How to win at sports betting

"To uncover the secrets of NFL betting success, TwoMinuteWarning has correlated teams' statistics in key categories with their overall records."     -- New York Times (Nov. 28th, 2004)

Obviously the majority of people who bet on sports lose money in the long term. This however is a reflection of too much betting being done without any 'due diligence.' In other words, bets are made without any understanding of what actually determines winning and losing in a given sport. To overcome the vigorish on a bet (typically laying 11 to win 10) you must be:

- informed about the gambling realities of your sport (for us, NFL football)
- have handicapping tools with proven predictive value for sports betting
- use a disciplined money management approach

You may think because you follow football and know the names of NFL players that you can win at sports betting. This unfortunately is a common mistake. Being a fan and being a successful sports gambler are two different things. On the other hand, if you do research into what wins, you find methods like these:

• using the NFL injury report to pick winners (64% lifetime record)


• betting underdogs with a Drive Chart stats overlay (62%)


• 'Full Story' game simulations (61%)


• Falcon Past Performance Sheets (64% in testing)

At TwoMinuteWarning we encourage you to learn how to handicap. People who make their own sports betting picks, whether for NFL football, baseball, basketball, or whatever, will derive more enjoyment and satisfaction out of the activity, and frequently be more successful than if they simply follow a random tout's overly hyped picks.

-- Step #2: find the true experts and listen to their advice

Of course, many people don't want to put in the effort to learn how to handicap games themselves. If you fall into this camp but still intend to be sports betting this season, then we strongly urge you to consider turning to the best source for sports betting picks.

Forecasting the outcome of NFL football games is a demanding task, requiring intensive statistical analysis that covers a wide range of factors. Injuries, motivation, efficiency on a play by play basis, drive success rates, trends, red zone performance...you name it and we've researched whether it has any bearing on making wise NFL wagers.

Our subscriber content is designed to provide a comprehensive take on the upcoming games, allowing users to both come to their own conclusions as well as rely on our group of experts to find the true sports betting opportunities available against the current lines.

To find out more about TwoMinuteWarning.com and what we offer, please see:

- What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
- Comparing NFL Handicapping Services
- NFL Picks that are 'Ready to Win' in 2005: our suite of tools to attack the lines this season