37% 63% 10 30
 Indianapolis  Tennessee +6.5 +7 73% 27% 31 10
 Philadelphia  Kansas City -2 -1.5 46% 54% 37 31
 N.Y. Jets  Baltimore -7.5 -7 36% 64% 3 13

Season to Date Line Moves W-L Records (vs closing line):

All: 17-14
3pt move = 0-1
2pt move = 2-3
1.5 move = 3-1
1pt move = 5-7
0.5 move = 7-2

Contrarian/Real Money Moves: 10-6
(Line moves with 50% or less of the bets on that side)

Public Money Moves: 7-8
(Line moves with 51% or more of the bets on that side)


Week Four Totals Line Moves (provided by SportsInsights.com)
Away Home Open Close Over
Bet%
Under
Bet%
Away
Score
Home
Score
 San Diego  New England 46 48 69% 31% 41 17
 Houston  Cincinnati 42.5 44 73% 27% 10 16
 St. Louis  N.Y. Giants 46 47.5 74% 26% 24 44
 San Francisco  Arizona 42.5 44 74% 26% 14 31
 N.Y. Jets  Baltimore 32.5 31.5 55% 45% 3 13
 Denver  Jacksonville 37 36 47% 53% 20 7
 Minnesota  Atlanta 45 44.5 81% 19% 10 30
 Indianapolis  Tennessee 45 45.5 69% 31% 31 10
 Philadelphia  Kansas City 46 45.5 72% 28% 37 31
 Detroit  Tampa Bay 35 34.5 75% 25% 13 17
 Seattle  Washington 36.5 36 43% 57% 17 20
 Dallas  Oakland 46 46.5 80% 20% 13 19
 Green Bay  Carolina 43 43.5 75% 25% 29 32

Totals Line Moves W-L Records (vs closing line):

All: 21-29
3pt move = 1-0
2.5 move = 0-1
2pt move = 3-3
1.5 move = 4-3
1pt move = 8-10
0.5 move = 5-12

Totals Contrarian/Real Money Moves: 11-10
(Line moves with 50% or less of the bets on that side)

Totals Public Money Moves: 10-19
(Line moves with 51% or more of the bets on that side)

Archive:
NFL Week 3 Line Moves
NFL Week 2 Line Moves
NFL Week 1 Line Moves

Also see:
Super Bowl Odds Tracking
NFL Futures Odds
NFL First Half Odds
NFL Prop Bet Odds
NFL Halftime Lines


Odds of course are only part of the equation...we also have you covered when it comes to making smart NFL picks



Find out more:
What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
Comparing NFL Handicapping Services
'Ready to Win' in 2005: our suite of tools to attack the lines this season

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