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NFL Stats & Research Articles

While we are known by many for our NFL picks, a large part of our work is oriented to creating innovative new NFL statistics and ratings. This season's game charting efforts should produce even more fodder for insightful analysis. In addition we publish extensive research that looks at how to be more successful in forecasting NFL outcomes.

We have a complete NFL schedule to choose from, including Dallas Cowboys tickets, Indianapolis Colts tickets, NE Patriots tickets, college football tickets


2007 Articles

NFL football picks Preseason Picks Wrapup
While you can't handicap the games in the same fashion as "real" contests, we do have a few methods that have delivered for us in the past, and again this season -- the final 2007 preseason picks tally shows a nifty 12-5 (71%) record!

NFL football picks Evaluating Injuries
The NFL is a tough game to play. Each week that a pro football player steps on the field is another series of damaging shots to the body. The question is, can we find a way to use the injury information released by the NFL to devise a method for predicting how teams will perform with injured players?

NFL football picks Predicting Team Season Wins, Part I
The first in a multi-part series of reseach articles on how to make smart season win selections, leading up to our own (subscriber access) official TMW PICKS for NFL 2007.

NFL football picks Nine Year Team Trends
Heading into the NFL 2007 season summer training camps, it makes sense to take a look at where the teams have been if you're trying to predict where they will be going...

...and more Seriously Cool content coming soon!

Prior Research Classics

Book Review: 2006 Pro Football Prospectus
Book Review: Scientific Football 2006
Book Review: The Unemotional Football Bettor
Book Review: Sharp Sports Betting

2006 Team Season Win Over/Under PICKS!
The 'Full Story' Simulation Engine
Falcon Past Performance Sheets
NFL Parlay Betting
Drive Chart Dogs
Correlation of NFL stats to wins
New Salary Cap Research
Does preseason matter?
Should NFL Coaches Take More Risks?
NFL halftime betting tips
'Week That Was' Research
The case for better numbers
Officiating Statistics
Turnover Difference
Combining drive chart stats and turnover difference
What Timeframe to use?
Correlations of stats to wins
Halftime Betting Tips
Playing the LV Hilton Tourney
Playing the LV Hilton Tourney, part II
What is the UPM?
Understanding Overlays
Sandwich Games
Offensive Line ratings
Front running teams
Accurate First Down stats
Preseason: GAP comparisons
Preseason: WIN comparisons
The Last Month of the Season
High Percentage Home Teams
Good Stats, Bad Teams
The Quarterback is Doubtful!
The Wrong Team Won!
NFL pre-Bye teams
NFL teams off a bye
Quantifying Motivation
O/D Ranks Linemaking Art
Preseason vs first month
Preseason W/L vs early games?
Records versus good/bad teams
Turnovers & Totals
No Show Teams
Draft Picks vs Spread Records
Soccer Style Stats
Look Ahead Teams
Punishing Teams
Player Spotlight: Priest Holmes

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