The Week That Was -- review of last week's NFL outcomes

THE WEEK THAT WAS / NFL WEEK SIXTEEN
With commentary by Tim

Hot off the presses, the early edition TMW play-by-play ratings for your perusal from the most recent week of this festive NFL season. For those new to the numbers read the following:

PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.

Green Bay at Minnesota

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Green Bay	58%	6%	3.4	83	56%	16%	8.1	138	30
Minnesota	56%	20%	4.2	100	49%	17%	11.4	158	49

Yo-Ho, Yo-Ho a Pirate's life for me. The WRONG TEAM WON. Can Minnesota possibly fail to make the playoffs after being a lock for the second year running? Stay tuned me mateys!

Oakland at Kansas City

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Oakland	54%	0%	3.1	79	38%	9%	5.1	81	10
Kansas City	44%	3%	3.4	62	63%	4%	6.9	146	43

Yikes, the Wrong Team Covered.

Denver at Tennessee

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Denver	48%	9%	4.5	97	73%	15%	11.6	173	41
Tennessee	42%	14%	4.2	85	32%	6%	3.8	35	14

An end of an era I fear in Tennessee. Lots of heads will roll after this season.

San Diego at Indianapolis

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
San Diego	39%	14%	3.3	67	58%	16%	9.0	138	30
Indianapolis	70%	8%	4.4	104	51%	10%	7.3	124	37

Game of the week without question. 'Bolts could be bigger than most people think in the playoffs. Who you gonna fear...Pittsburgh?

Baltimore at Pittsburgh

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Baltimore	36%	14%	2.7	59	34%	3%	5.5	68	13
Pittsburgh	55%	11%	4.8	92	69%	25%	11.0	174	46

Steelers wrap up the conference home field advantage. Not that it will matter when they get beat.

Chicago at Detroit

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Chicago	56%	20%	5.0	108	28%	3%	2.5	52	14
Detroit	40%	17%	5.5	83	31%	9%	4.4	62	15

Yawn.

Atlanta at New Orleans

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Atlanta	45%	13%	3.8	79	31%	2%	3.9	50	3
New Orleans	47%	11%	4.2	73	35%	18%	7.4	85	25

Oh my word. The Aints get a gift of this Atlanta-no-try game and now if they can confangle a way to get past Carolina could be carrying on carrying on.

Carolina at Tampa Bay

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Carolina	30%	14%	3.9	58	69%	12%	8.3	188	51
Tampa Bay	50%	0%	3.2	71	58%	11%	6.3	130	26

Showdown game was over quick. Pretender Bucs sent home. All hail king Delhomme.

Houston at Jacksonville

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Houston	45%	15%	5.3	100	41%	0%	4.4	50	25
Jacksonville	57%	10%	4.0	85	20%	0%	0.9	-4	0

Jags just never seem to be the complete deal. Wait until next season.

NY Giants at Cincinnati

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
NY Giants	55%	14%	4.5	106	39%	8%	4.8	78	23
Cincinnati	33%	8%	2.6	58	48%	3%	4.8	91	18

The WRONG TEAM WON! Ha! My Bengals get it done for a change. With a win over the resting Eagles they can finish 8-8.

New England at NY Jets

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
New England	48%	3%	3.3	68	54%	12%	7.9	139	39
NY Jets	38%	0%	2.5	44	50%	8%	6.0	102	14

Another showdown game. Squeek. Jets are mice after all.

Buffalo at San Francisco

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Buffalo	66%	17%	6.2	147	51%	3%	5.8	110	31
San Francisco	44%	3%	3.0	62	34%	0%	3.9	17	3

Frisco famished for famous players (or heck they'll take fabulous unknowns). Bills a juggernaut that won't stop.

Arizona at Seattle

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Arizona	36%	10%	3.2	60	50%	11%	5.7	92	20
Seattle	39%	18%	5.3	96	31%	3%	4.1	51	11

WRONG TEAM WON. Dennis has his work cut out in turning this team around. Seattle wouldn't last two minutes with Carolina.

Washington at Dallas

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Washington	44%	4%	3.3	64	56%	6%	5.0	78	13
Dallas	36%	3%	2.9	56	41%	7%	5.5	88	20

Whatever.

Cleveland at Miami

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Cleveland	53%	3%	3.6	79	45%	15%	7.6	70	14
Miami	52%	16%	4.6	96	36%	0%	3.6	63	19

Did anyone watch this?

Philadelphia at St. Louis

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Philadelphia	36%	21%	4.3	84	21%	9%	3.2	56	6
St. Louis	41%	9%	4.1	76	54%	10%	7.1	125	38

Why did we watch this? Golly. It sure looks bad for the NFL when the supposed prime time game of the week comes along and one side doesn't care a whoot about winning. No easy fix for that sadly other than flexible scheduling. San Diego vs Indy on Monday night instead? That would have done nicely.

Also see:
Week That Was, Week 15
Week That Was, Week 14
Week That Was, Week 13
Week That Was, Week 12
Week That Was, Week 11
Week That Was, Week 10
Week That Was, Week 9
Week That Was, Week 8
Week That Was, Week 7
Week That Was, Week 6
Week That Was, Week 5
Week That Was, Week 4
Week That Was, Week 3
Week That Was, Week 2
Week That Was, Week 1

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