Featuring NFL Picks and Analysis

NFL Player Prop Bets

Since we already make weekly Player Projections, it makes sense to take a look at some of the NFL player prop bets being offered.

While many sportsbooks are not yet entering the fray in this betting area, the always safe and reliable Bodog.com, among others, is posting some innovative prop bets.

Player versus Player - Week 16

A leading book allows for direct player versus player action, but uses the "Yahoo esque" fantasy scoring of 1 pt per 50 yds passing, 1 pt per 20 yds rushing/receiving, all TD's worth 6 points, fumbles/interceptions are -2

Pos Player Team Pass
Yds Pass
TD Rush
Yds Rush
TD Rec.
Yds Rec.
TD Points Line Est.
Value PICK

QB Carson Palmer CIN 248 2.2 4 0.1 0 0 19.0 -133 0.434

QB Jake Plummer DEN 230 1.5 6 0 0 0 13.9 +123 0.520

QB Drew Brees SD 293 2.1 3 0 0 0 18.6 -147 0.358

QB David Garrard JAC 224 1.4 30 0.4 0 0 16.8 +136 0.645 Garrard +136

QB Matt Hasselbeck SEA 219 1.7 5 0 0 0 14.8 -140 0.388

QB Jake Delhomme CAR 196 1.3 3 0.1 0 0 12.5 +130 0.594

QB Trent Green KC 251 1.4 5 0 0 0 13.7 -163 0.340

QB Rex Grossman CHI 166 1.1 10 0.1 0 0 11.0 +153 0.683 Grossman +153

RB Larry Johnson KC 0 0 108 1.2 22 0.1 14.3 -115 0.482

RB Shaun Alexander SEA 0 0 104 1 6 0 11.5 +105 0.468

RB LaDainian Tomlinson SD 0 0 97 0.7 28 0.2 11.7 -142 0.404

RB Tiki Barber NYG 0 0 91 0.4 22 0.1 8.7 +132 0.562

RB Rudi Johnson CIN 0 0 122 1.2 9 0.1 14.4 -119 0.482

RB Thomas Jones CHI 0 0 102 0.7 15 0.1 10.7 +109 0.464

RB Clinton Portis WAS 0 0 100 0.6 14 0.1 9.9 -115 0.459

RB Corey Dillon NE 0 0 78 0.7 15 0 8.9 +105 0.496

WR Steve Smith CAR 0 0 2 0 76 0.6 7.5 -120 0.383

WR Chris Chambers MIA 0 0 3 0 89 0.7 8.8 +110 0.594

WR Chad Johnson CIN 0 0 1 0 89 0.8 9.3 -127 0.462

WR Hines Ward PIT 0 0 0 0 59 0.6 6.6 +117 0.484

TE Antonio Gates SD 0 0 0 0 89 0.8 9.3 -183 0.364

TE Chris Cooley WAS 0 0 0 0 45 0.4 4.7 +168 0.562

Given the variance in player performance, particularly in a touchdown heavy scoring system like this, even the "projected to be outperformed" can have profitable expectations at the right odds.

Last week: 0-2 (-2.0 units)
Season: 22-22 (+7.3 units)

Archive:
- Week 15 Player Prop Bets
- Week 14 Player Prop Bets
- Week 13 Player Prop Bets
- Week 12 Player Prop Bets
- Week 11 Player Prop Bets
- Week 10 Player Prop Bets
- Week 9 Player Prop Bets
- Week 8 Player Prop Bets
- Week 7 Player Prop Bets
- Week 6 Player Prop Bets
- Week 5 Player Prop Bets
- Week 4 Player Prop Bets

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