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Have you watched a game and wondered if the Wrong Team Won? If the stats didn't show up in the final score? If cooking sherry can be drunk without the cooking part? Our bold adventurer Tim is here to answer all of these questions and more.
THE WEEK THAT WAS: Week Seventeen
- PSR: Play Success Rate - every play is graded as either a success or failure
- Big: percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
- Yds: adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
- EFR: Effectiveness rating. One number overall summary.
- Stats Score: This is the projected score the TMW computer would have spit out if the stats for the game were the numbers coming in. This column lets us know who "should" have won.
St. Louis at Atlanta
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| St. Louis |
56% |
11% |
5.3 |
108 |
40% |
9% |
5.8 |
91 |
23 |
| Atlanta |
65% |
17% |
9.1 |
144 |
39% |
13% |
6.8 |
86 |
34 |
Jacksonville at Baltimore
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Jacksonville |
26% |
19% |
4.4 |
73 |
50% |
7% |
4.8 |
78 |
11 |
| Baltimore |
47% |
6% |
3.7 |
85 |
50% |
21% |
10.8 |
146 |
44 |
New England at Buffalo
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| New England |
46% |
4% |
3.5 |
76 |
66% |
0% |
8.1 |
155 |
39 |
| Buffalo |
42% |
12% |
4.5 |
75 |
32% |
0% |
3.8 |
61 |
12 |
Kansas City at Cincinnati
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Kansas City |
21% |
7% |
1.9 |
21 |
48% |
2% |
5.4 |
107 |
11 |
| Cincinnati |
50% |
25% |
5.5 |
111 |
51% |
3% |
4.8 |
84 |
30 |
Detroit at Green Bay
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Detroit |
46% |
3% |
3.3 |
70 |
37% |
7% |
5.1 |
62 |
7 |
| Green Bay |
61% |
19% |
8.1 |
134 |
38% |
11% |
7.6 |
105 |
40 |
-- The Wrong Team Covered
Chicago at Houston
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Chicago |
55% |
11% |
3.8 |
94 |
48% |
3% |
5.8 |
120 |
29 |
| Houston |
38% |
9% |
3.5 |
76 |
54% |
14% |
8.7 |
145 |
40 |
Tennessee at Indianapolis
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Tennessee |
57% |
7% |
4.5 |
85 |
33% |
0% |
2.4 |
58 |
7 |
| Indianapolis |
68% |
9% |
5.1 |
113 |
53% |
10% |
7.2 |
115 |
40 |
N.Y. Giants at Minnesota
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| N.Y. Giants |
51% |
16% |
3.4 |
80 |
51% |
9% |
6.9 |
127 |
34 |
| Minnesota |
37% |
4% |
4.0 |
59 |
50% |
14% |
7.9 |
114 |
23 |
-- THE WRONG TEAM WON!!
Carolina at New Orleans
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Carolina |
50% |
19% |
5.5 |
102 |
56% |
22% |
10.3 |
156 |
47 |
| New Orleans |
54% |
9% |
4.5 |
100 |
52% |
13% |
6.5 |
122 |
30 |
-- The Wrong Team Covered
Miami at N.Y. Jets
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Miami |
50% |
7% |
4.5 |
92 |
43% |
9% |
6.0 |
103 |
32 |
| N.Y. Jets |
40% |
9% |
3.0 |
45 |
39% |
10% |
5.4 |
69 |
6 |
Dallas at Philadelphia
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Dallas |
66% |
17% |
4.3 |
122 |
39% |
7% |
4.5 |
60 |
15 |
| Philadelphia |
39% |
9% |
4.1 |
69 |
41% |
13% |
7.5 |
112 |
30 |
Cleveland at Pittsburgh
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Cleveland |
33% |
10% |
2.8 |
53 |
13% |
0% |
1.0 |
-23 |
0 |
| Pittsburgh |
47% |
15% |
4.4 |
85 |
51% |
10% |
6.9 |
96 |
28 |
Oakland at Tampa Bay
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Oakland |
40% |
11% |
5.4 |
82 |
52% |
13% |
8.3 |
121 |
34 |
| Tampa Bay |
43% |
13% |
5.0 |
86 |
30% |
14% |
7.3 |
80 |
15 |
Seattle at Arizona
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Seattle |
32% |
10% |
1.9 |
51 |
46% |
2% |
5.2 |
74 |
7 |
| Arizona |
47% |
16% |
5.3 |
100 |
50% |
13% |
8.1 |
125 |
40 |
Denver at San Diego
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Denver |
60% |
20% |
9.0 |
160 |
53% |
4% |
6.3 |
112 |
36 |
| San Diego |
54% |
23% |
6.1 |
129 |
52% |
13% |
11.0 |
152 |
51 |
Washington at San Francisco
| Matchup |
Rush PSR |
Rush Big |
Rush Yds |
Rush EFR |
Pass PSR |
Pass Big |
Pass Yds |
Pass EFR |
Stats Score |
| Washington |
50% |
3% |
3.6 |
76 |
37% |
0% |
4.3 |
81 |
9 |
| San Francisco |
56% |
8% |
4.8 |
112 |
58% |
14% |
8.2 |
113 |
42 |
-- The Wrong Team Covered
Also see:
- Week Sixteen
- Week Fifteen
- Week Fourteen
- Week Thirteen
- Week Twelve
- Week Eleven
- Week Ten
- Week Nine
- Week Eight
- Week Seven
- Week Six
- Week Five
- Week Four
- Week Three
- Week Two
- Week One
Also See:
Straight-up quick picks
Spread quick picks
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