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    Head-to-Head
    Challenge



    *** Next update: Friday morning, November 7th -- Week Ten Best Bets!

    NFL Challenge Match: Week Nine Best Bets

    Last week: Tim grabbed the early lead over Roland, and threatens to wreak more havoc on the very foundations of TwoMinuteWarning.

    Tim: Former TwoMinuteWarning frontman, ousted after unflattering visitor survey, now arising like a Phoenix from the ashes.
    Roland: The force behind drive chart projections, turnover difference and other key methods brings a wide ranging look to the games.

    WEEK NINE PICKS
     Tim!
    Wise men say, only fools rush in,
    but I can't help falling in love with you.

    Tim has been feeling the love of late. Yes indeedy. It's enough to make a grown degenerate cry.

    Speaking of which, on an esoteric note, if you've read the super esoteric book "The Degenerates of Lake Tahoe: a study in persistence in the social world of horse race gambling", see if you can't spot Tim.

    As fate would have it (and to tie in the seemingly without other purpose previous self-aggrandizing reference), I was in a used book store today, thumbing through a copy of that all time classic, that ultimate Halloween tale, "The Legend of Sleepy Hollow" (yes, I also spent some time reading through Dostoyevsky's "The Idiot", but what's your point?) and it occurred to me, that perhaps deep down, are we not all Ichabod Cranes? Are we not all chased in the dark on the way home by demon headless horsemen hurling pumpkins?

    Maybe not, I thought, put the book back on the shelf and ended up buying Winnie The Pooh instead.

    Favor: Oakland -2.5

    Tim's rebuttal to himself: dressed up in my full Green Lantern regalia, there are heroic deeds to be done

     Roland
    Home Field Advantage is an interesting discussion starter, and for the casual fan conversation will often center around the "storied teams" on their home fields. Who can forget the streak the Packers put together at Lambeau? Another legendary strong home team was the Denver Broncos when they played at Mile High, and truly in the Elway-Davis Super Bowl seasons they were formidable indeed at high altitude -- 19-0 straight up in the championship years, and 15-4 against the spread against big lines.

    Times change of course, but this Monday the new-look Broncos get to see how well their home field stacks up against the suddenly large New England Patriots. The TwoMinuteWarning.com stats on this affair show a quick preference for Denver: the original drive chart projection has the Broncos winning 21-14, and my new favorite tool the DC/TO has Denver ahead by an increased margin of 26-8.

    With the numbers in their corner, they should be well set for a prime time worthy performance.

    Favor: Denver -2.5

    Also see:
    NFL Challenge: Week Eight
    NFL Challenge: Week Seven
    NFL Challenge: Week Six
    NFL Challenge: Week Five
    NFL Challenge: Week Four
    NFL Challenge: Week Three
    NFL Challenge: Week Two
    NFL Challenge: Week One
    NFL Challenge: Playoff In/Out Teams


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