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NFL Player Prop Bets
Since we already make weekly Player Projections, it makes sense to take a look at some of the NFL player prop bets being offered.
While many sportsbooks are not yet entering the fray in this betting area, the always safe and reliable Bodog.com, among others, is posting some innovative prop bets.
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Player versus Player
A leading book allows for direct player versus player action, but uses the "Yahoo esque" fantasy scoring of 1 pt per 50 yds passing, 1 pt per 20 yds rushing/receiving, all TD's worth 6 points, fumbles/interceptions are -2
| Pos |
Player |
Team |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
TD |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
TD |
Rec.
Yds |
Rec.
TD |
Points |
Line |
Est.
Value |
PICK |
| QB |
Peyton Manning |
IND |
292 |
2.4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20.3 |
-194 |
0.250 |
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| QB |
Mark Brunell |
WAS |
315 |
2.5 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21.7 |
+174 |
0.897 |
Brunell +174 |
| QB |
Brett Favre |
GB |
259 |
2 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17.6 |
-118 |
0.434 |
|
| QB |
Jake Plummer |
DEN |
268 |
1.7 |
12 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
16.8 |
+108 |
0.527 |
|
| QB |
Aaron Brooks |
NO |
301 |
1.9 |
21 |
0.2 |
0 |
0 |
19.7 |
-120 |
0.488 |
|
| QB |
Kelly Holcomb |
BUF |
238 |
1.5 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13.9 |
+110 |
0.456 |
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| QB |
Eli Manning |
NYG |
236 |
1.7 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15.1 |
-132 |
0.413 |
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| QB |
Trent Green |
KC |
232 |
1.3 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12.6 |
+122 |
0.556 |
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| RB |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
SD |
0 |
0 |
107 |
1 |
30 |
0.2 |
14.1 |
-145 |
0.388 |
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| RB |
Priest Holmes |
KC |
0 |
0 |
60 |
0.6 |
38 |
0.4 |
10.9 |
+135 |
0.590 |
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| RB |
Edgerrin James |
IND |
0 |
0 |
126 |
1.2 |
24 |
0.2 |
15.9 |
-130 |
0.403 |
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| RB |
Shaun Alexander |
SEA |
0 |
0 |
127 |
1.3 |
6 |
0 |
14.5 |
+120 |
0.571 |
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| RB |
Willis McGahee |
BUF |
0 |
0 |
109 |
0.9 |
19 |
0.1 |
12.4 |
-143 |
0.440 |
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| RB |
Tiki Barber |
NYG |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0.4 |
14 |
0.1 |
7.3 |
+133 |
0.493 |
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| RB |
Domanick Davis |
HOU |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0.5 |
23 |
0.1 |
8.5 |
-125 |
0.489 |
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| RB |
Jamal Lewis |
BAL |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0.3 |
8 |
0 |
5.4 |
+115 |
0.447 |
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| WR |
Terrell Owens |
PHI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
0.8 |
9.6 |
-132 |
0.335 |
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| WR |
Santana Moss |
WAS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
1 |
12.1 |
+122 |
0.680 |
Moss +122 |
| WR |
Larry Fitzgerald |
ARI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
94 |
0.9 |
10.2 |
-138 |
0.361 |
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| WR |
Anquan Boldin |
ARI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
106 |
0.8 |
10.2 |
+128 |
0.642 |
Boldin +128 |
| WR |
Chad Johnson |
CIN |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
96 |
0.8 |
9.7 |
-130 |
0.397 |
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| WR |
Plaxico Burress |
NYG |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0.8 |
9.1 |
+120 |
0.581 |
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Given the variance in player performance, particularly in a touchdown heavy scoring system like this, even the "projected to be outperformed" can have profitable expectations at the right odds.
Last week: 3-3 (+1.2 units)
Season: 10-9 (+3.9 units)
Archive:
- Week 6 Player Prop Bets
- Week 5 Player Prop Bets
- Week 4 Player Prop Bets
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