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NFL Player Prop Bets
Since we already make weekly Player Projections, it makes sense to take a look at some of the NFL player prop bets being offered.
While many sportsbooks are not yet entering the fray in this betting area, the always safe and reliable Bodog.com, among others, is posting some innovative prop bets.
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Player versus Player
A leading book allows for direct player versus player action, but uses the "Yahoo esque" fantasy scoring of 1 pt per 50 yds passing, 1 pt per 20 yds rushing/receiving, all TD's worth 6 points, fumbles/interceptions are -2
| Pos |
Player |
Team |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
TD |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
TD |
Rec.
Yds |
Rec.
TD |
Points |
Line |
Est.
Value |
PICK |
| QB |
Marc Bulger |
STL |
268 |
2 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17.6 |
-105 |
0.466 |
|
| QB |
Brett Favre |
GB |
278 |
2.1 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18.4 |
-105 |
0.487 |
|
| QB |
Peyton Manning |
IND |
233 |
1.8 |
5 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
16.3 |
-130 |
0.403 |
|
| QB |
Tom Brady |
NE |
223 |
1.7 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14.8 |
+120 |
0.571 |
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| QB |
Drew Bledsoe |
DAL |
202 |
1.6 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13.7 |
-108 |
0.413 |
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| QB |
Mark Brunell |
WAS |
265 |
1.8 |
7 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
17.1 |
-102 |
0.543 |
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| QB |
Matt Hasselbeck |
SEA |
273 |
2 |
5 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
18.3 |
+103 |
0.570 |
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| QB |
Carson Palmer |
CIN |
224 |
1.6 |
2 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
14.8 |
-113 |
0.395 |
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| QB |
Jake Plummer |
DEN |
194 |
1.3 |
7 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
12.6 |
+110 |
0.479 |
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| QB |
Byron Leftwich |
JAC |
233 |
1.8 |
6 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
16.4 |
-120 |
0.470 |
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| RB |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
SD |
0 |
0 |
137 |
1.5 |
22 |
0.1 |
17.6 |
-130 |
0.393 |
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| RB |
Larry Johnson |
KC |
0 |
0 |
125 |
1.3 |
43 |
0.1 |
16.8 |
+120 |
0.587 |
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| RB |
Shaun Alexander |
SEA |
0 |
0 |
139 |
1.4 |
11 |
0 |
15.9 |
-163 |
0.360 |
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| RB |
Tiki Barber |
NYG |
0 |
0 |
104 |
0.7 |
24 |
0.1 |
11.2 |
+153 |
0.632 |
Barber +153 |
| RB |
Edgerrin James |
IND |
0 |
0 |
126 |
1 |
18 |
0.1 |
13.8 |
-135 |
0.401 |
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| RB |
Steven Jackson |
STL |
0 |
0 |
97 |
0.9 |
17 |
0.1 |
11.7 |
+125 |
0.574 |
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| RB |
Clinton Portis |
WAS |
0 |
0 |
101 |
0.8 |
18 |
0.1 |
11.4 |
-112 |
0.485 |
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| RB |
Sam Gado |
GB |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0.8 |
8 |
0.1 |
9.6 |
+102 |
0.466 |
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| WR |
Steve Smith |
CAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0.6 |
6.8 |
+104 |
0.384 |
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| WR |
Larry Fitzgerald |
ARI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
120 |
0.9 |
11.6 |
-114 |
0.553 |
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| WR |
Marvin Harrison |
IND |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0.8 |
8.3 |
-130 |
0.418 |
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| WR |
Randy Moss |
OAK |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
0.6 |
7 |
+120 |
0.549 |
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| WR |
Torry Holt |
STL |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
0.7 |
8.7 |
-120 |
0.387 |
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| WR |
Santana Moss |
WAS |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
103 |
0.8 |
10 |
+110 |
0.590 |
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Given the variance in player performance, particularly in a touchdown heavy scoring system like this, even the "projected to be outperformed" can have profitable expectations at the right odds.
Last week: 4-2 (+3.9 units)
Season: 18-16 (+8.1 units)
Archive:
- Week 10 Player Prop Bets
- Week 9 Player Prop Bets
- Week 8 Player Prop Bets
- Week 7 Player Prop Bets
- Week 6 Player Prop Bets
- Week 5 Player Prop Bets
- Week 4 Player Prop Bets
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