The Week That Was -- review of last week's NFL outcomes

THE WEEK THAT WAS / NFL WEEK ELEVEN
With commentary by Tim

Hot off the presses, the early edition TMW play-by-play ratings for your perusal from the most recent week of this festive NFL season. For those new to the numbers read the following:

PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.

Detroit at Minnesota

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Detroit	53%	19%	5.6	100	30%	4%	2.4	34	3
Minnesota	48%	13%	3.5	96	52%	5%	5.9	97	34

This game was close, very close. Stats say otherwise.

Denver at New Orleans

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Denver	51%	14%	5.7	93	49%	7%	7.1	136	37
New Orleans	35%	14%	3.5	71	36%	8%	5.3	59	10

If it's Tuesday, New Orleans must be tanking.

San Francisco at Tampa Bay

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
San Francisco	47%	9%	3.1	82	29%	5%	3.1	45	3
Tampa Bay	54%	11%	4.5	105	50%	13%	7.4	100	35

What do you know, the stats score is right on. What do you know, the 49ers are the worst team in the NFL (so says me after they lose to Miami this week).

Arizona at Carolina

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Arizona	27%	3%	2.5	34	43%	8%	5.0	70	0
Carolina	41%	14%	4.7	100	32%	11%	5.8	78	29

Dennis Green gets a mulligan on this one. Wait until the Jets get spanked!

Tennessee at Jacksonville

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Tennessee	46%	8%	4.0	73	44%	9%	4.9	73	15
Jacksonville	38%	21%	3.8	79	34%	0%	4.2	62	14

Low scoring event has bad implications for both teams.

Dallas at Baltimore

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Dallas	40%	3%	2.6	45	45%	3%	4.7	83	7
Baltimore	45%	5%	3.0	70	38%	8%	6.3	105	30

Cowboys mail in another one. Well at least the second half. Has a Bill Parcells team ever looked this bad?

St. Louis at Buffalo

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
St. Louis	35%	5%	1.7	40	46%	7%	4.6	70	3
Buffalo	28%	16%	4.4	60	46%	7%	5.8	89	24

Rams are ruin for their backers. Bills could be a .500 team but 0-4 start a heavy weight.

Indianapolis at Chicago

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Indianapolis	63%	25%	7.7	144	58%	7%	7.4	144	42
Chicago	30%	8%	3.0	53	33%	13%	5.6	63	15

Boom! No way Bears could hang with the Colts.

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Pittsburgh	52%	8%	3.7	81	43%	7%	2.3	60	13
Cincinnati	29%	6%	3.0	47	31%	10%	4.5	68	10

The Wrong Team Covered! Small consolation for those Cincy fans.

NY Jets at Cleveland

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
NY Jets	52%	6%	4.5	82	35%	0%	2.4	53	7
Cleveland	53%	4%	3.1	64	32%	4%	4.1	82	20

The WRONG TEAM WON! Say what you will about Jeff Garcia, but if he stayed in the game the Browns would not have lost.

San Diego at Oakland

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
San Diego	52%	7%	4.0	92	49%	8%	6.6	121	35
Oakland	50%	14%	3.7	71	42%	9%	5.4	105	22

Raiders screw up another game. This time it's the old dropped touchdown pass that did them in. Sure Al, that was a conspiracy too.

Miami at Seattle

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Miami	26%	9%	3.0	43	36%	4%	4.0	60	6
Seattle	38%	8%	3.0	55	33%	12%	6.5	72	18

Dol-fans were quite excited for the first three and a half quarters. Then it was the same old same old. I know there's supposedly stats that show that past turnovers don't predict future turnovers very well, but let me tell you, the Dolphins are just a plain, freakin' Turnover Machine!

Atlanta at NY Giants

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Atlanta	42%	14%	5.0	82	39%	4%	3.6	82	19
NY Giants	52%	16%	4.8	96	38%	0%	4.1	66	18

Eli Manning wasn't so bad. But, no big gains, a 4.1 yards per play average, and a 66 Efr say he wasn't too good either.

Washington at Philadelphia

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Washington	30%	9%	2.2	39	41%	0%	3.8	61	0
Philadelphia	37%	10%	4.1	65	44%	9%	7.0	114	33

Fire Joe Gibbs! Fire him I say! Wait, the blame wouldn't rest at all with the numbskull owner and front office dudes now would it?

Green Bay at Houston

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Green Bay	34%	9%	2.6	52	49%	12%	7.4	109	25
Houston	25%	11%	3.9	55	35%	10%	4.4	80	12

Favre = Excitement. Or so says me.

New England at Kansas City

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
New England	48%	7%	3.1	79	55%	26%	11.4	174	46
Kansas City	45%	5%	3.2	70	44%	9%	7.2	93	19

Patriots, Schmatriots. Someone take that team down. PLEASE!

Also see:
Week That Was, Week 10
Week That Was, Week 9
Week That Was, Week 8
Week That Was, Week 7
Week That Was, Week 6
Week That Was, Week 5
Week That Was, Week 4
Week That Was, Week 3
Week That Was, Week 2
Week That Was, Week 1

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