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NFL Player Prop Bets
Since we already make weekly Player Projections, it makes sense to take a look at some of the NFL player prop bets being offered.
While many sportsbooks are not yet entering the fray in this betting area, the always safe and reliable Bodog.com, among others, is posting some innovative prop bets.
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Player versus Player - Week 15
A leading book allows for direct player versus player action, but uses the "Yahoo esque" fantasy scoring of 1 pt per 50 yds passing, 1 pt per 20 yds rushing/receiving, all TD's worth 6 points, fumbles/interceptions are -2
| Pos |
Player |
Team |
Pass Yds |
Pass TD |
Rush Yds |
Rush TD |
Rec. Yds |
Rec. TD |
Points |
Line |
Est. Value |
PICK |
| QB |
Carson Palmer |
CIN |
207 |
1.7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14.4 |
-130 |
0.323 |
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| QB |
David Garrard |
JAC |
250 |
2 |
24 |
0.3 |
0 |
0 |
20.0 |
+120 |
0.697 |
Garrard +120 |
| QB |
Kurt Warner |
ARI |
341 |
1.8 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17.8 |
-110 |
0.462 |
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| QB |
Matt Hasselbeck |
SEA |
251 |
2 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17.2 |
+100 |
0.492 |
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| QB |
Eli Manning |
NYG |
296 |
2.1 |
6 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
19.4 |
-105 |
0.528 |
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| QB |
Jake Delhomme |
CAR |
233 |
1.7 |
3 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
15.6 |
-105 |
0.424 |
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| QB |
Trent Green |
KC |
218 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10.5 |
-116 |
0.406 |
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| QB |
Gus Frerotte |
MIA |
193 |
1.3 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11.8 |
+106 |
0.561 |
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| RB |
Larry Johnson |
KC |
0 |
0 |
100 |
1 |
20 |
0.1 |
12.6 |
-110 |
0.442 |
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| RB |
Shaun Alexander |
SEA |
0 |
0 |
111 |
1.1 |
11 |
0.1 |
13.3 |
+100 |
0.514 |
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| RB |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
SD |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0.9 |
24 |
0.1 |
11.5 |
-120 |
0.398 |
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| RB |
Edgerrin James |
IND |
0 |
0 |
105 |
0.9 |
26 |
0.1 |
12.6 |
+110 |
0.575 |
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| RB |
Tiki Barber |
NYG |
0 |
0 |
107 |
0.5 |
34 |
0.1 |
10.7 |
-120 |
0.394 |
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| RB |
Thomas Jones |
CHI |
0 |
0 |
114 |
0.9 |
16 |
0 |
11.9 |
+110 |
0.580 |
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| RB |
Ronnie Brown |
MIA |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0.4 |
14 |
0.1 |
6.6 |
-150 |
0.321 |
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| RB |
Cadillac Williams |
TB |
0 |
0 |
91 |
0.3 |
14 |
0 |
7.1 |
+140 |
0.726 |
Williams +140 |
| WR |
Steve Smith |
CAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
0.9 |
10.8 |
-140 |
0.443 |
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| WR |
Chris Chambers |
MIA |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
70 |
0.5 |
6.6 |
+130 |
0.495 |
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| WR |
Marvin Harrison |
IND |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
0.9 |
10.2 |
-110 |
0.579 |
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| WR |
Chad Johnson |
CIN |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
67 |
0.4 |
5.8 |
+100 |
0.364 |
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Given the variance in player performance, particularly in a touchdown heavy scoring system like this, even the "projected to be outperformed" can have profitable expectations at the right odds.
Last week: 2-1 (+1.6 units)
Season: 22-20 (+9.3 units)
Archive:
- Week 14 Player Prop Bets
- Week 13 Player Prop Bets
- Week 12 Player Prop Bets
- Week 11 Player Prop Bets
- Week 10 Player Prop Bets
- Week 9 Player Prop Bets
- Week 8 Player Prop Bets
- Week 7 Player Prop Bets
- Week 6 Player Prop Bets
- Week 5 Player Prop Bets
- Week 4 Player Prop Bets
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