The Week That Was -- review of last week's NFL outcomes

THE WEEK THAT WAS / NFL WEEK NINE
With commentary by Tim

Hot off the presses, the early edition TMW play-by-play ratings for your perusal from the most recent week of this festive NFL season. For those new to the numbers read the following:

PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.

Arizona at Miami

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Arizona	29%	4%	4.4	51	38%	6%	4.6	82	10
Miami	40%	16%	4.9	90	37%	10%	5.9	80	25

The WRONG TEAM WON! Then again this was Dennis Green versus Dave Wannstedt. Seems like the right team won to me...

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Philadelphia	33%	11%	2.5	55	35%	7%	3.2	53	3
Pittsburgh	50%	12%	4.7	84	50%	15%	8.4	135	37

Ka-pow! Boof! Spiff! Wham-O! No, you're not watching Batman TV show reruns, instead you are seeing the NFL's top smash-mouth power game team flexing its muscles.

Kansas City at Tampa Bay

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Kansas City	48%	10%	3.2	82	54%	11%	7.3	115	20
Tampa Bay	58%	12%	7.7	129	60%	16%	8.1	147	53

If you recall I did say back in week five that the Bucs season was far from over and now here they are at 3-5 after dumping the Chiefs on their red behinds. Sure the Falcons are 6-2 but there are two head-to-head meetings left, which means a little El-Foldo from Atlant-O and the Bucs are in. Beware. Chiefs on the other hand ain't going nowhere.

Oakland at Carolina

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Oakland	59%	0%	2.5	88	48%	9%	7.6	94	25
Carolina	21%	0%	1.4	21	51%	8%	5.5	113	18

Eww. If this was not the stinker game of the week then what was. Carolina could go 1-15 for all they care since Super Bowl to 6-10 isn't a big thrill. Raiders might be okay next season when they have Ricky Doobie-Mon Williams running for them.

NY Jets at Buffalo

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
NY Jets	24%	8%	3.5	40	45%	25%	8.9	135	27
Buffalo	38%	14%	3.6	63	48%	7%	6.3	110	24

The WRONG TEAM WON! Don't give me no Mularkey about it either.

Dallas at Cincinnati

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Dallas	55%	15%	4.0	92	40%	9%	5.5	43	3
Cincinnati	74%	3%	3.9	106	34%	6%	6.6	81	31

How the mighty have fallen, or in this case Bill Parcells. Probably a democrat too. My Schmengals have it working though, don't they? Show their mojo this week in the capital city and I may be back on board.

Washington at Detroit

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Washington	37%	15%	3.9	75	33%	0%	4.0	88	22
Detroit	37%	0%	2.6	54	38%	4%	4.4	74	11

My best work this year may well have been my comments on the Lions' week six effort. Go read it.

New Orleans at San Diego

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
New Orleans	42%	11%	3.5	68	44%	8%	4.3	80	9
San Diego	46%	3%	4.1	81	56%	13%	7.2	138	42

Da Bolts. Give them a hand, and send Eli Manning a chart comparing the weather in San Diego to NYC.

Seattle at San Francisco

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Seattle	62%	14%	5.3	117	50%	19%	8.5	143	48
San Francisco	55%	10%	3.4	90	46%	5%	6.3	102	21

49ers. No gold in dem dere hills no more.

Chicago at NY Giants

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Chicago	37%	6%	3.8	68	25%	13%	3.0	59	13
NY Giants	38%	12%	2.8	61	32%	7%	4.0	51	10

One minute you are on top of the world, the next you are flat on your face, having tripped over the banana. Giants in a nutshell.

Houston at Denver

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Houston	57%	7%	3.6	107	37%	4%	4.8	73	15
Denver	47%	8%	3.8	83	53%	15%	10.0	165	48

Kind of figured the Broncos could not lose another home game.

New England at St. Louis

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
New England	50%	17%	4.9	100	47%	9%	6.7	126	39
St. Louis	42%	21%	4.2	78	42%	10%	5.9	97	18

If the Patriots were hurting for this game, as the injury report supposedly proclaimed, then the other teams in the league are in a whole heck of a lot of trouble.

Cleveland at Baltimore

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Cleveland	28%	7%	3.2	53	40%	0%	4.5	56	0
Baltimore	53%	11%	3.7	82	45%	0%	4.3	77	25

I don't know about you, but nothing beats a game where neither team can make a SINGLE big gain passing the ball. Except maybe, you know, a root canal or something.

Minnesota at Indianapolis

Matchup	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR	Stats Score
Minnesota	40%	20%	5.5	92	50%	5%	7.7	105	21
Indianapolis	46%	13%	4.5	90	71%	9%	8.3	178	54

The Wrong Team Covered. Would have been fun to see what this game would have done had Moss been at full health and ready to play.

Also see:
Week That Was, Week 8
Week That Was, Week 7
Week That Was, Week 6
Week That Was, Week 5
Week That Was, Week 4
Week That Was, Week 3
Week That Was, Week 2
Week That Was, Week 1

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