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NFL Player Prop Bets
Since we already make weekly Player Projections, it makes sense to take a look at some of the NFL player prop bets being offered.
While many sportsbooks are not yet entering the fray in this betting area, the always safe and reliable Bodog.com, among others, is posting some innovative prop bets.
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Player versus Player - Week 14
A leading book allows for direct player versus player action, but uses the "Yahoo esque" fantasy scoring of 1 pt per 50 yds passing, 1 pt per 20 yds rushing/receiving, all TD's worth 6 points, fumbles/interceptions are -2
| Pos |
Player |
Team |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
TD |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
TD |
Rec.
Yds |
Rec.
TD |
Points |
Line |
Est.
Value |
PICK |
| QB |
Carson Palmer |
CIN |
258 |
2.1 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17.9 |
-141 |
0.378 |
|
| QB |
Drew Brees |
SD |
238 |
1.8 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15.7 |
+131 |
0.611 |
Brees +131 |
| QB |
Peyton Manning |
IND |
239 |
1.9 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16.3 |
-147 |
0.334 |
|
| QB |
Brad Johnson |
MIN |
233 |
1.9 |
5 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
16.9 |
+137 |
0.698 |
Johnson +137 |
| QB |
Matt Hasselbeck |
SEA |
272 |
1.8 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16.5 |
-110 |
0.496 |
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| QB |
Michael Vick |
ATL |
163 |
1.2 |
42 |
0.2 |
0 |
0 |
13.8 |
+100 |
-0.455 |
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| QB |
Drew Bledsoe |
DAL |
255 |
1.9 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16.6 |
-122 |
0.460 |
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| QB |
Jake Plummer |
DEN |
218 |
1.4 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13.0 |
+112 |
0.492 |
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| QB |
Eli Manning |
NYG |
213 |
1.7 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14.7 |
-108 |
0.481 |
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| QB |
Kurt Warner |
ARI |
253 |
1.4 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13.6 |
-102 |
0.471 |
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| RB |
Shaun Alexander |
SEA |
0 |
0 |
127 |
1.4 |
7 |
0.1 |
15.7 |
-135 |
0.412 |
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| RB |
Larry Johnson |
KC |
0 |
0 |
102 |
1 |
16 |
0.1 |
12.5 |
+125 |
0.554 |
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| RB |
Edgerrin James |
IND |
0 |
0 |
100 |
0.8 |
17 |
0.1 |
11.3 |
-116 |
0.497 |
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| RB |
Tiki Barber |
NYG |
0 |
0 |
83 |
0.4 |
22 |
0.1 |
8.3 |
+106 |
0.448 |
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| RB |
Rudi Johnson |
CIN |
0 |
0 |
98 |
0.9 |
9 |
0 |
10.8 |
-120 |
0.402 |
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| RB |
Clinton Portis |
WAS |
0 |
0 |
105 |
0.8 |
18 |
0.1 |
11.6 |
+110 |
0.570 |
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| RB |
Willis McGahee |
BUF |
0 |
0 |
95 |
0.6 |
13 |
0.1 |
9.6 |
-120 |
0.473 |
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| RB |
Thomas Jones |
CHI |
0 |
0 |
84 |
0.3 |
14 |
0.1 |
7.3 |
+110 |
0.475 |
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| WR |
Chad Johnson |
CIN |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
0.8 |
9.4 |
-110 |
0.486 |
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| WR |
Steve Smith |
CAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
80 |
0.7 |
8.2 |
+100 |
-0.466 |
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| WR |
Larry Fitzgerald |
ARI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
83 |
0.6 |
7.9 |
-131 |
0.385 |
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| WR |
Marvin Harrison |
IND |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0.7 |
7.7 |
+121 |
0.599 |
Harrison +121 |
| WR |
Hines Ward |
PIT |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0.4 |
4.7 |
-105 |
0.366 |
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| WR |
Joey Galloway |
TB |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
0.6 |
7.5 |
-105 |
0.586 |
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Given the variance in player performance, particularly in a touchdown heavy scoring system like this, even the "projected to be outperformed" can have profitable expectations at the right odds.
Last week: 1-1 (+0.3 units)
Season: 20-19 (+7.7 units)
Archive:
- Week 13 Player Prop Bets
- Week 12 Player Prop Bets
- Week 11 Player Prop Bets
- Week 10 Player Prop Bets
- Week 9 Player Prop Bets
- Week 8 Player Prop Bets
- Week 7 Player Prop Bets
- Week 6 Player Prop Bets
- Week 5 Player Prop Bets
- Week 4 Player Prop Bets
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