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Have you watched a game and wondered if the Wrong Team Won? If the stats didn't show up in the final score? If cooking sherry can be drunk without the cooking part? Our bold adventurer Tim is here to answer all of these questions and more.
THE WEEK THAT WAS: Week One
- PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
- Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
- Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
- EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
- Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.
Miami at Pittsburgh
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Miami |
35% |
0% |
1.6 |
58 |
37% |
7% |
5.2 |
62 |
3 |
| Pittsburgh |
33% |
9% |
4.0 |
45 |
46% |
13% |
7.5 |
128 |
35 |
Steelers D showed up big time in this one, but the stats say Mr. Batch should receive a thank you card as well. Fins' brows furrowed.
Atlanta at Carolina
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Atlanta |
43% |
24% |
5.5 |
97 |
41% |
8% |
6.1 |
116 |
37 |
| Carolina |
56% |
13% |
4.0 |
93 |
34% |
2% |
3.7 |
59 |
10 |
Michael Vick's got a few more tricks left in him and he put them to good use here. Panthers might be a touch over-rated you think with all the preseason Super Bowl hype?
Baltimore at Tampa Bay
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Baltimore |
30% |
7% |
3.3 |
53 |
48% |
3% |
6.1 |
96 |
25 |
| Tampa Bay |
35% |
0% |
1.1 |
42 |
37% |
3% |
3.1 |
29 |
0 |
One of three opening week shutouts, and the stats score saw it that way too. Bucs simply had zilch in the way of offense. Now maybe the Ravens defense is that good, but maybe not quite that good...
Buffalo at New England
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Buffalo |
40% |
16% |
3.5 |
72 |
38% |
8% |
5.4 |
100 |
22 |
| New England |
63% |
11% |
4.8 |
110 |
38% |
12% |
5.3 |
80 |
25 |
Patriots survived the first half hangover. Give Losman credit, I thought he would be Pats fodder in week one, but he showed some poise.
Cincinnati at Kansas City
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Cincinnati |
30% |
6% |
3.5 |
66 |
52% |
5% |
5.0 |
104 |
28 |
| Kansas City |
38% |
10% |
4.0 |
76 |
36% |
6% |
3.5 |
55 |
7 |
DID I NOT TELL ALL CINCY DOUBTERS TO STAND DOWN? My best bet laugher season wins pick of Cincy Over 9 -- nine? nine? can't they make it more challenging than that? Nine? Harumph! -- is off to a predictable winning ways start. Bengals are SB bound. Who's gonna stop us? Side note: LJ will find the lack of Tony Richardson perplexing, puzzling, and ultimately pisastrous (pisses him off disaster).
Denver at St. Louis
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Denver |
60% |
12% |
6.4 |
112 |
38% |
0% |
3.7 |
32 |
6 |
| St. Louis |
40% |
16% |
5.1 |
84 |
32% |
8% |
4.8 |
70 |
21 |
Jake Plummer benching watch begins in earnest. Ain't nothing wrong with the Broncos rushing numbers...which means oh yes, zero big gains passing in the game, and that's before we worry about those trifling turnovers. I told ya S-Jack would be the number two fantasy back by year end. Off to a good start, eh!
New Orleans at Cleveland
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| New Orleans |
55% |
5% |
4.0 |
73 |
45% |
6% |
5.6 |
96 |
25 |
| Cleveland |
50% |
14% |
3.8 |
104 |
43% |
0% |
2.7 |
45 |
10 |
Clevleand's in trouble as Charlie Frye isn't much of a passer at this point, so yes he better be doing something running with the ball but that ain't gonna be enough. Reggie Bush looked fab-u-lous. Saints should be fun all season. Feel good playoff story of the year?
N.Y. Jets at Tennessee
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| N.Y. Jets |
33% |
6% |
2.0 |
51 |
58% |
10% |
8.1 |
141 |
36 |
| Tennessee |
56% |
0% |
3.4 |
96 |
40% |
7% |
5.2 |
73 |
15 |
Titans falling on hard times. Wait that started years ago. Now it's just the Titanic. Pennington looked good in contrast but Jets need to run too to survive.
Philadelphia at Houston
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Philadelphia |
53% |
12% |
4.7 |
96 |
56% |
16% |
8.6 |
140 |
42 |
| Houston |
44% |
11% |
2.8 |
72 |
44% |
14% |
5.9 |
111 |
21 |
Eagles are absolutely going to rock and roll. Texans may make some improvements with new staff in place. Will mourn all season for no Bush though.
Seattle at Detroit
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Seattle |
20% |
8% |
3.3 |
41 |
52% |
6% |
5.0 |
88 |
15 |
| Detroit |
38% |
0% |
1.5 |
50 |
42% |
7% |
4.7 |
73 |
12 |
Ew. Stink-o game. Bad sign for Detroit. Sign of sleepwalking overconfidence for Seattle. 'Hawks problems can be fixed.
Chicago at Green Bay
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Chicago |
27% |
6% |
3.0 |
38 |
58% |
14% |
8.8 |
134 |
30 |
| Green Bay |
43% |
22% |
4.4 |
78 |
28% |
9% |
4.1 |
37 |
3 |
Ah, maybe Favre should have retired. He might just do that soon at this rate... Grossman picked apart the soft Pack secondary meaning cheeseheads have issues on both sides of the ball.
Dallas at Jacksonville
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Dallas |
36% |
9% |
3.5 |
68 |
36% |
11% |
6.0 |
60 |
3 |
| Jacksonville |
48% |
3% |
2.1 |
64 |
52% |
8% |
6.4 |
108 |
32 |
Cowboys over-rated, Jaguars under-rated and you get the obvious result when the two sides meet. T.O. can make plays no doubt.
San Francisco at Arizona
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| San Francisco |
55% |
17% |
5.9 |
127 |
40% |
12% |
6.6 |
97 |
31 |
| Arizona |
40% |
3% |
2.4 |
60 |
50% |
8% |
6.8 |
125 |
28 |
The WRONG TEAM WON! Niners should have had it by the stats. The 'Edge will be hurting behind that O-line' thinkers sure look prescient after the one game. Wait until the Cards play a good defense and he goes 12 carries, 16 yards. Ouch!
Indianapolis at N.Y. Giants
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Indianapolis |
43% |
0% |
2.3 |
60 |
53% |
9% |
6.0 |
106 |
14 |
| N.Y. Giants |
64% |
25% |
6.6 |
139 |
48% |
6% |
6.7 |
114 |
47 |
The WRONG TEAM WON! By a mile says the stats. How did the G-men lose piling up all those yards? 1) Penalties, 2) Turnovers, 3) bad timing. If I'm the Colts I'm a little worried about poor rushing, poor defense. If I'm the Giants I'm optimistic about the season from here.
Minnesota at Washington
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| Minnesota |
38% |
3% |
2.2 |
52 |
47% |
15% |
7.3 |
126 |
29 |
| Washington |
34% |
9% |
3.8 |
69 |
41% |
10% |
5.8 |
93 |
18 |
You take the Tice out of Minnesota and Bingo! good things happen. Vikes could surprise. 'Skins will sink.
San Diego at Oakland
| Matchup |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
Stats
Score |
| San Diego |
42% |
6% |
4.1 |
65 |
54% |
18% |
9.8 |
163 |
35 |
| Oakland |
38% |
17% |
3.7 |
72 |
22% |
10% |
1.6 |
32 |
8 |
I'm supposed to be impartial, save the Bengals, but um, I, um, ah screw it -
HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!
How can anyone not root against Al Davis? It's so much fun, and at this point, so much guaranteed success! The Raiders suck. The Ray-duhs can't play a quarter without sixteen disciplinary mistakes. Too much. Next week they play the Ravens in Baltimore. They'll get shutout again!!!!!
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