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NFL Weekly Recap

This is Tim's claim to fame of course, but with the Tim-a-roni on a one year sabbatical/drinking binge, it's yet another task for the Intern!

Andy will recap the prior week's games, complete with the exclusive TMW play by play stats and ratings and the always important "stats score" that can be compared to the real score of the game.


THE WEEK THAT WAS

- Updated every Tuesday by 4pm Pacific Time -
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Have you watched a game and wondered if the Wrong Team Won? If the stats didn't show up in the final score? If cooking sherry can be drunk without the cooking part? Our bold adventurer Tim Andy is here to answer all of these questions and more.

THE WEEK THAT WAS: Week Twelve

  • PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
  • Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
  • Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
  • EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
  • Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.

Notes: My comments have been less than well received. Not that I blame the readers. I'm trying to craft a style that isn't just stating the obvious. This week I have some help from guest commentator Mike Q.

Green Bay at Detroit
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Green Bay
50%
19%
6.3
100
65%
14%
8.8
174
47
Detroit
46%
11%
4.4
89
40%
4%
4.3
74
20

Impression: Packers on dream season run. Favre may come back for more?

Mike: We had the Lions, Brett Favre, and animated robot turkey football players, but it’s just not the same without Pat Summerall & John Madden, turducken and 6-legged turkeys. By the way Detroit fans, the Lions haven’t won a Thanksgiving game since 2003; feel free to stay home next year.

NY Jets at Dallas
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
NY Jets
28%
10%
2.8
42
26%
7%
4.0
46
0
Dallas
48%
12%
5.0
96
50%
6%
5.5
96
31

Impression: This year there are the Have's and Have Not's.

Mike: A pretty dominating performance for the Cowboys on defense, allowing only 180 yards. Their weakness though is in the secondary, specifically giving up big plays, and that’s what Green Bay does best.

Indianapolis at Atlanta
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Indianapolis
59%
7%
4.3
100
55%
8%
6.2
126
35
Atlanta
41%
3%
3.4
62
39%
6%
4.3
51
8

Impression: ditto on the last game impression.

Mike: The Falcons got out to an early lead, but the Colts are just too efficient to be beat by such a bad team. I love how Peyton Manning can effectively end the game by bleeding the clock. The Colts dominated the time of possession in the 2nd half as Manning led the Colts down the field slowly but surely. If the Colts had Marvin Harrison a couple of weeks ago they would have done the same to the Patriots.

New Orleans at Carolina
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
New Orleans
38%
0%
3.2
47
54%
5%
6.7
121
30
Carolina
43%
6%
3.3
56
39%
5%
4.5
60
3

Impression: Can't figure out the Saints myself. Some days look great others look sucky.

Mike: It’s suiting, that the Panthers would have the NFL logo at midfield instead of their own logo, as every visiting team has owned the field when they have come to play at Carolina. The Panthers have not won a home game since Week 11 of last year. I hope people don’t start jumping on the Saints bandwagon again, this team is not for real, and Tampa Bay will prove that next week.

Denver at Chicago
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Denver
37%
16%
3.7
81
47%
9%
8.7
117
35
Chicago
38%
10%
3.8
77
30%
8%
4.2
66
8

Impression: THE WRONG TEAM WON! Wow, did they ever. 35-8 on the stats score. Two touchdown returns by Hester have something to do with the miracle Bears win.

Mike: Most teams have figured out that you have to be careful with Devin Hester, even take extreme measures like the Lions and game plan the “kick it in the lake” approach. Every once in a while you get those teams that can’t swallow their pride, like the Colts special teams when they begged Dungy to let them kick it to him in the Super Bowl, and you end up with 2 returns for touchdowns and the difference in a game in which you should have won handedly.

Tennessee at Cincinnati
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Tennessee
50%
6%
3.4
68
47%
9%
7.2
97
13
Cincinnati
48%
8%
3.8
83
71%
8%
7.1
138
44

Impression: Titans have come undone. No way they can play with the big teams anyway.

Mike: Albert Haynesworth has missed 3 straight games which has lead to 3 straight losses for the Titans. They need him to play, he shuts down the opponents run, allowing the secondary to do their job easier, and keeps the game close for their offense, which can’t be depended upon to carry the team.

Houston at Cleveland
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Houston
52%
11%
3.7
68
46%
8%
6.7
107
21
Cleveland
50%
15%
4.0
88
50%
14%
6.8
111
32

Impression: Browns rocking! I think they may have already gone Over their season wins line total.

Mike: I am officially on the Browns bandwagon. It’s a lot of fun watching this team play (especially when Gus Johnson does the play-by-play) and it’s great to see a team that has been so bad in recent years have a shot at the playoffs.

Buffalo at Jacksonville
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Buffalo
63%
5%
4.0
90
47%
5%
4.5
70
10
Jacksonville
53%
19%
4.7
96
52%
13%
7.6
131
43

Impression: Convincing win for the Jaguars puts them back safely in the playoffs I believe. They don't scare the Patriots I would guess.

Mike: When you see the Jaguars play and look at their stats, there isn’t much not to like. They play efficiently, they dominate each line of scrimmage, they dictate the flow of the game, and they get the big plays when they need them. I don’t think they’re in the same class as the Patriots, but I could see them giving the Pats a run for their money.

Oakland at Kansas City
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Oakland
60%
25%
5.4
135
54%
13%
6.6
116
40
Kansas City
43%
14%
4.1
81
33%
7%
4.3
66
13

Impression: Raiders finally get on track. Now maybe they can win back to back?

Mike: The Raiders actually looked half decent. I usually look forward to a Herm Edwards press conference after a loss, but this is a game you don’t lose, a home game to your hated rival. I will give Herm credit though, he is taking a lot of heat for not kicking the game tying field goal, but I think it took a lot of guts to try to go for the win, and like he says: “you play to win the game!”

Minnesota at NY Giants
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Minnesota
32%
5%
2.9
48
55%
6%
8.0
122
30
NY Giants
45%
15%
3.2
90
34%
13%
4.5
55
9

Impression: Eli Manning had three touchdown passes...only they were for the other team on interceptions.

Mike: I saw some of the highlight shows talk up the Vikings offense, as if it had a break-out game, but Chester Taylor averaged less then 3 yards per gain, and Tavaris Jackson only threw 12 passes. This game was won by the much maligned Minnesota pass defense, which came up with 3 INTs for touchdowns.

Seattle at St. Louis
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Seattle
38%
6%
4.8
88
44%
7%
5.0
86
25
St. Louis
29%
3%
3.3
41
40%
5%
4.4
73
6

Impression: no one giving the Seahawks any props but maybe they can be a factor in the NFC post-season? They did make it to a Super Bowl not so long ago.

Mike: The Rams had the ball, 4th and goal at the 1 yard line, with under 1 minute to play, and down 5 points. Here’s the play I think they called: ‘clinching of the 2nd overall pick of the draft, on 2’, and then Gus Frerotte promptly fumbled the ball and ended the game.

Washington at Tampa Bay
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Washington
48%
10%
4.0
79
45%
6%
5.4
81
19
Tampa Bay
45%
17%
4.1
95
32%
4%
3.7
56
14

Impression: the WRONG TEAM WON! No matter, Bucs defense is good.

Mike: I’ve talked for weeks about the Redskins deficiencies in the 2nd half of games, so this week they finally came through, out-scoring the Bucs 10-0 in the 2nd half, unfortunately they didn’t show up in the first half of the game. Washington fumbled twice in the 1st quarter, allowing Tampa Bay to score their first 10 points on a shortened field. Jeff Garcia continues to make his coach proud; he went out with a back injury early in the game and eventually returned in the 4th quarter to help seal the victory. Only up 6 points, the Tampa Bay defense came up with INTs on Washington’s last 2 drives of the game.

San Francisco at Arizona
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
San Francisco
52%
20%
5.3
100
53%
7%
5.8
116
32
Arizona
66%
0%
4.0
87
49%
11%
8.6
111
29

Impression: Crazy game. I wouldn't have thought the 49ers would score 37 points the rest of the season let alone in one game.

Mike: This game was a great departure from their first meeting. In week 1, both teams predominately ran I-formations, tried to keep mistakes to a minimum and let their defense win the game for them. In this game, the Cardinals ran their offense as if they were down 21 points at all times (which suits Warner’s style), and the 49ers came out in a lot of spread formations, passing the ball nearly 40 times. Last week I mentioned that San Francisco had the worst offensive coordinator in the league, and this week the 49ers hired Ted Tollner as a special consultant to help Hostler and they scored 37 points (they hadn’t scored more then 20 all year).

Baltimore at San Diego
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Baltimore
50%
5%
2.8
75
43%
3%
4.4
94
19
San Diego
28%
3%
1.9
31
54%
9%
7.1
125
26

Impression: End of the Bilick days in Baltimore?

Mike: I was pretty impressed with the way Phillip Rivers handled himself under pressure, something that has plagued him all year. Against a team that blitzes frequently, Rivers went 25 for 35, 3 TDs no INTs, and helped convert 7 of 15 3rd downs. The Chargers defense attacked the line of scrimmage and shut down the Ravens running game early. I’m surprised that the offensive genius, Brian Billick, kept having Boller take 5-step drops every time he threw the ball, allowing San Diego to tee-off for 4 sacks.

Philadelphia at New England
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Philadelphia
38%
6%
3.0
66
53%
7%
7.4
111
22
New England
38%
8%
2.4
84
53%
7%
6.1
113
31

Impression: Pats got another scare but look good for 16-0.

Mike: Philadelphia attacked the New England defense with a spread offense and they attacked Brady on defense with a lot of different blitzes and bumped his receivers at the line. All of this worked and the Patriots still won.

Miami at Pittsburgh
Matchup
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
Stats
Score
Miami
30%
4%
2.1
52
35%
11%
4.1
71
10
Pittsburgh
43%
0%
2.4
56
50%
4%
4.0
67
13

Impression: Ha! Worst NFL game EVER. Monday night football has been stinkers this year.

Mike: The playing field was so bad in Pittsburgh that a punted ball hit the ground and stuck. It didn’t bounce. The ball came down and stuck to the ground like a lawn dart. They looked like they were playing on a soccer field; no hash marks, no yard markers, and a ball came down and landed like a brick. Take a look at all the close games Miami has been in, it’ll make you sick.


Also see:
- Week That Was: Week Ten
- Week That Was: Week Nine
- Week That Was: Week Eight
- Week That Was: Week Seven
- Week That Was: Week Six
- Week That Was: Week Five
- Week That Was: Week Four
- Week That Was: Week Three
- Week That Was: Week Two
- Week That Was: Week One

Also See:
Straight-up quick picks
Spread quick picks


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