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Have you watched a game and wondered if the Wrong Team Won? If the stats didn't show up in the final score? If cooking sherry can be drunk without the cooking part? Our bold adventurer Tim is here to answer all of these questions and more.
THE WEEK THAT WAS: Week Ten
- PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
- Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
- Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
- EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
- Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.
Denver at Cleveland
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Denver |
61% |
12% |
4.8 |
111 |
50% |
16% |
9.7 |
131 |
40 |
| Cleveland |
41% |
21% |
5.5 |
100 |
47% |
3% |
6.3 |
108 |
27 |
New Orleans at Atlanta
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| New Orleans |
56% |
13% |
6.1 |
112 |
47% |
10% |
6.5 |
101 |
20 |
| Atlanta |
45% |
6% |
3.0 |
77 |
56% |
13% |
10.7 |
173 |
53 |
Tennessee at Chicago
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Tennessee |
19% |
0% |
0.8 |
23 |
55% |
5% |
6.3 |
130 |
26 |
| Chicago |
45% |
4% |
3.2 |
70 |
40% |
3% |
4.2 |
75 |
13 |
Jacksonville at Detroit
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Jacksonville |
58% |
21% |
5.5 |
131 |
58% |
13% |
7.2 |
132 |
41 |
| Detroit |
42% |
7% |
3.4 |
67 |
34% |
15% |
5.5 |
73 |
14 |
Seattle at Miami
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Seattle |
39% |
22% |
5.4 |
86 |
39% |
2% |
4.4 |
85 |
17 |
| Miami |
50% |
15% |
6.0 |
111 |
50% |
3% |
5.4 |
84 |
28 |
-- The Wrong Team Covered!
Green Bay at Minnesota
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Green Bay |
50% |
15% |
2.9 |
90 |
25% |
0% |
3.2 |
45 |
9 |
| Minnesota |
43% |
17% |
5.1 |
90 |
38% |
3% |
4.7 |
48 |
14 |
-- The Wrong Team Covered!
Buffalo at New England
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Buffalo |
61% |
0% |
3.3 |
72 |
48% |
0% |
4.3 |
52 |
3 |
| New England |
53% |
13% |
3.6 |
92 |
52% |
6% |
6.5 |
113 |
36 |
Baltimore at Houston
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Baltimore |
58% |
5% |
3.7 |
107 |
50% |
16% |
7.0 |
143 |
44 |
| Houston |
40% |
13% |
4.0 |
86 |
50% |
12% |
7.2 |
83 |
17 |
St. Louis at N.Y. Jets
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| St. Louis |
28% |
19% |
3.8 |
61 |
39% |
11% |
4.8 |
57 |
6 |
| N.Y. Jets |
57% |
23% |
5.2 |
125 |
52% |
10% |
8.4 |
118 |
39 |
Carolina at Oakland
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Carolina |
27% |
10% |
4.8 |
62 |
27% |
3% |
2.6 |
-4 |
0 |
| Oakland |
30% |
14% |
3.6 |
58 |
30% |
3% |
3.2 |
47 |
27 |
-- THE WRONG TEAM WON!!!
Indianapolis at Pittsburgh
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Indianapolis |
47% |
5% |
3.2 |
78 |
41% |
2% |
5.4 |
95 |
25 |
| Pittsburgh |
44% |
0% |
2.2 |
80 |
48% |
7% |
5.8 |
66 |
12 |
Kansas City at San Diego
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Kansas City |
44% |
11% |
4.2 |
83 |
53% |
9% |
6.5 |
118 |
28 |
| San Diego |
40% |
8% |
3.7 |
64 |
67% |
10% |
7.7 |
132 |
33 |
N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| N.Y. Giants |
62% |
9% |
4.9 |
111 |
51% |
6% |
5.6 |
109 |
36 |
| Philadelphia |
36% |
16% |
4.6 |
84 |
44% |
8% |
5.5 |
84 |
17 |
San Francisco at Arizona
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| San Francisco |
39% |
7% |
4.2 |
71 |
37% |
7% |
5.1 |
67 |
6 |
| Arizona |
10% |
11% |
2.4 |
21 |
61% |
7% |
6.9 |
140 |
33 |
-- The Wrong Team Covered!
Also see:
- Week Nine
- Week Eight
- Week Seven
- Week Six
- Week Five
- Week Four
- Week Three
- Week Two
- Week One
Also See:
Straight-up quick picks
Spread quick picks
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