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Monday Night Football FREE Pick
Yes, it's a big game from a betting standpoint since hordes of unscrupulous touts are trying eagerly to get you to believe they have either the "get even" lifesaver or a flat out lock winner. You'll find no such attitude here where we'll look at the game with a calm, realistic perspective.
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Monday Night Football
Week Sixteen
Denver at San Diego
For a legend of our terminology, and an explanation of how we create the
following data, please see
The case for better numbers.
Drive Chart Stats
| OFFENSE |
Play |
Dyds |
TOP |
TD |
FG |
Punt |
T/O |
Pts |
| DEN |
5.6 |
34 |
2:51 |
20% |
16% |
33% |
16% |
23.2 |
| SD |
5.1 |
28 |
2:36 |
24% |
11% |
44% |
14% |
24.3 |
| DEFENSE |
Play |
Dyds |
TOP |
TD |
FG |
Punt |
T/O |
Pts |
| DEN |
5.2 |
32 |
2:59 |
24% |
16% |
34% |
17% |
26.3 |
| SD |
4.8 |
28 |
2:44 |
19% |
7% |
39% |
23% |
18.6 |
Projected Scores (Drive Charts)
| Team |
DC* |
DCTO* |
Denver
San Diego |
17
28 |
16
19 |
Play By Play Stats
| Denver |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
| DEN - Offense |
43% |
12% |
4.4 |
83 |
49% |
9% |
6.7 |
108 |
| SD - Defense |
+2% |
-1% |
+0 |
+1 |
+0% |
+0% |
-.2 |
-8 |
| DEN - Projection |
45% |
11% |
4.4 |
84 |
49% |
9% |
6.5 |
100 |
| San Diego |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
| SD - Offense |
41% |
12% |
4.2 |
80 |
43% |
9% |
6.0 |
90 |
| DEN - Defense |
+2% |
+3% |
+.6 |
+9 |
-1% |
+1% |
+.2 |
+5 |
| SD - Projection |
43% |
15% |
4.8 |
89 |
42% |
10% |
6.2 |
95 |
Projected Score (Play by Play)
| Team |
SCORE |
Denver
San Diego |
22
21 |
Ultimate Prediction Machine
| Matchup |
Line |
Pick |
Cover % |
| Denver at San Diego |
-9 |
Denver |
53 % |
Turnovers
| Away |
Line |
Home |
Net
INT |
Net
FUM |
Net
T/O |
INT
Pick |
FUM
Pick |
T/O
Pick |
| Denver |
-9 |
San Diego |
-10 |
-9 |
-19 |
DEN |
DEN |
DEN |
| Team |
Def. Int |
Def. Fum |
Off. Int |
Off. Fum |
Net T/O |
| Denver |
14 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
0 |
| San Diego |
27 |
14 |
16 |
6 |
+19 |
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Denver at San Diego (-9)
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Summary:
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Component
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Outlook
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Drive Charts
DC/TO
Play-By-Play
U.P.M.
Turnovers
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San Diego 28-17
San Diego 19-16
Denver 22-21
Denver 53 %
Denver
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Analysis: Does anyone know what is going on with the Denver Broncos? Some terrible games (like losing 41-3 at home to these same Chargers) and some unexpected wins. Numbers say San Diego has a slim edge in some looks, the Broncos get the cover in others. Chargers are in the playoffs so motivation is questionable. Our advice? It's Christmas Eve, you've got better things to do, so give this one a miss.
Favor: Pass
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