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NFL Picks

TWO MINUTE TIM!

This is an archived column, for the latest from Tim see his Most Recent Column

Preseason Week One Picks

So there I was, living the nightmare that is having wagered against a Steve Spurrier team in preseason only to watch him continue to call for bombs with a big lead late in the meaningless, oh so meaningless contest.

Perhaps I had it coming. Perhaps my hubris deserved such a comeuppance. Now mind you, the amount of moolah yours truly had riding on this event was miniscule since my attitude is preseason is for wimps and the naive and gullible. All the same though, it wasn't the most enjoyable first game of the season for me to watch.

There is a theory when playing golf that you don't want to hit too well if at all on the driving range before a round as you'll be leaving your best shots on the range and follow up with a pitiful, palpably pathetic effort on the actual links. Such may also be the case with football schlepping, er touting, er advising. Maybe it is a sign of good things to come that I got smoked in game one. Yes, that is how my karma is lining things up for a miraculous year.

Jump in boys! (and girls)

Da Picks:

Jets +5.5
Bengals +2.5
Baltimore -3
Jacksonville +3.5
Oakland +3
San Diego -3
Cleveland +3.5
Denver pick'em
Green Bay +3
Houston +4.5
Seattle -3
Kansas City +4.5
New England +3
St. Louis -1.5
Carolina +7 [Touche mister Spurrier]
Tampa Bay -3.5

Preseason record: 0-2

Since we are goofing around in preseason we might as well let the four bankroll elves out of my brain for a little fun: these four are stodgy, happy, due boy and manic. They have their own way of playing, so let's see who wins! We'll give 'em each $1000 to start

Stodgy: mister conservative when it comes to playing, divvies up only half the roll and bets evenly across all games. So, $33 on each of the sixteen.

Happy: assumes the best, bets everything every week, evenly across games. So, $66 on each of the above picks.

Due Boy: believes in the law of averages. Base bet per game per day is $33, but after a losing day doubles the bets the next day, and so on until a winning day. So he goes $33 on the Jets on Thurdsday, will stay at $33 if he wins for Friday's games, go to $66 if he loses and so on.

Manic: bets 10% of his roll per game, divided by the square root of the games in action at once. So he goes 10% on Thursday, 5% per game on Friday, 3% per game on Saturday, and back to 10% for the Monday Nighter.

tim@twominutewarning.com

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