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NFL Player Prop Bets
Since we already make weekly Player Projections, it makes sense to take a look at some of the NFL player prop bets being offered.
While many sportsbooks are not yet entering the fray in this betting area, the always safe and reliable Bodog.com, among others, is posting some innovative prop bets.
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Player versus Player - Week 12
A leading book allows for direct player versus player action, but uses the "Yahoo esque" fantasy scoring of 1 pt per 50 yds passing, 1 pt per 20 yds rushing/receiving, all TD's worth 6 points, fumbles/interceptions are -2
| Pos |
Player |
Team |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
TD |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
TD |
Rec.
Yds |
Rec.
TD |
Points |
Line |
Est.
Value |
PICK |
| QB |
Carson Palmer |
CIN |
235 |
1.7 |
2 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
15.6 |
-127 |
0.383 |
|
| QB |
Peyton Manning |
IND |
248 |
1.9 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16.5 |
+117 |
0.601 |
Manning +117 |
| QB |
Steve McNair |
TEN |
271 |
2 |
9 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
18.5 |
+127 |
0.624 |
McNair +127 |
| QB |
Tom Brady |
NE |
292 |
2.2 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19.1 |
-137 |
0.371 |
|
| QB |
Drew Brees |
SD |
242 |
1.5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13.9 |
-112 |
0.402 |
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| QB |
Byron Leftwich |
JAC |
237 |
1.9 |
5 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
17.0 |
+102 |
0.560 |
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| QB |
Trent Green |
KC |
293 |
1.8 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16.9 |
-117 |
0.418 |
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| QB |
Brett Favre |
GB |
272 |
2 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17.6 |
+107 |
0.547 |
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| RB |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
SD |
0 |
0 |
85 |
1 |
25 |
0.1 |
12.1 |
-110 |
0.410 |
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| RB |
Larry Johnson |
KC |
0 |
0 |
116 |
1.2 |
22 |
0.1 |
14.7 |
+100 |
0.549 |
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| RB |
Shaun Alexander |
SEA |
0 |
0 |
100 |
1.2 |
8 |
0 |
12.6 |
-126 |
0.430 |
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| RB |
Edgerrin James |
IND |
0 |
0 |
89 |
0.8 |
16 |
0.1 |
10.7 |
+116 |
0.531 |
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| RB |
Tiki Barber |
NYG |
0 |
0 |
78 |
0.4 |
19 |
0.1 |
7.9 |
-102 |
0.391 |
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| RB |
Lamont Jordan |
OAK |
0 |
0 |
90 |
0.7 |
39 |
0.2 |
11.9 |
-108 |
0.557 |
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| RB |
Steven Jackson |
STL |
0 |
0 |
100 |
0.9 |
17 |
0.1 |
11.9 |
-139 |
0.401 |
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| RB |
Reuben Droughns |
CLE |
0 |
0 |
98 |
0.5 |
18 |
0.1 |
9.4 |
+129 |
0.571 |
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| WR |
Steve Smith |
CAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
0.9 |
10.6 |
-120 |
0.458 |
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| WR |
Chad Johnson |
CIN |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
88 |
0.7 |
8.7 |
+110 |
0.496 |
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| WR |
Randy Moss |
OAK |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0.8 |
8.4 |
-122 |
0.436 |
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| WR |
Larry Fitzgerald |
ARI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
72 |
0.6 |
7.4 |
+112 |
0.525 |
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| WR |
Hines Ward |
PIT |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0.5 |
6.3 |
-123 |
0.450 |
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| WR |
TJ Houshmandzadeh |
CIN |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
61 |
0.3 |
5.1 |
+113 |
0.505 |
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Given the variance in player performance, particularly in a touchdown heavy scoring system like this, even the "projected to be outperformed" can have profitable expectations at the right odds.
Last week: 0-1 (-1.0 units)
Season: 18-17 (+7.1 units)
Archive:
- Week 11 Player Prop Bets
- Week 10 Player Prop Bets
- Week 9 Player Prop Bets
- Week 8 Player Prop Bets
- Week 7 Player Prop Bets
- Week 6 Player Prop Bets
- Week 5 Player Prop Bets
- Week 4 Player Prop Bets
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