The Week That Was -- review of last week's NFL outcomes

THE WEEK THAT WAS / NFL WEEK FIVE
With commentary by Tim

Hot off the presses, the early edition TMW play-by-play ratings for your perusal from the most recent week of this festive NFL season. For those new to the numbers read the following:

PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.

Detroit at Atlanta

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Detroit	45%	6%	3.0	70	46%	4%	4.6	78	16
Atlanta	46%	7%	3.0	60	39%	8%	4.7	76	15

A titanic defensive struggle. How about 'dem Lions?

Miami at New England

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Miami	40%	4%	2.6	44	34%	6%	4.7	73	13
New England	36%	8%	3.5	52	36%	5%	2.7	59	10

The WRONG TEAM WON! Big Mackarel! Who would have thunk that yet another game would go by with the Dolphins unable to do anything offensively, at least in terms of, you know, points on the scoreboard...

Tampa Bay at New Orleans

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Tampa Bay	39%	9%	3.3	56	48%	13%	7.6	119	28
New Orleans	55%	14%	5.0	110	31%	8%	3.4	59	15

Tampa gets off the zero-win shamewalk. Can they make a charge from here? Heck yes! (I know, I know, last week they were the worst team in the league, blah, blah blah) Their schedule is patty-cake if they can dump the Rams this Monday.

Cleveland at Pittsburgh

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Cleveland	40%	20%	4.2	90	23%	8%	4.9	63	11
Pittsburgh	42%	8%	4.3	82	65%	9%	9.6	152	44

Sch-wing! That Ben What-ever-his-name-is-spelled-like is already the best QB drafted in this class. Eli Who? Forgetaboutit!

Minnesota at Houston

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Minnesota	53%	8%	4.6	73	53%	11%	7.4	138	34
Houston	55%	6%	2.3	66	55%	13%	7.4	131	31

Yum. What a game. This my friends is the beauty of football. Give me Culpepper and Moss and a leaky defense over another Baltimore bash any day of the week.

NY Giants at Dallas

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
NY Giants	44%	4%	5.0	76	42%	3%	5.3	84	17
Dallas	60%	13%	5.5	106	46%	0%	4.1	71	22

The WRONG TEAM WON! (Don't tell the Giants, they are 4-1...crikey!)

Oakland at Indianapolis

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Oakland	57%	7%	3.0	100	43%	4%	4.5	64	9
Indianapolis	48%	10%	3.8	82	56%	13%	6.7	126	40

Raiders, Sch-maiders. These guys stink (and let me down big time). They can't stop making the stupid penalty after all these years. Forgetaboutit!

Jacksonville at San Diego

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Jacksonville	63%	5%	3.6	89	52%	7%	6.2	101	21
San Diego	45%	11%	4.7	91	51%	11%	7.7	129	40

Boom! That's the sound of the Jacksonville bandwagon getting a flat tire and hurling most of the occupants off into the street. Maybe some of them will dust themselves off and climb up on the nearest passing wagon: go Chargers!

Buffalo at NY Jets

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Buffalo	36%	14%	3.6	77	42%	6%	5.3	93	16
NY Jets	56%	4%	3.6	78	55%	9%	7.4	122	35

The Wrong Team Covered. Jets should have smoked 'em instead it was a thriller. 50%+ PSR both rushing and passing should have translated into more than 16 points.

Arizona at San Francisco

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Arizona	43%	13%	3.1	80	38%	14%	6.0	94	22
San Francisco	30%	5%	1.9	35	52%	5%	6.3	114	21

This was another wild game to enjoy. And yes, the WRONG TEAM WON. Ah what the hay, at the end of the season it's not going to matter either way.

St. Louis at Seattle

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
St. Louis	45%	8%	5.1	83	43%	14%	7.2	93	19
Seattle	48%	17%	6.4	96	38%	8%	5.7	102	32

The WRONG TEAM WON! Boy oh boy there were some upset scores this week. And upset stomachs from chalk-players.

Carolina at Denver

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Carolina	34%	4%	2.1	53	42%	24%	7.7	109	15
Denver	60%	11%	6.0	108	50%	13%	8.0	125	44

The Wrong Team Covered. It might be fun to check out what happens when teams don't score as many points as they should. Hmmm.

Baltimore at Washington

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Baltimore	52%	11%	4.3	81	25%	10%	3.8	0	8
Washington	34%	0%	2.0	42	25%	0%	1.8	31	15

For the fifth time this week, the WRONG TEAM WON! This one makes sense since the Ravens got all of three points from their offense and fourteen points from defense/special teams. Next up as the savior coach of Washington: Vince Lombardi.

Tennessee at Green Bay

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Tennessee	38%	17%	5.3	88	53%	17%	6.7	129	36
Green Bay	18%	18%	3.3	54	49%	10%	7.7	115	21

Poor Packers. Or maybe Packers Poor.

Also see:
Week That Was, Week 4
Week That Was, Week 3
Week That Was, Week 2
Week That Was, Week 1

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