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Weekly NFL Player Projections
- Updated every FRIDAY by 3pm Pacific Time -
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If you play fantasy football then you know one of the big decisions each week is who to start and who to bench. Hopefully our weekly predictions for key players can help. Likewise if you follow player prop bets, these projections should prove useful, and finally we've seen some promising team level predictiveness.
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Predicting Individual Player Performance: Week 17
Trying to forecast player stats on a game by game basis is a tricky thing in the NFL, since much depends on the team and not just the individual -- a running back can quickly lose carries on a day if his team falls behind and has to pass, likewise the deep passing game participants may take a seat if a team gets ahead and just wants to run out the clock.
Nevertheless, we are back again for another season of boldly making player predictions!
[You can also sort by Team | Overall Points Leader]
| NFL 2005 |
Passing |
Rushing |
Receiving |
Fantasy |
| Pos |
Player |
Team |
Yds |
TD's |
Yds |
TD's |
Yds |
TD's |
Points* |
| QB |
Drew Brees |
SD |
234 |
1.9 |
5 |
0.1 |
|
|
20.4 |
| QB |
Drew Bledsoe |
DAL |
247 |
1.9 |
1 |
0.0 |
|
|
20.1 |
| QB |
Trent Green |
KC |
255 |
1.7 |
4 |
0.0 |
|
|
20.0 |
| QB |
Jake Delhomme |
CAR |
222 |
1.7 |
3 |
0.1 |
|
|
18.8 |
| QB |
Josh McCown |
ARI |
249 |
1.3 |
9 |
0.0 |
|
|
18.6 |
| QB |
Michael Vick |
ATL |
184 |
1.1 |
37 |
0.2 |
|
|
18.5 |
| QB |
Brett Favre |
GB |
212 |
1.6 |
5 |
0.0 |
|
|
17.5 |
| QB |
Eli Manning |
NYG |
217 |
1.4 |
4 |
0.1 |
|
|
17.5 |
| QB |
Mark Brunell |
WAS |
206 |
1.5 |
5 |
0.1 |
|
|
17.4 |
| QB |
Jim Sorgi |
IND |
202 |
1.4 |
7 |
0.1 |
|
|
17.0 |
| QB |
Kyle Boller |
BAL |
210 |
1.3 |
6 |
0.1 |
|
|
16.9 |
| QB |
Jamie Martin |
STL |
238 |
1.1 |
2 |
0.0 |
|
|
16.5 |
| QB |
David Carr |
HOU |
194 |
1.2 |
13 |
0.1 |
|
|
16.4 |
| QB |
Brooks Bollinger |
NYJ |
190 |
1.2 |
15 |
0.1 |
|
|
16.4 |
| QB |
Ben Roethlisberger |
PIT |
209 |
1.4 |
3 |
0.0 |
|
|
16.4 |
| QB |
Kelly Holcomb |
BUF |
198 |
1.3 |
2 |
0.1 |
|
|
15.9 |
| QB |
Tom Brady |
NE |
210 |
1.3 |
1 |
0.0 |
|
|
15.8 |
| QB |
Chris Simms |
TB |
200 |
1.4 |
2 |
0.0 |
|
|
15.8 |
| QB |
Steve McNair |
TEN |
210 |
1.1 |
5 |
0.0 |
|
|
15.4 |
| QB |
Kerry Collins |
OAK |
202 |
0.9 |
3 |
0.1 |
|
|
14.6 |
| QB |
Gus Frerotte |
MIA |
196 |
1.1 |
3 |
0.0 |
|
|
14.5 |
| QB |
Charlie Frye |
CLE |
183 |
1.0 |
7 |
0.1 |
|
|
14.5 |
| QB |
Brad Johnson |
MIN |
202 |
0.9 |
3 |
0.0 |
|
|
14.0 |
| QB |
Mike McMahon |
PHI |
164 |
0.6 |
15 |
0.3 |
|
|
13.9 |
| QB |
Todd Bouman |
NO |
193 |
0.6 |
4 |
0.0 |
|
|
12.5 |
| QB |
Alex Smith |
SF |
145 |
0.7 |
14 |
0.1 |
|
|
12.1 |
| QB |
David Garrard |
JAC |
119 |
0.9 |
19 |
0.1 |
|
|
12.1 |
| QB |
Seneca Wallace |
SEA |
132 |
0.6 |
14 |
0.1 |
|
|
11.0 |
| QB |
Joey Harrington |
DET |
170 |
0.5 |
3 |
0.0 |
|
|
10.8 |
| QB |
Carson Palmer |
CIN |
134 |
0.8 |
1 |
0.0 |
|
|
10.0 |
| QB |
Brad Van Pelt |
DEN |
117 |
0.6 |
6 |
0.1 |
|
|
9.5 |
| QB |
Jon Kitna |
CIN |
113 |
0.8 |
1 |
0.0 |
|
|
9.0 |
| QB |
Rex Grossman |
CHI |
117 |
0.7 |
1 |
0.0 |
|
|
8.8 |
| QB |
Jake Plummer |
DEN |
96 |
0.4 |
1 |
0.0 |
|
|
6.5 |
| QB |
Byron Leftwich |
JAC |
80 |
0.5 |
2 |
0.0 |
|
|
6.2 |
| QB |
Kyle Orton |
CHI |
91 |
0.3 |
3 |
0.0 |
|
|
6.1 |
| QB |
Peyton Manning |
IND |
60 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
5.0 |
| QB |
Matt Hasselbeck |
SEA |
58 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
4.1 |
| RB |
Larry Johnson |
KC |
|
|
127 |
1.6 |
23 |
0.1 |
25.2 |
| RB |
Tiki Barber |
NYG |
|
|
104 |
0.8 |
24 |
0.1 |
18.2 |
| RB |
Julius Jones |
DAL |
|
|
94 |
0.9 |
20 |
0.1 |
17.4 |
| RB |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
SD |
|
|
85 |
0.9 |
24 |
0.1 |
16.9 |
| RB |
Clinton Portis |
WAS |
|
|
99 |
0.7 |
17 |
0.1 |
16.4 |
| RB |
Cadillac Williams |
TB |
|
|
91 |
0.8 |
10 |
0.1 |
15.5 |
| RB |
DeShaun Foster |
CAR |
|
|
85 |
0.5 |
20 |
0.1 |
14.1 |
| RB |
Willis McGahee |
BUF |
|
|
74 |
0.6 |
7 |
0.1 |
12.3 |
| RB |
Willie Parker |
PIT |
|
|
70 |
0.5 |
15 |
0.1 |
12.1 |
| RB |
Shaun Alexander |
SEA |
|
|
59 |
0.9 |
4 |
0.0 |
11.7 |
| RB |
Zack Crockett |
OAK |
|
|
63 |
0.7 |
10 |
0.0 |
11.5 |
| RB |
Dominic Rhodes |
IND |
|
|
49 |
0.6 |
20 |
0.1 |
11.1 |
| RB |
Corey Dillon |
NE |
|
|
58 |
0.7 |
8 |
0.0 |
10.8 |
| RB |
Warrick Dunn |
ATL |
|
|
78 |
0.2 |
12 |
0.1 |
10.8 |
| RB |
Jonathan Wells |
HOU |
|
|
62 |
0.4 |
15 |
0.1 |
10.7 |
| RB |
Cedric Houston |
NYJ |
|
|
66 |
0.6 |
4 |
0.0 |
10.6 |
| RB |
Rudi Johnson |
CIN |
|
|
75 |
0.4 |
4 |
0.0 |
10.3 |
| RB |
Adrian Peterson |
CHI |
|
|
55 |
0.6 |
8 |
0.0 |
9.9 |
| RB |
Reuben Droughns |
CLE |
|
|
63 |
0.2 |
17 |
0.1 |
9.8 |
| RB |
Jamal Lewis |
BAL |
|
|
71 |
0.3 |
8 |
0.0 |
9.7 |
| RB |
Frank Gore |
SF |
|
|
50 |
0.5 |
12 |
0.0 |
9.2 |
| RB |
Steven Jackson |
STL |
|
|
58 |
0.2 |
12 |
0.1 |
8.8 |
| RB |
Ron Dayne |
DEN |
|
|
52 |
0.5 |
6 |
0.0 |
8.8 |
| RB |
Tatum Bell |
DEN |
|
|
51 |
0.2 |
13 |
0.1 |
8.2 |
| RB |
Ricky Williams |
MIA |
|
|
56 |
0.2 |
11 |
0.0 |
7.9 |
| RB |
Fred Taylor |
JAC |
|
|
58 |
0.2 |
8 |
0.0 |
7.8 |
| RB |
Derrick Blaylock |
NYJ |
|
|
38 |
0.3 |
11 |
0.1 |
7.3 |
| RB |
Jerome Bettis |
PIT |
|
|
30 |
0.7 |
1 |
0.0 |
7.3 |
| RB |
Maurice Hicks |
SF |
|
|
45 |
0.3 |
7 |
0.0 |
7.0 |
| RB |
Ryan Moats |
PHI |
|
|
47 |
0.3 |
3 |
0.0 |
6.8 |
| RB |
Maurice Morris |
SEA |
|
|
49 |
0.1 |
12 |
0.0 |
6.7 |
| RB |
Tony Fisher |
GB |
|
|
29 |
0.2 |
20 |
0.1 |
6.7 |
| RB |
Chris Brown |
TEN |
|
|
44 |
0.2 |
9 |
0.0 |
6.5 |
| RB |
Chester Taylor |
BAL |
|
|
33 |
0.2 |
13 |
0.1 |
6.4 |
| RB |
T.J. Duckett |
ATL |
|
|
27 |
0.6 |
1 |
0.0 |
6.4 |
| RB |
Noah Herron |
GB |
|
|
33 |
0.5 |
|
|
6.3 |
| RB |
Thomas Jones |
CHI |
|
|
35 |
0.2 |
7 |
0.1 |
6.0 |
| RB |
Kevin Faulk |
NE |
|
|
31 |
0.1 |
17 |
0.1 |
6.0 |
| RB |
Marion Barber |
DAL |
|
|
30 |
0.3 |
11 |
0.0 |
5.9 |
| RB |
Ronnie Brown |
MIA |
|
|
35 |
0.1 |
11 |
0.1 |
5.8 |
| RB |
Aaron Stecker |
NO |
|
|
29 |
0.1 |
16 |
0.1 |
5.7 |
| RB |
Edgerrin James |
IND |
|
|
33 |
0.2 |
11 |
0.0 |
5.6 |
| RB |
Mewelde Moore |
MIN |
|
|
30 |
0.1 |
13 |
0.1 |
5.5 |
| RB |
Michael Pittman |
TB |
|
|
24 |
0.1 |
19 |
0.1 |
5.5 |
| RB |
Marshall Faulk |
STL |
|
|
21 |
0.1 |
21 |
0.1 |
5.4 |
| RB |
Travis Henry |
TEN |
|
|
32 |
0.2 |
10 |
0.0 |
5.4 |
| RB |
Verron Haynes |
PIT |
|
|
30 |
0.1 |
11 |
0.1 |
5.3 |
| RB |
Patrick Pass |
NE |
|
|
25 |
0.1 |
15 |
0.1 |
5.2 |
| RB |
Michael Bennett |
MIN |
|
|
34 |
0.1 |
5 |
0.1 |
5.1 |
| RB |
Antowain Smith |
NO |
|
|
37 |
0.1 |
6 |
0.0 |
4.9 |
| RB |
Shawn Bryson |
DET |
|
|
22 |
0.1 |
20 |
0.0 |
4.8 |
| RB |
Artose Pinner |
DET |
|
|
29 |
0.1 |
11 |
0.0 |
4.6 |
| RB |
J.J. Arrington |
ARI |
|
|
30 |
0.1 |
8 |
0.0 |
4.4 |
| RB |
Ladell Betts |
WAS |
|
|
26 |
0.1 |
12 |
0.0 |
4.4 |
| RB |
Marcel Shipp |
ARI |
|
|
27 |
0.1 |
8 |
0.0 |
4.1 |
| RB |
LaBrandon Toefield |
JAC |
|
|
18 |
0.3 |
4 |
0.0 |
4.0 |
| TE |
Antonio Gates |
SD |
|
|
|
|
69 |
0.8 |
11.7 |
| TE |
Tony Gonzalez |
KC |
|
|
|
|
67 |
0.5 |
9.7 |
| TE |
Chris Cooley |
WAS |
|
|
|
|
49 |
0.6 |
8.5 |
| TE |
Todd Heap |
BAL |
|
|
|
|
48 |
0.4 |
7.2 |
| TE |
Alge Crumpler |
ATL |
|
|
|
|
56 |
0.2 |
6.8 |
| TE |
Jason Witten |
DAL |
|
|
|
|
47 |
0.3 |
6.5 |
| TE |
Jeremy Shockey |
NYG |
|
|
|
|
37 |
0.3 |
5.5 |
| TE |
Dallas Clark |
IND |
|
|
|
|
27 |
0.4 |
5.1 |
| TE |
Randy McMichael |
MIA |
|
|
|
|
36 |
0.2 |
4.8 |
| TE |
Jermaine Wiggins |
MIN |
|
|
|
|
36 |
0.1 |
4.2 |
| TE |
Heath Miller |
PIT |
|
|
|
|
29 |
0.2 |
4.1 |
| TE |
Donald Lee |
GB |
|
|
|
|
22 |
0.3 |
4.0 |
| TE |
Zack Hilton |
NO |
|
|
|
|
34 |
0.1 |
4.0 |
| TE |
Alex Smith |
TB |
|
|
|
|
23 |
0.2 |
3.5 |
| TE |
Ben Troupe |
TEN |
|
|
|
|
23 |
0.2 |
3.5 |
| TE |
Doug Jolley |
NYJ |
|
|
|
|
29 |
0.1 |
3.5 |
| TE |
Jerramy Stevens |
SEA |
|
|
|
|
29 |
0.1 |
3.5 |
| TE |
Ben Watson |
NE |
|
|
|
|
22 |
0.2 |
3.4 |
| TE |
Marcus Pollard |
DET |
|
|
|
|
27 |
0.1 |
3.3 |
| TE |
David Martin |
GB |
|
|
|
|
26 |
0.1 |
3.2 |
| TE |
Marcellus Rivers |
HOU |
|
|
|
|
19 |
0.2 |
3.1 |
| TE |
Erron Kinney |
TEN |
|
|
|
|
25 |
0.1 |
3.1 |
| TE |
L.J. Smith |
PHI |
|
|
|
|
24 |
0.1 |
3.0 |
| TE |
Aaron Shea |
CLE |
|
|
|
|
23 |
0.1 |
2.9 |
| TE |
Jeb Putzier |
DEN |
|
|
|
|
21 |
0.1 |
2.7 |
| TE |
Kris Mangum |
CAR |
|
|
|
|
19 |
0.1 |
2.5 |
| TE |
Desmond Clark |
CHI |
|
|
|
|
17 |
0.1 |
2.3 |
| TE |
Stephen Alexander |
DEN |
|
|
|
|
16 |
0.1 |
2.2 |
| TE |
Adam Bergen |
ARI |
|
|
|
|
15 |
0.1 |
2.1 |
| WR |
Steve Smith |
CAR |
|
|
2 |
0.0 |
93 |
0.9 |
14.9 |
| WR |
Joey Galloway |
TB |
|
|
|
|
77 |
0.8 |
12.5 |
| WR |
Terry Glenn |
DAL |
|
|
|
|
82 |
0.7 |
12.4 |
| WR |
Larry Fitzgerald |
ARI |
|
|
2 |
0.0 |
81 |
0.6 |
11.9 |
| WR |
Torry Holt |
STL |
|
|
|
|
82 |
0.6 |
11.8 |
| WR |
Andre Johnson |
HOU |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
74 |
0.6 |
11.1 |
| WR |
Santana Moss |
WAS |
|
|
|
|
80 |
0.5 |
11.0 |
| WR |
Chris Chambers |
MIA |
|
|
3 |
0.0 |
69 |
0.6 |
10.8 |
| WR |
Donald Driver |
GB |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
71 |
0.6 |
10.8 |
| WR |
Anquan Boldin |
ARI |
|
|
2 |
0.0 |
85 |
0.3 |
10.5 |
| WR |
Derrick Mason |
BAL |
|
|
|
|
70 |
0.5 |
10.0 |
| WR |
TJHoushmandzadeh |
CIN |
|
|
2 |
0.0 |
68 |
0.5 |
10.0 |
| WR |
Keyshawn Johnson |
DAL |
|
|
|
|
63 |
0.6 |
9.9 |
| WR |
Hines Ward |
PIT |
|
|
|
|
63 |
0.6 |
9.9 |
| WR |
Amani Toomer |
NYG |
|
|
|
|
60 |
0.6 |
9.6 |
| WR |
Drew Bennett |
TEN |
|
|
|
|
66 |
0.5 |
9.6 |
| WR |
Lee Evans |
BUF |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
58 |
0.6 |
9.5 |
| WR |
Eddie Kennison |
KC |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
62 |
0.5 |
9.3 |
| WR |
Chad Johnson |
CIN |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
68 |
0.4 |
9.3 |
| WR |
Laveranues Coles |
NYJ |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
61 |
0.5 |
9.2 |
| WR |
Keenan McCardell |
SD |
|
|
|
|
55 |
0.6 |
9.1 |
| WR |
Antonio Bryant |
CLE |
|
|
|
|
61 |
0.5 |
9.1 |
| WR |
Randy Moss |
OAK |
|
|
|
|
64 |
0.4 |
8.8 |
| WR |
Eric Moulds |
BUF |
|
|
|
|
67 |
0.3 |
8.5 |
| WR |
Troy Walters |
IND |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
59 |
0.4 |
8.4 |
| WR |
Mark Clayton |
BAL |
|
|
2 |
0.0 |
54 |
0.3 |
7.4 |
| WR |
Samie Parker |
KC |
|
|
|
|
54 |
0.3 |
7.2 |
| WR |
Plaxico Burress |
NYG |
|
|
|
|
54 |
0.3 |
7.2 |
| WR |
Muhsin Muhammad |
CHI |
|
|
|
|
47 |
0.4 |
7.1 |
| WR |
Ernest Wilford |
JAC |
|
|
|
|
40 |
0.5 |
7.0 |
| WR |
Jimmy Smith |
JAC |
|
|
|
|
52 |
0.3 |
7.0 |
| WR |
Roy Williams |
DET |
|
|
|
|
57 |
0.2 |
6.9 |
| WR |
Isaac Bruce |
STL |
|
|
|
|
55 |
0.2 |
6.7 |
| WR |
Jerry Porter |
OAK |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
53 |
0.2 |
6.6 |
| WR |
Donte Stallworth |
NO |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
52 |
0.2 |
6.5 |
| WR |
Michael Jenkins |
ATL |
|
|
|
|
38 |
0.4 |
6.2 |
| WR |
Justin McCareins |
NYJ |
|
|
|
|
50 |
0.2 |
6.2 |
| WR |
Reggie Brown |
PHI |
|
|
|
|
48 |
0.2 |
6.0 |
| WR |
Brandon Lloyd |
SF |
|
|
|
|
47 |
0.2 |
5.9 |
| WR |
Deion Branch |
NE |
|
|
|
|
46 |
0.2 |
5.8 |
| WR |
Joe Horn |
NO |
|
|
|
|
45 |
0.2 |
5.7 |
| WR |
Drew Carter |
CAR |
|
|
|
|
39 |
0.3 |
5.7 |
| WR |
Marty Booker |
MIA |
|
|
|
|
44 |
0.2 |
5.6 |
| WR |
Arnaz Battle |
SF |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
40 |
0.2 |
5.3 |
| WR |
Jabar Gaffney |
HOU |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
39 |
0.2 |
5.2 |
| WR |
Aaron Morehead |
IND |
|
|
|
|
40 |
0.2 |
5.2 |
| WR |
Eric Parker |
SD |
|
|
|
|
40 |
0.2 |
5.2 |
| WR |
David Givens |
NE |
|
|
|
|
39 |
0.2 |
5.1 |
| WR |
Bobby Engram |
SEA |
|
|
|
|
38 |
0.2 |
5.0 |
| WR |
Bernard Berrian |
CHI |
|
|
|
|
44 |
0.1 |
5.0 |
| WR |
Antonio Chatman |
GB |
|
|
3 |
0.0 |
34 |
0.2 |
4.9 |
| WR |
Corey Bradford |
HOU |
|
|
|
|
36 |
0.2 |
4.8 |
| WR |
Koren Robinson |
MIN |
|
|
2 |
0.0 |
32 |
0.2 |
4.6 |
| WR |
Chris Henry |
CIN |
|
|
|
|
28 |
0.3 |
4.6 |
| WR |
Rod Smith |
DEN |
|
|
|
|
40 |
0.1 |
4.6 |
| WR |
Roddy White |
ATL |
|
|
|
|
33 |
0.2 |
4.5 |
| WR |
Reggie Williams |
JAC |
|
|
|
|
32 |
0.2 |
4.4 |
| WR |
Joe Jurevicius |
SEA |
|
|
|
|
31 |
0.2 |
4.3 |
| WR |
Justin Gage |
CHI |
|
|
|
|
30 |
0.2 |
4.2 |
| WR |
Dennis Northcutt |
CLE |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
35 |
0.1 |
4.2 |
| WR |
Troy Williamson |
MIN |
|
|
|
|
29 |
0.2 |
4.1 |
| WR |
Antwaan Randle El |
PIT |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
28 |
0.2 |
4.1 |
| WR |
Charlie Adams |
DEN |
|
|
2 |
0.0 |
33 |
0.1 |
4.1 |
| WR |
Darrell Jackson |
SEA |
|
|
|
|
34 |
0.1 |
4.0 |
| WR |
Cedrick Wilson |
PIT |
|
|
|
|
33 |
0.1 |
3.9 |
| WR |
Ike Hilliard |
TB |
|
|
|
|
33 |
0.1 |
3.9 |
| WR |
Courtney Roby |
TEN |
|
|
|
|
33 |
0.1 |
3.9 |
| WR |
Matt Jones |
JAC |
|
|
1 |
0.0 |
25 |
0.2 |
3.8 |
| WR |
Ashley Lelie |
DEN |
|
|
|
|
32 |
0.1 |
3.8 |
| WR |
Brian Finneran |
ATL |
|
|
|
|
31 |
0.1 |
3.7 |
| WR |
Doug Gabriel |
OAK |
|
|
|
|
31 |
0.1 |
3.7 |
| WR |
Marcus Robinson |
MIN |
|
|
|
|
24 |
0.2 |
3.6 |
| WR |
Frisman Jackson |
CLE |
|
|
|
|
29 |
0.1 |
3.5 |
| WR |
Reggie Wayne |
IND |
|
|
|
|
28 |
0.1 |
3.4 |
| WR |
Josh Reed |
BUF |
|
|
|
|
26 |
0.1 |
3.2 |
| WR |
Greg Lewis |
PHI |
|
|
|
|
26 |
0.1 |
3.2 |
| WR |
Brandon Stokley |
IND |
|
|
|
|
25 |
0.1 |
3.1 |
| WR |
Travis Taylor |
MIN |
|
|
|
|
25 |
0.1 |
3.1 |
| WR |
Kevin Curtis |
STL |
|
|
|
|
25 |
0.1 |
3.1 |
* Scoring System:
1 point per 20 yards passing
1 point per 10 yards rushing/receiving
4 points per passing TD
6 points per rushing TD
In addition, we will be making an attempt to track the accuracy of player projections from a number of the leading online fantasy sites to see who comes out on top in the battle for ultimate player forecasting champion!
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Also See:
What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
Comparing NFL Handicapping Services
'Ready to Win' in 2005: our suite of tools to attack the lines this season
