|
New Stat:
The conventional data on team first downs isn't very compelling. Check out our attempt at accurate moving the football ratings that had the Super Bowl teams ranked #1 and #2.
|
Accurate First Down Conversion Numbers
The following table shows the First Down Pickup Percentages for each down in series play, as well as a net rating taken from the series offense number minus the series defense number.
|
NFL 2002
|
On Offense
|
On Defense
|
O/D
|
| Team |
1st
Down |
2nd
Down |
3rd
Down |
Series |
1st
Down |
2nd
Down |
3rd
Down |
Series |
Net |
| Carolina |
19.8 |
23.3 |
30.4 |
54.1 |
20.3 |
26.1 |
33.2 |
57.7 |
-3.6 |
| Philadelphia |
15.7 |
34.4 |
41.5 |
64.5 |
19.2 |
28.9 |
33.2 |
58.2 |
+6.3 |
| Tampa Bay |
15.7 |
32.7 |
37.0 |
61.6 |
13.9 |
24.0 |
34.9 |
53.1 |
+8.5 |
| New York Giants |
19.8 |
34.3 |
43.6 |
67.0 |
18.5 |
28.2 |
36.6 |
60.8 |
+6.2 |
| Houston |
12.4 |
23.5 |
27.2 |
48.8 |
20.5 |
28.1 |
37.0 |
61.5 |
-12.7 |
| Green Bay |
20.3 |
31.3 |
40.9 |
65.4 |
19.5 |
34.6 |
37.5 |
63.0 |
+2.4 |
| Indianapolis |
21.4 |
30.2 |
48.1 |
68.2 |
19.2 |
32.5 |
37.6 |
63.0 |
+5.2 |
| Miami |
22.4 |
34.0 |
41.4 |
65.8 |
20.0 |
30.9 |
38.0 |
61.5 |
+4.3 |
| Dallas |
20.0 |
27.3 |
25.4 |
53.5 |
17.6 |
27.3 |
38.5 |
59.7 |
-6.2 |
| Washington |
20.0 |
28.1 |
41.2 |
61.6 |
19.4 |
27.6 |
38.5 |
61.7 |
-0.1 |
| Chicago |
17.5 |
27.9 |
36.2 |
58.1 |
20.5 |
32.2 |
39.4 |
64.5 |
-6.4 |
| St.Louis |
21.1 |
34.4 |
40.3 |
64.4 |
19.7 |
32.5 |
39.6 |
62.9 |
+1.5 |
| Buffalo |
24.4 |
32.1 |
45.2 |
67.8 |
19.4 |
32.5 |
39.7 |
64.4 |
+3.4 |
| Tennessee |
19.7 |
32.6 |
45.0 |
67.6 |
20.4 |
33.0 |
40.3 |
65.0 |
+2.6 |
| San Diego |
20.7 |
34.0 |
39.4 |
65.5 |
20.7 |
33.6 |
40.6 |
65.4 |
+0.1 |
| Oakland |
20.5 |
41.6 |
46.6 |
72.7 |
22.9 |
33.0 |
40.7 |
65.3 |
+7.4 |
| Cleveland |
17.2 |
25.0 |
43.6 |
61.1 |
17.5 |
29.4 |
41.0 |
62.2 |
-1.1 |
| Jacksonville |
21.4 |
29.5 |
36.2 |
62.5 |
20.3 |
36.0 |
41.0 |
67.2 |
-4.7 |
| New Orleans |
18.4 |
27.4 |
44.4 |
64.1 |
20.7 |
31.9 |
41.1 |
65.1 |
-1.0 |
| Baltimore |
18.5 |
25.4 |
39.2 |
58.8 |
19.1 |
26.5 |
42.1 |
61.5 |
-2.7 |
| Atlanta |
18.0 |
32.8 |
43.7 |
64.9 |
18.3 |
30.4 |
42.3 |
63.3 |
+1.6 |
| Minnesota |
21.3 |
36.3 |
44.7 |
68.6 |
25.3 |
30.8 |
42.9 |
67.2 |
+1.4 |
| Cincinnati |
19.8 |
31.7 |
40.3 |
64.3 |
22.5 |
34.3 |
42.9 |
68.1 |
-3.8 |
| New York Jets |
24.5 |
35.5 |
42.1 |
69.5 |
19.8 |
33.5 |
43.9 |
67.5 |
+2.0 |
| Pittsburgh |
20.6 |
32.2 |
41.6 |
64.6 |
18.4 |
23.7 |
44.0 |
61.2 |
+3.4 |
| New England |
18.7 |
30.3 |
44.7 |
65.5 |
19.0 |
30.8 |
44.2 |
64.6 |
+0.9 |
| Arizona |
15.7 |
24.3 |
45.0 |
60.4 |
21.7 |
36.7 |
44.2 |
69.5 |
-9.1 |
| Kansas City |
27.9 |
37.9 |
42.2 |
70.8 |
23.7 |
39.3 |
44.5 |
71.5 |
-0.7 |
| Denver |
23.2 |
38.2 |
41.1 |
68.4 |
20.5 |
29.2 |
46.4 |
66.4 |
+2.0 |
| Detroit |
18.2 |
26.3 |
30.3 |
55.3 |
22.6 |
33.2 |
46.7 |
69.7 |
-14.4 |
| Seattle |
25.6 |
32.3 |
44.7 |
69.4 |
20.9 |
36.0 |
47.9 |
70.0 |
-0.6 |
| San Francisco |
21.4 |
26.9 |
54.4 |
71.3 |
21.0 |
29.3 |
49.1 |
68.4 |
+2.9 |
Please note that an offensive team can pickup a first down through a penalty (for example, a pass interference call) which we count in the above. As a result of this and some other adjustments, our 3rd down conversion percentages will not match the official NFL stats (ours are more accurate!)
|
