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Have you watched a game and wondered if the Wrong Team Won? If the stats didn't show up in the final score? If cooking sherry can be drunk without the cooking part? Our bold adventurer Tim is here to answer all of these questions and more.
THE WEEK THAT WAS: Week One
- PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
- Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
- Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
- EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
- Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.
Washington at N.Y. Giants
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Washington |
41% |
4% |
3.5 |
58 |
27% |
3% |
3.6 |
58 |
3 |
| N.Y. Giants |
54% |
13% |
5.0 |
100 |
50% |
5% |
5.3 |
92 |
34 |
All right mateys, I'm back! Ya missed me didn't you! Let's get to work here my shananigans are ticking...
G-Men smoove in opener and final score was deceptively close.
Detroit at Atlanta
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Detroit |
40% |
10% |
2.7 |
70 |
52% |
10% |
6.8 |
117 |
20 |
| Atlanta |
72% |
35% |
8.6 |
170 |
40% |
13% |
10.5 |
126 |
53 |
Holy schmoley! Who saw Michael Turner running for yards on this team? No suprise Lions lose so let's see the Falcons play a real team before getting too excited.
Cincinnati at Baltimore
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Cincinnati |
34% |
0% |
2.8 |
34 |
29% |
7% |
4.0 |
59 |
0 |
| Baltimore |
60% |
9% |
4.6 |
95 |
49% |
3% |
5.6 |
103 |
33 |
Oh woe is on the Bengalis and truthfully I no longer feel like a fan of Cincy. My allegiances are up for grabs and I will decide shortly who the new team of the coming decade will be. Yes, yawn, Baltimore can play defense.
Seattle at Buffalo
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Seattle |
28% |
19% |
4.0 |
57 |
27% |
6% |
3.5 |
62 |
3 |
| Buffalo |
32% |
11% |
3.8 |
53 |
39% |
12% |
7.1 |
112 |
31 |
Seattle has no Wide Receivers of note left active on the roster due to injuries. No Alexander in hey heyday running the ball. If they were not in such a weak division they would be in real trouble.
N.Y. Jets at Miami
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| N.Y. Jets |
53% |
7% |
3.7 |
76 |
40% |
15% |
7.1 |
107 |
31 |
| Miami |
23% |
0% |
3.0 |
35 |
38% |
2% |
4.2 |
75 |
3 |
Favre shines for a game, but don't expect the Jets in the playoffs Tim says.
Kansas City at New England
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Kansas City |
28% |
7% |
3.2 |
46 |
42% |
6% |
5.2 |
62 |
3 |
| New England |
56% |
12% |
4.1 |
104 |
57% |
6% |
6.9 |
118 |
37 |
The wrong team covered. How much of a difference does not having Brady make? In terms of wins, a few maybe, in terms of blowing out opponents quite a lot.
Tampa Bay at New Orleans
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Tampa Bay |
55% |
20% |
6.7 |
100 |
42% |
2% |
4.1 |
80 |
17 |
| New Orleans |
32% |
12% |
4.1 |
68 |
48% |
15% |
10.2 |
121 |
32 |
Saints are already the frontrunners for my love since they play football in the way I like to live: offensive. Bush Bush Bush! Brees Brees Brees! Yes, this could work out.
St. Louis at Philadelphia
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| St. Louis |
33% |
0% |
2.4 |
33 |
25% |
13% |
5.0 |
70 |
10 |
| Philadelphia |
55% |
7% |
3.8 |
93 |
58% |
15% |
10.7 |
163 |
43 |
Eagles look good in opener and go to Dallas for the next early test. Rams go home for season after week one.
Houston at Pittsburgh
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Houston |
42% |
5% |
3.7 |
57 |
51% |
2% |
4.0 |
81 |
9 |
| Pittsburgh |
36% |
11% |
4.6 |
83 |
61% |
10% |
6.4 |
142 |
42 |
Houston shellacked when hopes were high. Steelers always seem to start strong.
Jacksonville at Tennessee
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Jacksonville |
37% |
6% |
2.1 |
37 |
39% |
5% |
3.6 |
48 |
0 |
| Tennessee |
36% |
15% |
3.9 |
66 |
33% |
15% |
6.5 |
66 |
23 |
Let me get this straight, Vince Young is feeling depressed? The guy is an NFL starting QB with millions in the bank and fun to be had on the field? Oh, if only I had talent...
Dallas at Cleveland
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Dallas |
51% |
23% |
5.2 |
116 |
63% |
11% |
8.6 |
144 |
43 |
| Cleveland |
41% |
12% |
3.2 |
52 |
44% |
3% |
4.6 |
86 |
16 |
Dallas good, Cleveland bad.
Carolina at San Diego
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Carolina |
58% |
14% |
4.8 |
100 |
41% |
9% |
6.0 |
104 |
27 |
| San Diego |
44% |
4% |
4.0 |
77 |
41% |
10% |
7.0 |
113 |
28 |
THE WRONG TEAM WON! But it was a doozy either way. Chargers aren't the shoe-in for the Super Bowl many thought but Panthers are under-rated.
Arizona at San Francisco
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Arizona |
40% |
3% |
3.2 |
65 |
47% |
6% |
5.4 |
94 |
13 |
| San Francisco |
57% |
5% |
5.7 |
100 |
50% |
13% |
7.5 |
108 |
36 |
THE WRONG TEAM WON! Turnovers will do that don't cha know. Neither team going anywhere.
Chicago at Indianapolis
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Chicago |
43% |
5% |
4.1 |
79 |
56% |
17% |
6.3 |
104 |
24 |
| Indianapolis |
53% |
7% |
3.5 |
80 |
49% |
2% |
4.9 |
101 |
25 |
Shocker! Let's face it this Kyle Orton QB may be the butt of lots of jokes but the Bears win when he plays so put two and two together. Game control folks.
Minnesota at Green Bay
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Minnesota |
48% |
9% |
4.4 |
77 |
36% |
16% |
6.0 |
84 |
17 |
| Green Bay |
32% |
8% |
4.3 |
64 |
37% |
12% |
7.9 |
99 |
24 |
A good game and both teams have promise.
Denver at Oakland
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Denver |
70% |
10% |
4.8 |
126 |
61% |
15% |
11.5 |
169 |
52 |
| Oakland |
40% |
10% |
4.7 |
73 |
44% |
10% |
6.0 |
110 |
25 |
A bad game and the Raiders believe it or not will be okay on offense. Defensively though, ouch!
Also see:
- Playoffs, Round Two
- Playoffs, Round One
- Week Seventeen
- Week Sixteen
- Week Fifteen
- Week Fourteen
- Week Thirteen
- Week Twelve
- Week Eleven
- Week Ten
- Week Nine
- Week Eight
- Week Seven
- Week Six
- Week Five
- Week Four
- Week Three
- Week Two
- Week One
Also See:
Straight-up quick picks
Spread quick picks
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