The Week That Was -- review of last week's NFL outcomes

THE WEEK THAT WAS / NFL WEEK TEN
With commentary by Tim

Hot off the presses, the early edition TMW play-by-play ratings for your perusal from the most recent week of this festive NFL season. For those new to the numbers read the following:

PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.

Kansas City at New Orleans

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Kansas City	55%	17%	5.5	116	51%	14%	8.4	134	45
New Orleans	40%	27%	6.1	118	36%	9%	7.6	84	20

Hold on partners, the WRONG TEAM WON. Clunk. That's kind of the way it's been going for Kansas City this season. Four turnovers to one will do it to ya, every time.

Baltimore at NY Jets

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Baltimore	21%	3%	2.3	34	37%	11%	5.1	94	13
NY Jets	47%	6%	4.3	83	32%	7%	5.3	71	18

The WRONG TEAM WON! Ya think? Here's brainache #1: leading 14-0 against a team with no offense, you are in easy field goal range so can drop kick it through and get a three score lead. But no, why not go to the trick plays! Result=intercepted halfback pass. Brainache #2, 3, 4...with tons o' time left to score a TD to win, the Jets somehow frazzle away the time and end up settling for a tying FG...lose in overtime. Brainache!

Detroit at Jacksonville

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Detroit	45%	10%	3.5	70	27%	3%	3.1	36	0
Jacksonville	52%	10%	4.4	88	35%	3%	4.1	70	25

This game was a laugher except for the fact that Detroit returned two punts for touchdowns. Yikes. Get the special teams in gear Jags.

Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Tampa Bay	39%	4%	2.9	60	41%	8%	3.1	61	6
Atlanta	42%	13%	5.4	100	27%	9%	5.5	59	21

Maybe this Michael Vick dude is the real deal.

Pittsburgh at Cleveland

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Pittsburgh	55%	9%	4.2	93	45%	10%	5.7	95	30
Cleveland	40%	9%	3.0	63	37%	7%	5.5	65	7

Everyone in the world was saying "Letdown" after the Steelers had the back-to-back wins against the undefeateds. Here's a hint: teams don't letdown when you insult them in the media all week, and then pick a fight in the pre-game warmups. Now this week against Cincy, yeah that may be a different story...if Cincy keeps their mouths shut.

Seattle at St. Louis

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Seattle	50%	32%	7.3	128	32%	5%	4.4	62	16
St. Louis	63%	23%	6.7	133	54%	9%	7.4	137	49

Ka-Boom! Another Seattle season goes up in smoke. The permanently 8-8 team of the NFL.

Chicago at Tennessee

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Chicago	38%	0%	2.9	47	18%	9%	1.9	6	0
Tennessee	21%	9%	3.1	34	40%	13%	6.5	91	28

The WRONG TEAM WON. Ow. Got to feel sorry for Tennessee defensive players. Let's see, da Bears with that 6 pass EFR score now take on the Colts???? Hoo-Boy, that one will get U-G-L-Y quick.

Houston at Indianapolis

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Houston	47%	8%	3.5	63	40%	4%	3.6	46	3
Indianapolis	42%	5%	3.6	61	51%	17%	10.3	127	34

Colts put it together for a game. These guys are formidable and New England better be worried.

Cincinnati at Washington

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Cincinnati	34%	9%	3.1	59	47%	2%	5.2	74	15
Washington	55%	10%	4.3	85	30%	4%	3.3	40	8

Yay! Bengals Win! Way to go guys.

Minnesota at Green Bay

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Minnesota	43%	13%	4.4	81	51%	12%	6.8	132	28
Green Bay	58%	19%	5.4	111	57%	11%	8.6	142	47

The question is, how much of a difference does Randy Moss make?

NY Giants at Arizona

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
NY Giants	50%	13%	4.2	90	36%	6%	4.4	75	18
Arizona	50%	7%	3.5	86	38%	3%	3.4	70	17

The WRONG TEAM WON. But oh, we know that Dennis Green teams get more wins than the raw stats would show.

Carolina at San Francisco

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Carolina	47%	12%	3.4	82	45%	20%	8.6	151	40
San Francisco	45%	6%	3.3	72	45%	10%	6.0	71	13

Niners upended. Looks like a bleak season in SF land.

Buffalo at New England

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Buffalo	41%	12%	2.9	64	33%	0%	3.0	0	0
New England	43%	17%	4.1	78	42%	8%	6.7	95	28

No contest.

Philadelphia at Dallas

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Philadelphia	56%	9%	4.4	100	50%	18%	12.0	153	47
Dallas	26%	9%	2.7	52	50%	22%	7.9	121	20

No contest II. When was the last time a Parcells team looked like it wasn't even trying? Well, the game before this one I guess. Hmmm. Will he retire again?

Also see:
Week That Was, Week 9
Week That Was, Week 8
Week That Was, Week 7
Week That Was, Week 6
Week That Was, Week 5
Week That Was, Week 4
Week That Was, Week 3
Week That Was, Week 2
Week That Was, Week 1

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