“The site's proprietary "Ultimate Prediction Machine" compiled an overall record of 111-83 (57 percent) in 2000, with its top-rated picks going 37-20 (65 percent).”
-- Las Vegas Sun
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NFL 2004
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Tracking our Performance
TwoMinuteWarning.com is your
complete handicapping solution!
To learn more about our content, please
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We have several key indicators we produce which in and of themselves make a prediction for every game each week. We have been creating drive chart stats and projections since 1997, play-by-play ratings and projections since 1998, the Ultimate Prediction Machine game simulator we have used live since 2000, and the turnover difference theory was something we pioneered as far back as 1995.
In addition we have columnists who specialize in a certain style of handicapping. Recent years have seen the introduction of a "Red Zone" analyst, selections culled from innovative use of the "Injury Reports", a "Full Story" simulator that encompasses a multitude of factors, picks from bankroll management experts, "Contrarian Consensus" handicapping and other exclusive and unique approaches to the game.
We never rest though and for the 2004 season we expect to launch new handicapping tools utilizing regression based forecasting, picks based on offensive line vs defensive line matchup breakdowns, coaching game plan ratings, halftime betting....
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Please note: The following results all represent *live* predictions (eg made before the game was played), against a neutral line (eg we did not select the line most advantageous to the prediction).
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SELECTION HIGHLIGHTS
2003 Season
| Category |
Won |
Lost |
Cover % |
| DC/TO High Overlays |
43 |
22 |
66 % |
| Contrarian Consensus |
25 |
14 |
64 % |
| Injury Report Picks |
25 |
15 |
63 % |
| Inside the 20 Column |
36 |
25 |
59 % |
| Full Story 60%+ Picks |
17 |
12 |
59 % |
NFL "BEST BET" HIGHLIGHTS
2003 Season
| Category |
Won |
Lost |
Cover % |
| Inside the 20 Column |
11 |
4 |
73% |
| DC/TO |
14 |
6 |
70% |
| Turnover Column |
11 |
5 |
69% |
| Injury Report |
12 |
6 |
67% |
| Full Story simulations |
11 |
7 |
61% |
For an understanding of our long-term results, we have provided detailed breakouts on several of the key indicators below.
ULTIMATE PREDICTION MACHINE
2000-2003 Season Performance
| Category |
Won |
Lost |
Cover % |
| All games |
416 |
375 |
53 % |
| 55%+ Confidence |
236 |
208 |
53 % |
| 60%+ Confidence |
117 |
90 |
57 % |
| 65%+ Confidence |
54 |
31 |
64 % |
| 70%+ Confidence |
20 |
6 |
77 % |
DRIVE CHART DOGS
1998-2003 Season Performance
| Category |
Won |
Lost |
Cover % |
| All Dogs |
222 |
169 |
57 % |
| 2+ Overlay |
178 |
126 |
59 % |
| 4+ Overlay |
111 |
66 |
63 % |
TURNOVER DIFFERENCE
1983-2003
| Category |
Won |
Lost |
Cover % |
| Basic T/O Rules |
910 |
684 |
57 % |
| Fumble T/O Plays |
682 |
537 |
56 % |
| Interception T/O Plays |
780 |
654 |
54 % |
"Contrarian Consensus"
1991-2003
| Category |
Won |
Lost |
Cover % |
| Contrarian Consensus |
382 |
260 |
60 % |
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