The Week That Was -- review of last week's NFL outcomes

THE WEEK THAT WAS / NFL WEEK TWELVE
With commentary by Tim

Hot off the presses, the early edition TMW play-by-play ratings for your perusal from the most recent week of this festive NFL season. For those new to the numbers read the following:

PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.

Indianapolis at Detroit

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Indianapolis	55%	10%	3.8	75	67%	9%	7.1	179	50
Detroit	57%	29%	8.0	133	40%	7%	4.9	80	23

Wham Bam, Thank you Ma'am. Oh yes, and Happy Thanksgiving Detroit.

Chicago at Dallas

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Chicago	20%	5%	2.4	30	26%	3%	2.8	31	0
Dallas	36%	13%	3.8	76	42%	0%	4.0	71	28

Chicago is to offense, what Mughal Biryani is to the Indian Restaurant Lunch Buffet. Or maybe I got that the wrong way round.

Cleveland at Cincinnati

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Cleveland	35%	6%	4.4	76	59%	16%	9.1	138	33
Cincinnati	65%	22%	7.9	143	55%	7%	7.6	96	34

And to think that people claimed my Bengals didn't play games that were fun to watch!

San Diego at Kansas City

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
San Diego	42%	14%	4.6	96	57%	12%	8.5	130	34
Kansas City	65%	20%	5.5	145	47%	6%	5.6	100	35

The WRONG TEAM WON! And so it goes. Kansas City is on one of those year long schlock-fests that have recurring fiascos.

Jacksonville at Minnesota

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Jacksonville	44%	19%	5.7	92	39%	8%	5.7	78	12
Minnesota	64%	7%	4.0	110	55%	8%	6.0	119	43

Quit yapping about the fumble you Jags backers, they were outplayed pure and simple.

Baltimore at New England

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Baltimore	38%	0%	3.1	42	26%	3%	1.3	34	0
New England	57%	8%	3.4	85	28%	6%	4.6	68	28

See, this is what happens to a team with ambitions to make noise in the playoffs when it encounters a superior team on the road. Particularly true with a team like the Ravens that is offensively-challenged.

Philadelphia at NY Giants

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Philadelphia	60%	11%	4.4	100	45%	16%	7.0	103	29
NY Giants	34%	31%	6.1	76	25%	11%	4.2	29	3

Eli's a joke. What? You think he deserves more than two games against back to back stout defense before we make such a pronouncement?

Washington at Pittsburgh

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Washington	35%	7%	3.6	64	28%	2%	2.9	40	0
Pittsburgh	42%	6%	3.1	68	32%	16%	5.2	92	29

Boy there's a haves and have nots in the NFL these days when it comes to scoring points.

Tampa Bay at Carolina

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Tampa Bay	31%	0%	1.7	34	60%	7%	8.1	126	20
Carolina	64%	4%	4.4	92	53%	14%	6.7	110	33

Another bad defeat for Tampa Bay. They should be 7-4 not 4-7. Of course, if they go 4-1 down the stretch they still make the playoffs...

Tennessee at Houston

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Tennessee	40%	24%	5.3	100	63%	0%	6.5	130	35
Houston	52%	14%	7.0	119	54%	3%	5.1	115	36

Here's hoping Steve McNair sticks around for another season. Why not take off the rest of this year, get healthy and come back in 2005 when the Titans have retooled?

New Orleans at Atlanta

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
New Orleans	46%	14%	5.0	92	35%	5%	4.4	66	9
Atlanta	51%	18%	5.6	103	40%	16%	6.2	103	36

Somehow there are folks who don't trust Michael Vick. I do.

Miami at San Francisco

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Miami	20%	8%	2.0	32	38%	3%	4.8	75	10
San Francisco	37%	0%	3.2	62	36%	2%	3.1	58	13

The WRONG TEAM WON. The Inepts meet the Incompetents.

Buffalo at Seattle

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Buffalo	43%	8%	4.0	89	60%	11%	7.5	102	31
Seattle	35%	12%	3.2	52	41%	5%	4.2	82	10

Holmgren ain't going to be happy with this one. A Stinker. How bout dem Bills!

NY Jets at Arizona

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
NY Jets	42%	10%	3.1	62	40%	8%	7.0	104	28
Arizona	50%	4%	2.9	62	37%	3%	4.7	54	3

Poor Dennis Green. My man is starting to lose it in Arizona even though he has surpassed all expectations for the season already. Not to worry buddy, you'll get a real QB for next season with hopefully a RB younger than 70 years old.

Oakland at Denver

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Oakland	35%	6%	3.6	58	41%	13%	7.0	100	17
Denver	33%	9%	3.7	66	51%	8%	10.2	115	30

The WRONG TEAM WON. And that's all I have to say about that.

St. Louis at Green Bay

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
St. Louis	44%	6%	2.3	55	49%	12%	6.8	108	19
Green Bay	44%	22%	8.5	118	55%	7%	7.9	166	52

What's happened to Marshall Faulk? The de-facto weapon of the NFL for a number of years there is now nothing but an afterthought. Packers roll...into a tough game with Philly.

Also see:
Week That Was, Week 11
Week That Was, Week 10
Week That Was, Week 9
Week That Was, Week 8
Week That Was, Week 7
Week That Was, Week 6
Week That Was, Week 5
Week That Was, Week 4
Week That Was, Week 3
Week That Was, Week 2
Week That Was, Week 1

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